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SPC Jun 1, 2024 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook


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SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Outlook Image
Day 1 Convective Outlook RESENT 1
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0842 PM CDT Fri May 31 2024

Valid 010100Z - 011200Z

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF
THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS...

...SUMMARY...
A few severe storms with large hail and damaging winds remain
possible across the central/southern High Plains into southwest
Texas.

...01z Update...

Split westerly-flow regime continues across the CONUS this evening.
Weak southern branch extends across the Four Corners region into the
lower MS Valley, and within this low-latitude belt of modest flow
several robust thunderstorm clusters have evolved early this
evening. An apparent weak short-wave trough is progressing across
the High Plains of CO/NM and this feature appears partly responsible
for recent uptick in isolated robust thunderstorms. While
west-northwest 500mb flow is modest across this portion of the
Plains, low-level inflow is not particularly responsive to this
short wave and is seasonally weak, but moist. Isolated thunderstorm
clusters will spread southeast this evening with an attendant risk
for large hail and gusty winds.

Farther south across the Edwards Plateau into the Hill Country of
southwest TX, low-level confluence appears to be aiding a few
thunderstorm clusters and isolated supercells from Burnet-Concho-MAF
region. This activity should propagate slowly southeast this evening
with hail being the primary risk.

..Darrow.. 06/01/2024

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