Administrators NorthGeorgiaWX Posted March 3 Administrators Share Posted March 3 SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1010 AM CST Sun Mar 03 2024 Valid 031630Z - 041200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING OVER MUCH OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA... ...SUMMARY... A few strong thunderstorms will be possible across parts of Florida this afternoon and early evening. Isolated hail is expected to be the primary threat, though locally gusty winds may also occur. ...FL... Morning water vapor loop shows a southern-stream shortwave trough moving across the eastern Gulf of Mexico into FL. Warm and moist low-level conditions are in place across FL today, with sufficient insolation to lead to afternoon temperatures well into the 80sF. A combination of weak large-scale ascent and convergence along sea-breeze boundaries will result in scattered afternoon thunderstorms. Forecast soundings show MLCAPE values around 1500 J/kg and weak wind fields in the lower 3 km, but 30+ westerly knot flow above 5km. This should support a few storms becoming organized multicells or transient supercells - capable of hail and gusty winds. At this time, coverage of the stronger cells appears limited so will maintain the ongoing MRGL risk. ..Hart/Moore.. 03/03/2024 Read more View the full article Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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