Administrators NorthGeorgiaWX Posted March 1 Administrators Share Posted March 1 SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0326 PM CST Fri Mar 01 2024 Valid 031200Z - 091200Z A mid-level trough will impinge on the central U.S. on Day 3/Sunday, encouraging the development and passage of a surface low across the northern Plains, with a secondary surface low also developing over the southern High Plains. Westerly downslope flow will encourage critically dry and windy surface conditions across portions of the Southern Plains, where higher Critical probabilities remain in place. From Days 4-7/Monday-Thursday, generally zonal mid-level flow will prevail across the Plains, with low RH (around/below 20% by afternoon) and occasionally gusty surface winds encouraging localized wildfire-spread potential. By Thursday into Friday of next week, another surface cyclone will encourage dry/windy conditions across the southern High Plains. Given minimal precipitation accumulations expected through the extended term, fuels should support wildfire-spread potential late next week. The primary mitigating factor to introducing Critical probabilities for late next week is the lack of agreement among medium-range guidance members in the placement and timing of critically dry/windy conditions. Nonetheless, wildfire-spread potential should increase to some degree later next week. ..Squitieri.. 03/01/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more View the full article Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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