Administrators NorthGeorgiaWX Posted March 6 Administrators Share Posted March 6 SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0217 PM CST Wed Mar 06 2024 Valid 081200Z - 141200Z A mid-level trough will traverse the southern U.S. as a surface cold front sweeps across the southern Plains Day 3/Friday. Critically dry and windy conditions will likely coincide with the International border late Friday afternoon. It is unclear how much of this area may experience appreciable precipitation accumulations in the Thursday-Friday time frame, precluding the addition of 70 percent Critical probabilities at this time. Thereafter, another mid-level trough will approach the central CONUS and promote strong surface lee troughing across the Plains states early to mid next week. Downslope flow may support critically dry and windy surface conditions across the southern High Plains through at least Days 6-7/Monday-Tuesday, where 40 percent Critical probabilities have been introduced. There is also the possibility that these conditions may persist into Day 8/Wednesday. However, details on the exact timing and evolution of next week's mid-level trough remain uncertain, precluding higher Day 6-7 Critical probabilities and any Day 8 probabilities this outlook. The latest medium range guidance is also hinting at the possibility for Critically dry/windy conditions across portions of the central into northern Plains early to mid next week. However, these conditions may be preceded by appreciable rainfall accumulations, so Critical probabilities have been withheld until the impacts of any potential future rainfall become clearer. ..Squitieri.. 03/06/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more View the full article Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.