Administrators NorthGeorgiaWX Posted May 9 Administrators Share Posted May 9 MD 0732 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY FOR FROM FAR NORTHEAST TEXAS ACROSS SOUTHERN ARKANSAS Mesoscale Discussion 0732 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0326 PM CDT Thu May 09 2024 Areas affected...From far northeast Texas across southern Arkansas Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely Valid 092026Z - 092300Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...Storms capable of large hail are expected to move east across the ArkLaTex and into much of southern Arkansas through evening. DISCUSSION...Surface analysis shows an extensive stationary front across northern TX and into southern AR and toward the MS/TN border. South of this boundary, a very moist and unstable air mass exists with MLCAPE exceeding 4000 J/kg. While low-level winds are weak, moderate mid to high levels winds will help move storms eastward along and north of the boundary, with deep layer shear of 60-70 kt Forward-propagating cells or eventual bows will be possible, and the strongest cells may produce very large damaging hail. ..Jewell/Smith.. 05/09/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...TSA...FWD...OUN... LAT...LON 34439590 34549124 34289117 33899115 33499190 33169244 32919314 32879576 33599586 34199587 34439590 Read more View the full article Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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