NorthGeorgiaWX

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0156 PM CST Sun Jan 21 2024 Valid 221200Z - 231200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes. See previous discussion below. ..Bentley.. 01/21/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1214 AM CST Sun Jan 21 2024/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns are expected to remain low on Monday. Much of the northern US remains under snow pack with cool and moist conditions to continue across the western and central US. Recent precipitation over the last 7-14 days has resulted in high fuel moisture across much of the CONUS, further limiting potential for wildfire spread. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more View the full article

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0156 PM CST Sun Jan 21 2024 Valid 221200Z - 231200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes. See previous discussion below. ..Bentley.. 01/21/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1214 AM CST Sun Jan 21 2024/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns are expected to remain low on Monday. Much of the northern US remains under snow pack with cool and moist conditions to continue across the western and central US. Recent precipitation over the last 7-14 days has resulted in high fuel moisture across much of the CONUS, further limiting potential for wildfire spread. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more View the full article

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0156 PM CST Sun Jan 21 2024 Valid 221200Z - 231200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes. See previous discussion below. ..Bentley.. 01/21/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1214 AM CST Sun Jan 21 2024/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns are expected to remain low on Monday. Much of the northern US remains under snow pack with cool and moist conditions to continue across the western and central US. Recent precipitation over the last 7-14 days has resulted in high fuel moisture across much of the CONUS, further limiting potential for wildfire spread. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more View the full article

Freeze Warning issued January 21 at 2:12PM EST until January 22 at 8:00AM EST by NWSView the full article

Frost Advisory issued January 21 at 2:12PM EST until January 22 at 8:00AM EST by NWSView the full article

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1118 AM CST Sun Jan 21 2024 Valid 221200Z - 231200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not forecast across the contiguous United States on Monday or Monday night. ...Synopsis... A larger-scale upper trough will become better defined across the West during the period as a series of disturbances move through the base of the trough. A mid-level disturbance is forecast to eject northeastward from northern Mexico/southwest TX to the Arklatex by late evening and subsequently into the lower OH Valley by early Tuesday. Upstream of this feature, a powerful eastern Pacific jet will act to amplify an upper trough over the Sierra/NV and AZ vicinity. Relatively cool mid-level temperatures will yield intermittent weak buoyancy and favor showers and a few thunderstorms near the CA coast and into the Sonoran Desert. A more spatially extensive area for isolated thunderstorms will include a large part of central/eastern TX into the OK/Arklatex region in association with a warm-air advection regime atop a cool boundary layer. The absence of surface-based instability will likely preclude strong thunderstorm development across the south-central states. ..Smith.. 01/21/2024 Read more View the full article

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1118 AM CST Sun Jan 21 2024 Valid 221200Z - 231200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not forecast across the contiguous United States on Monday or Monday night. ...Synopsis... A larger-scale upper trough will become better defined across the West during the period as a series of disturbances move through the base of the trough. A mid-level disturbance is forecast to eject northeastward from northern Mexico/southwest TX to the Arklatex by late evening and subsequently into the lower OH Valley by early Tuesday. Upstream of this feature, a powerful eastern Pacific jet will act to amplify an upper trough over the Sierra/NV and AZ vicinity. Relatively cool mid-level temperatures will yield intermittent weak buoyancy and favor showers and a few thunderstorms near the CA coast and into the Sonoran Desert. A more spatially extensive area for isolated thunderstorms will include a large part of central/eastern TX into the OK/Arklatex region in association with a warm-air advection regime atop a cool boundary layer. The absence of surface-based instability will likely preclude strong thunderstorm development across the south-central states. ..Smith.. 01/21/2024 Read more View the full article

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1118 AM CST Sun Jan 21 2024 Valid 221200Z - 231200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not forecast across the contiguous United States on Monday or Monday night. ...Synopsis... A larger-scale upper trough will become better defined across the West during the period as a series of disturbances move through the base of the trough. A mid-level disturbance is forecast to eject northeastward from northern Mexico/southwest TX to the Arklatex by late evening and subsequently into the lower OH Valley by early Tuesday. Upstream of this feature, a powerful eastern Pacific jet will act to amplify an upper trough over the Sierra/NV and AZ vicinity. Relatively cool mid-level temperatures will yield intermittent weak buoyancy and favor showers and a few thunderstorms near the CA coast and into the Sonoran Desert. A more spatially extensive area for isolated thunderstorms will include a large part of central/eastern TX into the OK/Arklatex region in association with a warm-air advection regime atop a cool boundary layer. The absence of surface-based instability will likely preclude strong thunderstorm development across the south-central states. ..Smith.. 01/21/2024 Read more View the full article

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1118 AM CST Sun Jan 21 2024 Valid 221200Z - 231200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not forecast across the contiguous United States on Monday or Monday night. ...Synopsis... A larger-scale upper trough will become better defined across the West during the period as a series of disturbances move through the base of the trough. A mid-level disturbance is forecast to eject northeastward from northern Mexico/southwest TX to the Arklatex by late evening and subsequently into the lower OH Valley by early Tuesday. Upstream of this feature, a powerful eastern Pacific jet will act to amplify an upper trough over the Sierra/NV and AZ vicinity. Relatively cool mid-level temperatures will yield intermittent weak buoyancy and favor showers and a few thunderstorms near the CA coast and into the Sonoran Desert. A more spatially extensive area for isolated thunderstorms will include a large part of central/eastern TX into the OK/Arklatex region in association with a warm-air advection regime atop a cool boundary layer. The absence of surface-based instability will likely preclude strong thunderstorm development across the south-central states. ..Smith.. 01/21/2024 Read more View the full article

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1048 AM CST Sun Jan 21 2024 Valid 211700Z - 221200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes. See previous discussion below. ..Bentley.. 01/21/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1213 AM CST Sun Jan 21 2024/ ...Synopsis... The central US ridge will shift eastward today as weak disturbances move inland across the western US. Some increase of southerly flow is expected across the Plains. Cool and moist conditions, along with fresh snow pack across much of the central/northern Plains, should keep fire weather concerns low. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more View the full article

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1048 AM CST Sun Jan 21 2024 Valid 211700Z - 221200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes. See previous discussion below. ..Bentley.. 01/21/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1213 AM CST Sun Jan 21 2024/ ...Synopsis... The central US ridge will shift eastward today as weak disturbances move inland across the western US. Some increase of southerly flow is expected across the Plains. Cool and moist conditions, along with fresh snow pack across much of the central/northern Plains, should keep fire weather concerns low. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more View the full article

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1048 AM CST Sun Jan 21 2024 Valid 211700Z - 221200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes. See previous discussion below. ..Bentley.. 01/21/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1213 AM CST Sun Jan 21 2024/ ...Synopsis... The central US ridge will shift eastward today as weak disturbances move inland across the western US. Some increase of southerly flow is expected across the Plains. Cool and moist conditions, along with fresh snow pack across much of the central/northern Plains, should keep fire weather concerns low. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more View the full article

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1029 AM CST Sun Jan 21 2024 Valid 211630Z - 221200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not forecast through tonight. ...Discussion... Overall thunderstorm potential will be fairly limited/confined, with severe thunderstorms not expected across the CONUS. Expansive surface high pressure will prevail across the eastern half of the CONUS, along with an accompanying cold continental airmass. Low-level warm advection will expand across the southern Plains into tonight, with a northward transport of higher theta-e air. This will support elevated destabilization, and the development of showers and thunderstorms across parts of central and eastern Texas tonight. In the West, multiple low-amplitude disturbances will spread inland and across the West and Southwest deserts through tonight. Pacific moisture and weak instability will support a few thunderstorms, across southern Arizona vicinity today, and portions of coastal California tonight. ..Guyer/Lyons.. 01/21/2024 Read more View the full article

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1029 AM CST Sun Jan 21 2024 Valid 211630Z - 221200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not forecast through tonight. ...Discussion... Overall thunderstorm potential will be fairly limited/confined, with severe thunderstorms not expected across the CONUS. Expansive surface high pressure will prevail across the eastern half of the CONUS, along with an accompanying cold continental airmass. Low-level warm advection will expand across the southern Plains into tonight, with a northward transport of higher theta-e air. This will support elevated destabilization, and the development of showers and thunderstorms across parts of central and eastern Texas tonight. In the West, multiple low-amplitude disturbances will spread inland and across the West and Southwest deserts through tonight. Pacific moisture and weak instability will support a few thunderstorms, across southern Arizona vicinity today, and portions of coastal California tonight. ..Guyer/Lyons.. 01/21/2024 Read more View the full article

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1029 AM CST Sun Jan 21 2024 Valid 211630Z - 221200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not forecast through tonight. ...Discussion... Overall thunderstorm potential will be fairly limited/confined, with severe thunderstorms not expected across the CONUS. Expansive surface high pressure will prevail across the eastern half of the CONUS, along with an accompanying cold continental airmass. Low-level warm advection will expand across the southern Plains into tonight, with a northward transport of higher theta-e air. This will support elevated destabilization, and the development of showers and thunderstorms across parts of central and eastern Texas tonight. In the West, multiple low-amplitude disturbances will spread inland and across the West and Southwest deserts through tonight. Pacific moisture and weak instability will support a few thunderstorms, across southern Arizona vicinity today, and portions of coastal California tonight. ..Guyer/Lyons.. 01/21/2024 Read more View the full article

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1029 AM CST Sun Jan 21 2024 Valid 211630Z - 221200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not forecast through tonight. ...Discussion... Overall thunderstorm potential will be fairly limited/confined, with severe thunderstorms not expected across the CONUS. Expansive surface high pressure will prevail across the eastern half of the CONUS, along with an accompanying cold continental airmass. Low-level warm advection will expand across the southern Plains into tonight, with a northward transport of higher theta-e air. This will support elevated destabilization, and the development of showers and thunderstorms across parts of central and eastern Texas tonight. In the West, multiple low-amplitude disturbances will spread inland and across the West and Southwest deserts through tonight. Pacific moisture and weak instability will support a few thunderstorms, across southern Arizona vicinity today, and portions of coastal California tonight. ..Guyer/Lyons.. 01/21/2024 Read more View the full article

Flood Warning issued January 21 at 9:13AM EST until further notice by NWSView the full article

Freeze Warning issued January 21 at 9:12AM EST until January 22 at 8:00AM EST by NWSView the full article

Frost Advisory issued January 21 at 9:12AM EST until January 22 at 8:00AM EST by NWSView the full article

Flood Warning issued January 21 at 9:12AM EST until January 24 at 1:00AM EST by NWSView the full article

Flood Warning issued January 21 at 9:12AM EST until January 24 at 10:00PM EST by NWSView the full article

Wind Chill Advisory issued January 21 at 9:06AM EST until January 21 at 10:00AM EST by NWSView the full article

Hard Freeze Warning issued January 21 at 8:18AM EST until January 21 at 9:00AM EST by NWSView the full article

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0651 AM CST Sun Jan 21 2024 Valid 211300Z - 221200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not forecast through tonight. ...Discussion... A broad zone of low-amplitude cyclonic flow aloft is forecast to encompass the western U.S. today, and will expand eastward into the Plains tonight. Farther east, an eastern U.S. trough will continue departing into the western Atlantic, while ridging shifts eastward in its wake, and ahead of the expanding western U.S. cyclonic flow. At the surface, an expansive surface high will prevail over the eastern half of the country, along with an accompanying cold continental airmass. As western U.S. troughing advances eastward, including a lead short wave that will cross the Desert Southwest and northern Mexico through the period, low-level warm advection will expand across the southern Plains. Northward transport of higher theta-e low-level air will support elevated destabilization, and the development of showers and thunderstorms across parts of central and eastern Texas, mainly tonight. Farther west, smaller cyclonic disturbances will continue spreading eastward/inland, which -- coupled with abundant Pacific moisture -- will result in widespread precipitation. While instability should remain weak at best, a few thunderstorms will be possible across the southern Arizona vicinity today, and portions of coastal California tonight. In all areas, severe storms are not expected. ..Goss/Mosier.. 01/21/2024 Read more View the full article

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0651 AM CST Sun Jan 21 2024 Valid 211300Z - 221200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not forecast through tonight. ...Discussion... A broad zone of low-amplitude cyclonic flow aloft is forecast to encompass the western U.S. today, and will expand eastward into the Plains tonight. Farther east, an eastern U.S. trough will continue departing into the western Atlantic, while ridging shifts eastward in its wake, and ahead of the expanding western U.S. cyclonic flow. At the surface, an expansive surface high will prevail over the eastern half of the country, along with an accompanying cold continental airmass. As western U.S. troughing advances eastward, including a lead short wave that will cross the Desert Southwest and northern Mexico through the period, low-level warm advection will expand across the southern Plains. Northward transport of higher theta-e low-level air will support elevated destabilization, and the development of showers and thunderstorms across parts of central and eastern Texas, mainly tonight. Farther west, smaller cyclonic disturbances will continue spreading eastward/inland, which -- coupled with abundant Pacific moisture -- will result in widespread precipitation. While instability should remain weak at best, a few thunderstorms will be possible across the southern Arizona vicinity today, and portions of coastal California tonight. In all areas, severe storms are not expected. ..Goss/Mosier.. 01/21/2024 Read more View the full article