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SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook


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SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook Image
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1238 PM CST Sun Jan 07 2024

Valid 081200Z - 091200Z

No changes to the ongoing forecast. Dry and windy conditions are
probable across parts of South Texas during the late afternoon and
persisting into the evening. Poor fuel receptiveness and strong cold
air advection behind the cold front should limit the overall fire
weather concerns, however.

..Wendt.. 01/07/2024

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0205 AM CST Sun Jan 07 2024/

...Synopsis...
An intense upper-level trough and surface low are forecast to
amplify further as they move eastward across the south-central CONUS
D2/Monday. In the wake of the low, a strong cold front will move
eastward ushering in a windy, but much colder air mass. A few hours
of dry and windy conditions are possible over parts of West TX.

...West TX...
As the upper trough and surface low continue to intensify over the
Southern Plains, low-level winds are expected to increase across the
TX Trans Pecos region through much of D2/Monday. Strong pressure
gradients behind the low will aid downslope gusts of 25-35 mph.
Coincident with the increasing winds, a dry low-level air mass with
RH values below 25% is possible. A few hours of elevated
meteorological conditions may develop in the afternoon. With strong
winds and areas of low humidity potentially overlapping ahead of the
cooler air mass, elevated fire-weather conditions are a possibility,
for a few hours, despite modest fuel availability.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

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