Administrators NorthGeorgiaWX Posted May 8 Administrators Share Posted May 8 MD 0708 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND Mesoscale Discussion 0708 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0344 PM CDT Wed May 08 2024 Areas affected...southern New England Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 082044Z - 082215Z Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent SUMMARY...The threat for large hail and damaging wind gusts continues across southern New England. DISCUSSION...A large supercell has developed in southern Massachusetts where temperatures have warmed into the mid 70s with dewpoints in the mid 60s. This has yielded 500 to 750 J/kg MLCAPE. Despite this relatively weak instability, storm organization due to 70 knots of 0-6km shear (per BOX VWP), has been sufficient for supercell maintenance. This intense storm will continue to pose a severe wind and large hail threat as it moves east and the downstream environment continues to destabilize ahead of it. In addition, some storms are starting to develop to the west of this supercell on the trailing outflow. Given a similarly warm and unstable environment, one or two more strong to severe storms may form and move along this outflow boundary this afternoon/evening. ..Bentley/Smith.. 05/08/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...BOX...OKX...ALY... LAT...LON 41887391 42287322 42597149 42417095 41847080 41447076 41387114 41127173 41087259 41007341 41097377 41297399 41887391 Read more View the full article Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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