Administrators NorthGeorgiaWX Posted April 29 Administrators Share Posted April 29 Day 4-8 Outlook Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0344 AM CDT Mon Apr 29 2024 Valid 021200Z - 071200Z ...DISCUSSION... ...D4/Thursday - Southern Plains into the mid/upper Mississippi Valley... Extensive convection appears likely from the southern Plains northeastward into the mid/upper MS Valley on Thursday, as a relatively deep upper trough continues to impinge upon a broad and moist warm sector. Deep-layer shear will be sufficient to support organized convection, and pockets of severe potential are likely to evolve within this regime. However, most guidance suggests that one or more MCSs will be ongoing Thursday morning, with widespread cloudiness and precipitation possible across much of the warm sector. Storm redevelopment will be possible as a cold front moves into the region, but magnitude of instability and potential influence of convective outflow remain too uncertain to delineate a 15% area. ...D5/Friday into D8/Monday... Predictability regarding the synoptic pattern wanes rather quickly by the weekend. In general, a cold front is expected to move southeastward on D5/Friday and then stall from the southern Plains into the lower MS Valley. Rich low-level moisture will support daily destabilization along/south of the front. However, potential for either storm development across TX or for moisture/instability to be drawn northward into a larger portion of the Plains remains quite uncertain into early next week. Read more View the full article Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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