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SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

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SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook Image
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1110 AM CDT Wed Jun 05 2024

Valid 051700Z - 061200Z


The previous forecast of limited meteorological fire spread
conditions remains on track. In addition to the details of the
discussion below, a few thunderstorms are expected across the
southern Florida peninsula later this afternoon. This is where fuels
remain highly receptive, especially in and around the Big Cypress
National Reserve, and any lightning strikes away from substantial
precipitation cores could potentially result in ignition.

..Barnes.. 06/05/2024

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0151 AM CDT Wed Jun 05 2024/

Mid-level ridging over the western third of the CONUS is expected to
keep surface winds weak as flow aloft is moved northward. Beneath
the ridge, the air mass over parts of the Desert Southwest should be
quite hot, though a backdoor front is expected to move westward over
parts of NM. As moisture increases higher RH recoveries and the
potential for isolated thunderstorms should increase over the
southern Rockies/High Plains. A few high-based storms may produce
sporadic dry lightning, though the overlap with the most receptive
fuels is expected to be poor. The increasing moisture along with
much weaker winds should limit the potential for dry and breezy
conditions over much of the Desert Southwest. Isolated pockets of
10-15 mph surface winds and RH below 15% are possible over the
higher terrain in western NM and eastern AZ but, coverage and
duration of any elevated fire-weather conditions appears limited.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

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