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SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook


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SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook Image
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0326 PM CST Fri Mar 01 2024

Valid 031200Z - 091200Z

A mid-level trough will impinge on the central U.S. on Day 3/Sunday,
encouraging the development and passage of a surface low across the
northern Plains, with a secondary surface low also developing over
the southern High Plains. Westerly downslope flow will encourage
critically dry and windy surface conditions across portions of the
Southern Plains, where higher Critical probabilities remain in
place. From Days 4-7/Monday-Thursday, generally zonal mid-level flow
will prevail across the Plains, with low RH (around/below 20% by
afternoon) and occasionally gusty surface winds encouraging
localized wildfire-spread potential.

By Thursday into Friday of next week, another surface cyclone will
encourage dry/windy conditions across the southern High Plains.
Given minimal precipitation accumulations expected through the
extended term, fuels should support wildfire-spread potential late
next week. The primary mitigating factor to introducing Critical
probabilities for late next week is the lack of agreement among
medium-range guidance members in the placement and timing of
critically dry/windy conditions. Nonetheless, wildfire-spread
potential should increase to some degree later next week.

..Squitieri.. 03/01/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

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