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SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook


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SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook Image
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0253 PM CDT Sun Jun 02 2024

Valid 031200Z - 041200Z

The elevated area was extended to the northwest (into Arizona) to
include portions of the Mogollon Rim. Here, conditions should be
similar to Sunday with winds 10-15 mph sustained (gusts above 20
mph) and minimum relative humidity falling into the
upper-single-digits to (more likely) mid-teens. This will result in
at least locally elevated fire weather conditions. 

Elsewhere, the ongoing forecast is on track.
Elevated-to-locally-critical fire weather conditions are still
expected across parts of southern New Mexico.

..Marsh.. 06/02/2024

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0142 AM CDT Sun Jun 02 2024/

...Synopsis...
Mostly zonal mid-level flow is expected to continue as a shortwave
trough over the Southwest translates eastward into the Plains. While
flow aloft is expected to be weaker behind the wave, somewhat
enhanced westerlies may still linger through the afternoon
bolstering surface flow. With hot and dry surface conditions
expected, a few hours of elevated fire-weather conditions appear
likely.

...Parts of the Southwest and southern High Plains...
Zonal mid-level flow will persist over the southwest and southern
Rockies into D2/Monday. Flow aloft is expected to be somewhat weaker
as the upper trough moves eastward. Still, some lingering westerly
flow may bolster low-level winds behind a surface trough/dryline
over the southern Plains. While not expected to be overly strong or
widespread, occasional 15-20 mph surface winds are expected over
parts of southeastern AZ, southern NM and far west TX. Hot and dry
conditions will also support RH below 15% colocated with areas of
dry fuels that have not received recent rainfall. Elevated
fire-weather conditions appear likely through the afternoon.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

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