NorthGeorgiaWX

Flood Warning issued January 19 at 9:30AM EST until January 19 at 10:00PM EST by NWSView the full article

Flood Warning issued January 19 at 9:29AM EST until January 20 at 3:00PM EST by NWSView the full article

Flood Warning issued January 19 at 7:55AM EST until further notice by NWSView the full article

Flood Warning issued January 19 at 7:52AM EST until further notice by NWSView the full article

Flood Warning issued January 19 at 7:51AM EST until January 24 at 8:00AM EST by NWSView the full article

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0645 AM CST Fri Jan 19 2024 Valid 191300Z - 201200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... A few thunderstorms may be noted across parts of south Florida and along the central California Coast. ...Synopsis... The upper flow field across the U.S. will be characterized by fast cyclonic flow over the eastern 2/3 of the country today and tonight, while ridging prevails over the West. Ridging will be gradually shunted eastward however, as a low-trough over the eastern Pacific approaches -- and eventually reaches -- the West Coast. At the surface, a cold front will move southward across Florida and the Gulf of Mexico, as high pressure gradually expands southward to encompass a large portion of the U.S. east of the Rockies. While cold stable air associated with this high will preclude thunder potential in most areas, showers and a few thunderstorms will be possible across parts of southern Florida ahead of the front, today and into this evening. However, weak lapse rates -- and resulting weak CAPE -- will preclude any appreciable severe potential. In the West, a few lightning flashes will be possible later in the period, as convection moves inland ahead of the advancing Pacific trough and an associated surface cold front. However, weak instability and the anticipated/elevated nature of this convection suggests minimal, if any, severe risk. ..Goss.. 01/19/2024 Read more View the full article

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0645 AM CST Fri Jan 19 2024 Valid 191300Z - 201200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... A few thunderstorms may be noted across parts of south Florida and along the central California Coast. ...Synopsis... The upper flow field across the U.S. will be characterized by fast cyclonic flow over the eastern 2/3 of the country today and tonight, while ridging prevails over the West. Ridging will be gradually shunted eastward however, as a low-trough over the eastern Pacific approaches -- and eventually reaches -- the West Coast. At the surface, a cold front will move southward across Florida and the Gulf of Mexico, as high pressure gradually expands southward to encompass a large portion of the U.S. east of the Rockies. While cold stable air associated with this high will preclude thunder potential in most areas, showers and a few thunderstorms will be possible across parts of southern Florida ahead of the front, today and into this evening. However, weak lapse rates -- and resulting weak CAPE -- will preclude any appreciable severe potential. In the West, a few lightning flashes will be possible later in the period, as convection moves inland ahead of the advancing Pacific trough and an associated surface cold front. However, weak instability and the anticipated/elevated nature of this convection suggests minimal, if any, severe risk. ..Goss.. 01/19/2024 Read more View the full article

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0645 AM CST Fri Jan 19 2024 Valid 191300Z - 201200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... A few thunderstorms may be noted across parts of south Florida and along the central California Coast. ...Synopsis... The upper flow field across the U.S. will be characterized by fast cyclonic flow over the eastern 2/3 of the country today and tonight, while ridging prevails over the West. Ridging will be gradually shunted eastward however, as a low-trough over the eastern Pacific approaches -- and eventually reaches -- the West Coast. At the surface, a cold front will move southward across Florida and the Gulf of Mexico, as high pressure gradually expands southward to encompass a large portion of the U.S. east of the Rockies. While cold stable air associated with this high will preclude thunder potential in most areas, showers and a few thunderstorms will be possible across parts of southern Florida ahead of the front, today and into this evening. However, weak lapse rates -- and resulting weak CAPE -- will preclude any appreciable severe potential. In the West, a few lightning flashes will be possible later in the period, as convection moves inland ahead of the advancing Pacific trough and an associated surface cold front. However, weak instability and the anticipated/elevated nature of this convection suggests minimal, if any, severe risk. ..Goss.. 01/19/2024 Read more View the full article

Flood Warning issued January 19 at 7:47AM EST until January 20 at 1:00AM EST by NWSView the full article

Wind Chill Advisory issued January 19 at 6:52AM EST until January 20 at 11:00AM EST by NWSView the full article

Wind Chill Advisory issued January 19 at 6:52AM EST until January 20 at 11:00AM EST by NWSView the full article

Flood Warning issued January 19 at 5:04AM EST until January 20 at 1:00AM EST by NWSView the full article

Flood Warning issued January 19 at 5:00AM EST until January 20 at 4:00PM EST by NWSView the full article

Day 4-8 Outlook Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0349 AM CST Fri Jan 19 2024 Valid 221200Z - 271200Z ...DISCUSSION... ...Monday/Day 4 to Wednesday/Day 6... Southwest flow at mid-levels is forecast to remain in place across much of the south-central U.S. on Monday. A moist airmass is forecast from the Texas Coastal Plains into southwest Louisiana, where scattered thunderstorms may develop on Monday and Monday night. Although an isolated severe threat will be possible in the moist airmass, instability is forecast to remain relatively weak in most areas, suggesting that any severe threat should be localized. Uncertainty remains considerable concerning where the greatest threat would be. On Tuesday and Wednesday, southwest flow at mid-levels is forecast to remain from the southern Plains into the Gulf Coast states. An upper-level trough is forecast to approach the southern Plains during the mid-week, as southerly low-level flow helps to maintain a moist airmass along the western Gulf Coast. During the day on both Tuesday and Wednesday, model forecasts suggest that moderate instability could develop across parts of south-central Texas. A severe threat would be possible in the afternoon and evening within and along the northern edge of the instability from south-central Texas into southern Louisiana. At this time, confidence concerning the magnitude of any severe threat is too low to introduce a 15 percent contour for either of the two days. ...Thursday/Day 7 and Friday/Day 8... From Thursday into Friday, and upper-level trough is projected to move across the southern Plains, as a cold front advances eastward across the western and central Gulf Coast states. Scattered thunderstorm development may occur ahead of the front across a moist airmass each afternoon and evening. At this time, model forecasts suggest that instability will remain weak across the Gulf Coast states on Thursday and Friday, suggesting any severe threat would be minimal. Read more View the full article

Day 4-8 Outlook Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0349 AM CST Fri Jan 19 2024 Valid 221200Z - 271200Z ...DISCUSSION... ...Monday/Day 4 to Wednesday/Day 6... Southwest flow at mid-levels is forecast to remain in place across much of the south-central U.S. on Monday. A moist airmass is forecast from the Texas Coastal Plains into southwest Louisiana, where scattered thunderstorms may develop on Monday and Monday night. Although an isolated severe threat will be possible in the moist airmass, instability is forecast to remain relatively weak in most areas, suggesting that any severe threat should be localized. Uncertainty remains considerable concerning where the greatest threat would be. On Tuesday and Wednesday, southwest flow at mid-levels is forecast to remain from the southern Plains into the Gulf Coast states. An upper-level trough is forecast to approach the southern Plains during the mid-week, as southerly low-level flow helps to maintain a moist airmass along the western Gulf Coast. During the day on both Tuesday and Wednesday, model forecasts suggest that moderate instability could develop across parts of south-central Texas. A severe threat would be possible in the afternoon and evening within and along the northern edge of the instability from south-central Texas into southern Louisiana. At this time, confidence concerning the magnitude of any severe threat is too low to introduce a 15 percent contour for either of the two days. ...Thursday/Day 7 and Friday/Day 8... From Thursday into Friday, and upper-level trough is projected to move across the southern Plains, as a cold front advances eastward across the western and central Gulf Coast states. Scattered thunderstorm development may occur ahead of the front across a moist airmass each afternoon and evening. At this time, model forecasts suggest that instability will remain weak across the Gulf Coast states on Thursday and Friday, suggesting any severe threat would be minimal. Read more View the full article

Day 4-8 Outlook Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0349 AM CST Fri Jan 19 2024 Valid 221200Z - 271200Z ...DISCUSSION... ...Monday/Day 4 to Wednesday/Day 6... Southwest flow at mid-levels is forecast to remain in place across much of the south-central U.S. on Monday. A moist airmass is forecast from the Texas Coastal Plains into southwest Louisiana, where scattered thunderstorms may develop on Monday and Monday night. Although an isolated severe threat will be possible in the moist airmass, instability is forecast to remain relatively weak in most areas, suggesting that any severe threat should be localized. Uncertainty remains considerable concerning where the greatest threat would be. On Tuesday and Wednesday, southwest flow at mid-levels is forecast to remain from the southern Plains into the Gulf Coast states. An upper-level trough is forecast to approach the southern Plains during the mid-week, as southerly low-level flow helps to maintain a moist airmass along the western Gulf Coast. During the day on both Tuesday and Wednesday, model forecasts suggest that moderate instability could develop across parts of south-central Texas. A severe threat would be possible in the afternoon and evening within and along the northern edge of the instability from south-central Texas into southern Louisiana. At this time, confidence concerning the magnitude of any severe threat is too low to introduce a 15 percent contour for either of the two days. ...Thursday/Day 7 and Friday/Day 8... From Thursday into Friday, and upper-level trough is projected to move across the southern Plains, as a cold front advances eastward across the western and central Gulf Coast states. Scattered thunderstorm development may occur ahead of the front across a moist airmass each afternoon and evening. At this time, model forecasts suggest that instability will remain weak across the Gulf Coast states on Thursday and Friday, suggesting any severe threat would be minimal. Read more View the full article

Day 4-8 Outlook Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0349 AM CST Fri Jan 19 2024 Valid 221200Z - 271200Z ...DISCUSSION... ...Monday/Day 4 to Wednesday/Day 6... Southwest flow at mid-levels is forecast to remain in place across much of the south-central U.S. on Monday. A moist airmass is forecast from the Texas Coastal Plains into southwest Louisiana, where scattered thunderstorms may develop on Monday and Monday night. Although an isolated severe threat will be possible in the moist airmass, instability is forecast to remain relatively weak in most areas, suggesting that any severe threat should be localized. Uncertainty remains considerable concerning where the greatest threat would be. On Tuesday and Wednesday, southwest flow at mid-levels is forecast to remain from the southern Plains into the Gulf Coast states. An upper-level trough is forecast to approach the southern Plains during the mid-week, as southerly low-level flow helps to maintain a moist airmass along the western Gulf Coast. During the day on both Tuesday and Wednesday, model forecasts suggest that moderate instability could develop across parts of south-central Texas. A severe threat would be possible in the afternoon and evening within and along the northern edge of the instability from south-central Texas into southern Louisiana. At this time, confidence concerning the magnitude of any severe threat is too low to introduce a 15 percent contour for either of the two days. ...Thursday/Day 7 and Friday/Day 8... From Thursday into Friday, and upper-level trough is projected to move across the southern Plains, as a cold front advances eastward across the western and central Gulf Coast states. Scattered thunderstorm development may occur ahead of the front across a moist airmass each afternoon and evening. At this time, model forecasts suggest that instability will remain weak across the Gulf Coast states on Thursday and Friday, suggesting any severe threat would be minimal. Read more View the full article

Wind Chill Advisory issued January 19 at 4:03AM EST until January 20 at 12:00PM EST by NWSView the full article

Lake Wind Advisory issued January 19 at 3:38AM EST until January 19 at 10:00PM EST by NWSView the full article

Winter Weather Advisory issued January 19 at 3:37AM EST until January 19 at 7:00AM EST by NWSView the full article

Wind Chill Advisory issued January 19 at 3:37AM EST until January 20 at 11:00AM EST by NWSView the full article

Wind Chill Advisory issued January 19 at 3:37AM EST until January 20 at 11:00AM EST by NWSView the full article

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0228 AM CST Fri Jan 19 2024 Valid 211200Z - 221200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are expected across parts of southern, central and east Texas, and along the coast of California from Sunday into Sunday night. No severe threat is forecast. ...DISCUSSION... An upper-level ridge is forecast to move into the eastern U.S. on Sunday, as an upper-level trough moves through the Desert Southwest. Ahead of the trough, southwest mid-level flow will become established across the southern Plains on Sunday. In response, a low-level jet is forecast to develop over the southern Plains, with moisture advection occurring across parts of Texas. Increasing low-level moisture and lift associated with the low-level jet will create conditions favorable for thunderstorms, mainly Sunday night across parts of the Texas Coastal Plains extending northward into parts of central and east Texas. Elsewhere on Sunday, thunderstorms are expected to develop along the coast of California, as an upper-level trough approaches the West Coast Sunday night. No severe threat is expected across the continental U.S. Sunday or Sunday night. ..Broyles.. 01/19/2024 Read more View the full article

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0228 AM CST Fri Jan 19 2024 Valid 211200Z - 221200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are expected across parts of southern, central and east Texas, and along the coast of California from Sunday into Sunday night. No severe threat is forecast. ...DISCUSSION... An upper-level ridge is forecast to move into the eastern U.S. on Sunday, as an upper-level trough moves through the Desert Southwest. Ahead of the trough, southwest mid-level flow will become established across the southern Plains on Sunday. In response, a low-level jet is forecast to develop over the southern Plains, with moisture advection occurring across parts of Texas. Increasing low-level moisture and lift associated with the low-level jet will create conditions favorable for thunderstorms, mainly Sunday night across parts of the Texas Coastal Plains extending northward into parts of central and east Texas. Elsewhere on Sunday, thunderstorms are expected to develop along the coast of California, as an upper-level trough approaches the West Coast Sunday night. No severe threat is expected across the continental U.S. Sunday or Sunday night. ..Broyles.. 01/19/2024 Read more View the full article

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0228 AM CST Fri Jan 19 2024 Valid 211200Z - 221200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are expected across parts of southern, central and east Texas, and along the coast of California from Sunday into Sunday night. No severe threat is forecast. ...DISCUSSION... An upper-level ridge is forecast to move into the eastern U.S. on Sunday, as an upper-level trough moves through the Desert Southwest. Ahead of the trough, southwest mid-level flow will become established across the southern Plains on Sunday. In response, a low-level jet is forecast to develop over the southern Plains, with moisture advection occurring across parts of Texas. Increasing low-level moisture and lift associated with the low-level jet will create conditions favorable for thunderstorms, mainly Sunday night across parts of the Texas Coastal Plains extending northward into parts of central and east Texas. Elsewhere on Sunday, thunderstorms are expected to develop along the coast of California, as an upper-level trough approaches the West Coast Sunday night. No severe threat is expected across the continental U.S. Sunday or Sunday night. ..Broyles.. 01/19/2024 Read more View the full article