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SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

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SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook Image
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1023 AM CST Fri Mar 01 2024

Valid 011700Z - 021200Z


The previous forecast remains on track. Recent precipitation
accumulations across the TX Panhandle vicinity will limit
wildfire-spread potential today to some degree. However, the
anticipated dry and breezy conditions this afternoon will encourage
the priming of fuels, which may support significant wildfire-spread
potential this weekend.

..Squitieri.. 03/01/2024

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0209 AM CST Fri Mar 01 2024/

Preceding a large-scale trough moving ashore over the West Coast,
strengthening west-southwesterly midlevel flow will impinge on the
Rockies, favoring a deepening lee trough over the High Plains. This
pattern will favor a few areas of dry/breezy conditions along the
High Plains during the afternoon. Over portions of eastern WY into
western SD/NE, a belt of breezy west-southwesterly surface winds
will develop along the southern periphery of a weak lee cyclone, and
these winds could briefly overlap 20-30 percent afternoon RH. While
locally elevated conditions are possible here, the overlap of breezy
winds and low RH appears too brief/marginal for highlights given
marginally receptive fuels. 

Farther south, breezy/gusty westerly surface winds are expected to
coincide with 10-15 percent minimum RH along the central and
southern High Plains. For the central High Plains, locally elevated
conditions are possible along the I-25 corridor (especially in the
gap-flow areas), though these conditions should remain too localized
for Elevated highlights. From eastern NM into West TX, a larger area
of Elevated meteorological conditions are expected, though recent
measurable snowfall should mitigate the fire-weather threat in the
short-term -- precluding highlights at this time.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

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