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SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

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SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook Image
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1028 AM CST Mon Jan 08 2024

Valid 081700Z - 091200Z


No changes to the ongoing forecast.

..Wendt.. 01/08/2024

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0200 AM CST Mon Jan 08 2024/

An impressive upper trough will eject eastward over the southern
Plains will undergoing significant amplification through the
forecast period. with a deepening surface cyclone expected over
parts of OK and North TX. Strong southwest winds behind the low are
expected to develop across parts of West TX and the Big Bend along
with lower humidity. While area fuels are not expected to be overly
dry, a few hours of elevated to locally critical meteorological
conditions are possible.

...Texas Big Bend...
As the strong surface cyclone over OK continues to deepen,
west/southwest downslope flow will gradually develop over West TX
and the Big Bend region. Aided by strong mid-level flow ahead of the
approaching trough, gusts of 30-40 mph are possible through the
afternoon. RH values below 20% are also possible within the dry warm
sector of the strengthening cyclone. A few hours of overlap of dry
and windy surface conditions should support elevated to locally
critical meteorological conditions across parts of the TX Big Bend
region. However, area fuels are not particularly receptive given
recent freezes and near normal fuel moisture. While a few hours of
localized fire-concerns are possible, widespread critical conditions
appear unlikely.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

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