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SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

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SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook Image
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0211 AM CST Fri Mar 01 2024

Valid 021200Z - 031200Z


An amplified large-scale trough accompanied by strong deep-layer
west-southwesterly flow will overspread the western CONUS, with the
leading edge of the strong flow aloft crossing the Rockies during
the afternoon. At the same time, a lee surface cyclone will rapidly
deepen over the northern High Plains, while a lee trough and tight
surface pressure gradient develop southward along the
central/southern High Plains. This evolution will lead to a large
area of strong/gusty west-southwesterly surface winds and low RH
across much of the High Plains, where elevated to critical
fire-weather conditions are expected. 

...Central and Southern High Plains...
Strong downslope flow and deep boundary-layer mixing across the
central/southern High Plains will support an expansive area of
10-percent minimum RH and temperatures in the upper 60s to low/mid
70s despite increasing high-level clouds ahead of the large-scale
trough. Here, the tightening surface pressure gradient and mixing
into the strong flow aloft will favor widespread 20-25 mph sustained
west-southwesterly surface winds (with higher gusts). Given drying
of fine fuels across the region on D1/Friday, Critical fire-weather
conditions are expected across portions of eastern CO, northeast NM,
the TX/OK Panhandles, far western OK, and far southwest KS.

..Weinman.. 03/01/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

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