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Mesoscale Discussion 0026
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0536 AM CST Tue Jan 09 2024

Areas affected...the Florida Panhandle...southern Alabama...and
southwest Georgia

Concerning...Tornado Watch 3...

Valid 091136Z - 091430Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 3 continues.

SUMMARY...The threat for supercells producing tornadoes and severe
wind persists across eastern parts of Tornado Watch 3, with an
additional watch likely for areas east/northeast prior to 13Z.

DISCUSSION...A small but volatile warm sector currently exists
across the FL Panhandle, and this air mass will likely spread into
parts of southern AL and southwest GA later this morning. Shear
remains extreme with 0-1 km SRH values between 500-600 m2/s2, which
is also coincident with the warm front. This boundary is forecast to
move north, though progression may be slow due to ongoing

The supercell near Holmes County FL is likely right on the warm
front. Depending on boundary motion, a tornado risk may remain for a
short time prior to the storm moving over the cooler air to the
north. Farther south, an impressive supercell, likely tornadic and
producing hail, is now moving into Bay County from the Gulf Of
Mexico. These cells, as well as any additional cells that form ahead
of the cold front/squall line, could result in strong tornadoes.

..Jewell.. 01/09/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...


LAT...LON   30138723 31258662 32118629 32628581 32858523 32888442
            32698380 32198325 31818295 31088286 30498316 29968389
            29488490 29568641 29828731 30008728 30138723 

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