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SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook


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SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook Image
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1141 AM CDT Thu May 16 2024

Valid 161700Z - 171200Z

...1700Z Update...
A cold front has moved through most of the Permian Basin this
morning, with a dryline already pushing eastward into the lower
Trans Pecos and Big Bend region. This eastward moving trend of the
dryline will continue through afternoon as mostly clear skies allow
for good to excellent mixing conditions. Very warm afternoon
temperatures from the Davis Mountains southward into the Big Bend,
along with dewpoints in the upper teens to low 20s, will result in
RH dropping as low as the single digits. West to northwest sustained
15-20 mph winds are still anticipated, with localized Critical
sustained winds of 20-25 mph later this afternoon near and south of
the Davis Mountains. The only minor change to the Elevated area was
to eliminate a small portion of the northern extent based on the
current position of the cold front and its slow progression to the
south throughout the afternoon.

..Barnes/Nauslar.. 05/16/2024

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0121 AM CDT Thu May 16 2024/

...Synopsis...
A mid-level trough will traverse the southern Plains as a weak
surface low develops near the Rio Grande today. Behind the low,
isallobaric and downslope northwesterly flow will overspread the
Trans Pecos region of Texas during the afternoon. 15+ mph sustained
northwesterly surface winds will coincide with 10-20 percent RH and
dry fuels, warranting the continuation of Elevated highlights.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

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