Administrators NorthGeorgiaWX Posted January 7 Administrators Share Posted January 7 SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0148 PM CST Sun Jan 07 2024 Valid 072000Z - 081200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PORTIONS OF WESTERN NORTH TEXAS AND FAR SOUTHWEST OK... ...SUMMARY... A few strong storms capable of gusty/damaging winds are possible late tonight over portions of western north Texas and southwest Oklahoma. ...20Z Update... Previous forecast reasoning remains valid with no changes needed. ..Mosier.. 01/07/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1015 AM CST Sun Jan 07 2024/ ...TX/OK... A vigorous shortwave trough currently over southern NV will amplify/deepen tonight as it digs into the southern Rockies. Meanwhile, an intense southerly low-level jet will develop ahead of the system over TX, resulting in enhanced low-level warm advection and lift - along with weak destabilization. The result will likely be the development of a line of fast-moving showers and thunderstorms after midnight over parts of west TX and southwest OK. Forecast soundings show very weak thermodynamics, suggesting the updraft strength will be modest. However, given the strong low and upper level support, a narrow-line of forced convection may become capable of locally gusty/damaging wind gusts (mainly 09-12z). Read more View the full article Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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