Administrators NorthGeorgiaWX Posted March 2 Administrators Share Posted March 2 Day 4-8 Outlook Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0348 AM CST Sat Mar 02 2024 Valid 051200Z - 101200Z ...DISCUSSION... Quasi-zonal flow aloft will be prevalent across the CONUS beginning next Tuesday. Model guidance has reasonable agreement that a lead shortwave trough will develop in the southern Appalachians late Tuesday into Wednesday. This feature will promote a modestly deep surface cyclone in the Southeast that will lift north and east with time. Farther west, a broader and more amplified trough is forecast to evolve within the lower Colorado River Valley by midweek. This lower-latitude feature will shift eastward and eject into the southern Plains around Thursday. While model guidance diverges on the evolution of this trough by the end of next week, the general theme is that the trough will intensify as it move into the Southeast. While there will be moisture return ahead of the stronger western trough, the presence of the surface low near the eastern Gulf will drive offshore flow. This will act to restrict the magnitude/quality of moisture return into the southern Plains. Severe weather could occur in the southern Plains on Thursday, but uncertainty remains too high for highlights. Additional potential for severe weather may exist Friday into the weekend from east Texas into the Southeast. However, given the low latitude nature of the trough, there is ample uncertainty as to the degree of quality moisture return inland. Models differ with regard to the position and evolution of the surface low next weekend. Confidence remains too low for highlights this far in advance. Read more View the full article Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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