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SPC Feb 15, 2024 0830 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook

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SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Outlook Image
Day 3 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0151 AM CST Thu Feb 15 2024

Valid 171200Z - 181200Z


Severe thunderstorms are not forecast for Saturday across the
contiguous United States.

A large-scale mid to upper-level trough will slowly pivot east
across eastern North America on Saturday.  The southern portion of
mid-level troughing will be reinforced by a shortwave trough
forecast to move from the central Great Plains southeastward into
the central Gulf Coast and aid in amplifying cyclonic flow over the
eastern Gulf.  Farther west, a mid-level disturbance is forecast to
move from the eastern Pacific into northern CA during the period. 
In the low levels, a surface cold front will extend from a cyclone
east of the Mid-Atlantic states southwestward into the central Gulf
of Mexico.  Still modifying maritime air will overspread the
southern FL Peninsula ahead of the front where pockets of weak
instability are forecast.  Occasional showers and a few
thunderstorms are possible near the front as it moves south over the
Peninsula during the period.

..Smith.. 02/15/2024

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