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SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook


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SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook Image
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0414 PM CDT Sun Apr 21 2024

Valid 231200Z - 291200Z

Upper-level ridging over the Plains will promote relatively
quiescent fire weather conditions during the middle of the week. By
Thursday into the weekend though, a series of mid-level troughs 
will eject into the southern Plains, supporting the development of
multiple surface cyclones and accompanying eastward surges of a
dryline over the southern High Plains each day. In the post-dryline
environment, Critical overlapping surface westerly winds and RH are
expected, with guidance consensus showing the best chance at such
conditions occurring along the CO/KS/TX/NM border areas by
Thursday-Saturday afternoon peak heating. Here, 70 percent critical
probabilities have been introduced for Days 5-7 (Thursday-Saturday),
though Critical fire weather concerns may persist into early next
week. Higher Critical probabilities may be needed for Sunday and
perhaps beyond over the southern High Plains if guidance consensus
shows the continued critically dry and windy conditions with any
consistency.

..Squitieri.. 04/21/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

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