Administrators NorthGeorgiaWX Posted June 4 Administrators Share Posted June 4 SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1013 AM CDT Tue Jun 04 2024 Valid 041700Z - 051200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The previous forecast remains largely on track. The latest guidance consensus has trended windier across portions of Far West Texas. Still, recent rainfall in the last week, along with the spatially constrained nature of the more favorable overlapping winds/RH, precludes the introduction of fire weather highlights, though localized wildfire-spread potential does exist. Portions of the western and central FL peninsula will also see RH drop into the 30-40 percent range by afternoon peak heating. Surface winds are expected to be too weak to warrant fire weather highlights, though overlapping low RH and dry fuels will support at least localized wildfire-spread potential. ..Squitieri.. 06/04/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0157 AM CDT Tue Jun 04 2024/ ...Synopsis... A broad upper trough over the Southwest is forecast to move east as mid-level ridging begins to intensify over the western CONUS. As the ridge builds, the westerly flow aloft will weaken and shift northward, resulting in weaker winds over parts of the Desert Southwest compared to the last few days. At the surface, a cold front is also forecast to move south and begin encroaching on the higher terrain of the southern Rockies/High Plains. Higher RH should increase as moisture moves west with the backdoor front. With weaker surface winds and increasing RH, fire-weather conditions appear unlikely to be widespread. A few hours of locally dry and breezy conditions (winds of 15+ mph and RH below 20%) are possible over parts of southern NM and far west TX, but coverage and duration of this appears unlikely to meet Elevated criteria. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more View the full article Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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