Jump to content
  • Forum Image

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

Recommended Posts

  • Administrators
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook Image
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1237 PM CST Wed Mar 06 2024

Valid 071200Z - 081200Z


The previous forecast (see below) remains on track, with no changes
or additions made.

..Squitieri.. 03/06/2024

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0151 AM CST Wed Mar 06 2024/

Within the base of an amplifying large-scale trough over the western
CONUS, strong deep-layer west-southwesterly flow will overspread the
southern Rockies and adjacent Plains. In response, a lee surface
cyclone will deepen in the vicinity of the TX/OK Panhandles, while a
southward-extending dryline sharpens over West TX.

...Southern High Plains...
West of the dryline, strong downslope warming/drying will contribute
to a deeply mixed boundary layer, extending up to around 4.5 km AGL
across portions of eastern NM and West TX -- despite increasing
mid/high-level clouds ahead of the large-scale trough. This will
support an expansive area of 12-15 percent minimum RH and
temperatures in the lower 70s across the area. At the same time, a
tightening pressure gradient along the southern periphery of the lee
cyclone, coupled with strong winds through the deepening boundary
layer, will favor 20-25 mph sustained west-southwesterly surface
winds (with gusts upwards of 35 mph). Given receptive fuels over the
southern High Plains (80th+ percentile ERCs), critical fire-weather
conditions are expected across parts of eastern NM and West TX.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

Read more

View the full article

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

  • Who's Online   0 Members, 0 Anonymous, 2 Guests (See full list)

    • There are no registered users currently online

  • Create New...