SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0228 AM CST Fri Jan 19 2024
Valid 211200Z - 221200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are expected across parts of southern, central and
east Texas, and along the coast of California from Sunday into
Sunday night. No severe threat is forecast.
...DISCUSSION...
An upper-level ridge is forecast to move into the eastern U.S. on
Sunday, as an upper-level trough moves through the Desert Southwest.
Ahead of the trough, southwest mid-level flow will become
established across the southern Plains on Sunday. In response, a
low-level jet is forecast to develop over the southern Plains, with
moisture advection occurring across parts of Texas. Increasing
low-level moisture and lift associated with the low-level jet will
create conditions favorable for thunderstorms, mainly Sunday night
across parts of the Texas Coastal Plains extending northward into
parts of central and east Texas. Elsewhere on Sunday, thunderstorms
are expected to develop along the coast of California, as an
upper-level trough approaches the West Coast Sunday night. No severe
threat is expected across the continental U.S. Sunday or Sunday
night.
..Broyles.. 01/19/2024
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