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SPC Mar 7, 2024 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook

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Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Outlook Image
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0348 AM CST Thu Mar 07 2024

Valid 101200Z - 151200Z

After a cold front clears the East Coast, severe potential across
the CONUS should remain minimal from Day 4/Sunday through Day
5/Monday. Medium-range deterministic and ensemble guidance shows
reasonable agreement that an upper trough will move over the western
states and perhaps become a closed upper low over the Southwest by
the middle of next week. Depending on the quality of low-level
moisture return across the southern/central Plains ahead of this
feature, some severe threat may eventually develop across these
areas. Too much uncertainty currently exists regarding the evolution
of the upper trough and related surface features to include a 15%
severe area for either Day 7/Wednesday or Day 8/Thursday, but trends
will be monitored.

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