Administrators NorthGeorgiaWX Posted February 15 Administrators Share Posted February 15 SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1122 AM CST Thu Feb 15 2024 Valid 161200Z - 171200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Organized severe thunderstorms appear unlikely on Friday. ...Synopsis and Discussion... Within broadly cyclonic flow over the central/eastern states, a subtle mid-level impulse will advance eastward from the southern/central Plains across the lower MS Valley and Mid-South on Friday. A weak surface low is likewise expected to develop from the Ozarks vicinity towards the southern/central Appalachians by Friday evening. Modest low-level moisture, with surface dewpoints generally in the mid to upper 50s, should be present ahead of a front from the ArkLaTex into the Mid-South. As this front moves east-southeastward through the day, isolated to scattered thunderstorms may develop along its length. With mid-level flow largely paralleling the front, there should be a tendency for convection to be undercut and become elevated. Still, some chance for strong/gusty winds and small hail may exist with any near-surface-based thunderstorms across the Mid-South Friday afternoon, as weak instability and sufficient deep-layer shear may support modest updraft organization. But, overall severe potential still appears too limited to add low hail/wind probabilities at this time. ..Gleason.. 02/15/2024 Read more View the full article Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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