Administrators NorthGeorgiaWX Posted January 24 Administrators Share Posted January 24 MD 0085 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR TX HILL COUNTRY Mesoscale Discussion 0085 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0134 AM CST Wed Jan 24 2024 Areas affected...TX Hill Country Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 240734Z - 240930Z Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent SUMMARY...Isolated large hail is possible for the next few hours across the Texas Hill Country. DISCUSSION...Recent radar imagery has shown an increase in storm intensity across the TX Hill Country over the past hour, with supercellular characteristics noted within the storm over Frio, Atascosa, and southern Bexar Counties. This increase in storm strength is occurring near a local maximum of effective bulk shear within recent mesoanalysis, which is likely related to enhanced mid-level flow noted on the KEWX VAD. Given the elevated character of these storms, the primary severe risk is large hail. Low-level stability should limit the threat for damaging gusts, but a gust or two may become strong enough to penetrate through this stability to reach the surface. ..Mosier/Goss.. 01/24/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...HGX...CRP...EWX... LAT...LON 29039901 29549852 29879727 29499689 29079688 28749737 28799862 29039901 Read more View the full article Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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