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SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook


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SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook Image
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1149 AM CDT Wed May 22 2024

Valid 221700Z - 231200Z

The forecast generally remains on track. The Elevated highlights
were expanded slightly northward in NM and AZ, where confidence in
the overlap of around 20 mph sustained westerly surface winds and
8-10 percent RH atop modestly receptive fuels has increased. For
details, see the previous discussion below.

..Weinman.. 05/22/2024

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0122 AM CDT Wed May 22 2024/

...Synopsis...
A deeply mixed air mass is expected across most of NM and portions
of eastern AZ this afternoon, where fuels continue to become more
receptive, and relatively unidirectional westerly flow will reside
in the base of a mid to upper trough. Westerly surface winds will
increase to near critical magnitudes across these regions, as RH
drops into the single digits. Some locally enhanced wind speeds may
heighten fire spread potential across west central NM, but the
duration of these should be limited such that a Critical area is not
warranted. An Elevated area was considered for northeastern NV,
where stronger flow and subsequently higher sustained surface wind
speeds are expected. However, confidence in both critical RH
developing and receptive fuels across this region is low.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

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