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SPC Feb 15, 2024 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook


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SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Outlook Image
Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1022 AM CST Thu Feb 15 2024

Valid 151630Z - 161200Z

...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are not expected today or tonight.

...Synopsis...
Largely zonal flow will persist over the CONUS through tonight as a
low-amplitude shortwave trough moves from UT/northern AZ to KS/OK by
the end of the period.  Modest low-level moisture return will occur
ahead of the trough/surface cyclone beneath steepening midlevel
lapse rates.  However, the degree of moistening and forcing for
ascent appear insufficient for deep convection/charge separation
overnight.

..Thompson/Wendt.. 02/15/2024

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