Administrators NorthGeorgiaWX Posted January 8 Administrators Share Posted January 8 MD 0020 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE FOR SOUTHEAST LA Mesoscale Discussion 0020 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0338 PM CST Mon Jan 08 2024 Areas affected...Southeast LA Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 082138Z - 082345Z Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent SUMMARY...Severe storms will eventually spread into southeast Louisiana, but the shorter-term risk is uncertain. DISCUSSION...Latest surface analysis (as verified by visible imagery) shows the surface warm front extending from Jefferson Davis Parish southeastward and off the coast of southeast LA. The boundary is lifting northward, and moist/unstable surface conditions should move into southeast LA in the next few hours. However, radar/satellite imagery suggest very little robust convection to the south of the warm front, and recent HRRR solutions also lend doubt regarding thunderstorm coverage in the next few hours. Nevertheless with very strong shear profiles in place, and increasing low-level moisture and instability, this area will be closely monitored for increasing thunderstorms south of the warm front. If this trend develops, a tornado watch will be considered. Otherwise, it might be a few hours from now as the main cold front approaches from the west. ..Hart/Gleason.. 01/08/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LIX...LCH... LAT...LON 28768960 29109085 30029165 30879142 31119026 30178894 29218879 28768960 Read more View the full article Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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