NorthGeorgiaWX

Flood Warning issued January 09 at 4:08PM EST until further notice by NWSView the full article

MD 0038 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 5...7... FOR NORTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA...CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...AND SOUTHERN VIRGINIA. Mesoscale Discussion 0038 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0302 PM CST Tue Jan 09 2024 Areas affected...northern South Carolina...central North Carolina...and southern Virginia. Concerning...Tornado Watch 5...7... Valid 092102Z - 092230Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 5, 7 continues. SUMMARY...A broken line of storms continues east with a threat for damaging wind gusts and potential for brief tornadoes. DISCUSSION...A broken line of storms continues to move east across central South Carolina and central North Carolina with a history of producing damaging wind gusts. Lightning has lessened within the last few hours along this line as it moves east of the greater forcing and into a less buoyant airmass. However, some reintensification of the line has recently been observed near the South Carolina/North Carolina border, likely as a result of the approaching synoptic front. This was well forecast by the last several runs of the WoFS which also persist this well organized line to the South Carolina and North Carolina coast this evening. The best potential for supercellular tornadoes (and strong tornado potential) still exists with strong supercells moving off of the Gulf (see MCD 36), however, there remains some potential for tornadic producing supercells ahead of the squall line through the evening. Watch 7 may need to be expanded to the coast in eastern North Carolina and southeast Virginia if discrete development ahead of the line indicates it may move into that region. ..Bentley/Hart.. 01/09/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...RNK...CHS...CAE...GSP... LAT...LON 33837779 33777830 33667882 33197904 32707971 32568029 32728089 33098080 33998054 34888041 36327956 37277883 37457806 37327711 36927598 36077561 35647538 35157551 34787620 34567647 34497687 34407741 33837779 Read more View the full article

Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued January 09 at 3:54PM EST until January 09 at 4:00PM EST by NWSView the full article

Severe Weather Statement issued January 09 at 3:54PM EST until January 09 at 4:00PM EST by NWSView the full article

Severe Weather Statement issued January 09 at 3:54PM EST until January 09 at 4:15PM EST by NWSView the full article

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0248 PM CST Tue Jan 09 2024 Valid 111200Z - 171200Z A strong upper-level trough will be in the process pivoting through the Southwest/northern Mexico on Thursday before quickly ejecting into the southern Plains by Friday morning. As this feature races northeastward it will become a strong upper low in the Upper Midwest with broadly cyclonic flow elsewhere across much of the central/eastern CONUS during the weekend. The upper-level pattern becomes a bit more uncertain into next week, though a trough in the East and a ridge in the West is the current general theme in forecast guidance. At the surface, a surface cyclone will deepen rapidly as it moves from the southern Plains into the lower Great Lakes region. Colder air will eventually filter into the Plains during the weekend with another reinforcing shot early next week. Low temperatures and precipitation should limit fire weather concerns in most areas. Dry and windy conditions are expected to occur in the Trans-Pecos on Thursday. Though locally elevated fire weather appears probable, limited fuel receptiveness should keep greater concerns from developing despite the near-critical/critical meteorological conditions. As the front moves southward on Friday, another northwesterly flow regime will develop in the Rio Grande Valley/South Texas. With the dry and windy conditions in the preceding days, fine fuels appear that they will be dry enough to support fire spread. Winds will be strongest in the morning into the early afternoon before diminishing. Highlights have been added for the few hours of expected elevated to near-critical fire weather. ..Wendt.. 01/09/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more View the full article

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0248 PM CST Tue Jan 09 2024 Valid 111200Z - 171200Z A strong upper-level trough will be in the process pivoting through the Southwest/northern Mexico on Thursday before quickly ejecting into the southern Plains by Friday morning. As this feature races northeastward it will become a strong upper low in the Upper Midwest with broadly cyclonic flow elsewhere across much of the central/eastern CONUS during the weekend. The upper-level pattern becomes a bit more uncertain into next week, though a trough in the East and a ridge in the West is the current general theme in forecast guidance. At the surface, a surface cyclone will deepen rapidly as it moves from the southern Plains into the lower Great Lakes region. Colder air will eventually filter into the Plains during the weekend with another reinforcing shot early next week. Low temperatures and precipitation should limit fire weather concerns in most areas. Dry and windy conditions are expected to occur in the Trans-Pecos on Thursday. Though locally elevated fire weather appears probable, limited fuel receptiveness should keep greater concerns from developing despite the near-critical/critical meteorological conditions. As the front moves southward on Friday, another northwesterly flow regime will develop in the Rio Grande Valley/South Texas. With the dry and windy conditions in the preceding days, fine fuels appear that they will be dry enough to support fire spread. Winds will be strongest in the morning into the early afternoon before diminishing. Highlights have been added for the few hours of expected elevated to near-critical fire weather. ..Wendt.. 01/09/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more View the full article

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0248 PM CST Tue Jan 09 2024 Valid 111200Z - 171200Z A strong upper-level trough will be in the process pivoting through the Southwest/northern Mexico on Thursday before quickly ejecting into the southern Plains by Friday morning. As this feature races northeastward it will become a strong upper low in the Upper Midwest with broadly cyclonic flow elsewhere across much of the central/eastern CONUS during the weekend. The upper-level pattern becomes a bit more uncertain into next week, though a trough in the East and a ridge in the West is the current general theme in forecast guidance. At the surface, a surface cyclone will deepen rapidly as it moves from the southern Plains into the lower Great Lakes region. Colder air will eventually filter into the Plains during the weekend with another reinforcing shot early next week. Low temperatures and precipitation should limit fire weather concerns in most areas. Dry and windy conditions are expected to occur in the Trans-Pecos on Thursday. Though locally elevated fire weather appears probable, limited fuel receptiveness should keep greater concerns from developing despite the near-critical/critical meteorological conditions. As the front moves southward on Friday, another northwesterly flow regime will develop in the Rio Grande Valley/South Texas. With the dry and windy conditions in the preceding days, fine fuels appear that they will be dry enough to support fire spread. Winds will be strongest in the morning into the early afternoon before diminishing. Highlights have been added for the few hours of expected elevated to near-critical fire weather. ..Wendt.. 01/09/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more View the full article

Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued January 09 at 3:48PM EST until January 09 at 4:15PM EST by NWSView the full article

Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued January 09 at 3:37PM EST until January 09 at 3:45PM EST by NWSView the full article

Severe Weather Statement issued January 09 at 3:37PM EST until January 09 at 4:00PM EST by NWSView the full article

MD 0037 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 5...6... FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH/CENTRAL FL Mesoscale Discussion 0037 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0234 PM CST Tue Jan 09 2024 Areas affected...Portions of north/central FL Concerning...Tornado Watch 5...6... Valid 092034Z - 092200Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 5, 6 continues. SUMMARY...The threat for damaging winds and embedded QLCS tornadoes continues this afternoon. DISCUSSION...A broken line of thunderstorms extends from far northeast FL into the eastern Gulf of Mexico as of 2030Z. Both low-level and deep-layer shear remain impressively strong across these areas in association with a mid/upper-level cyclone centered over the mid MS Valley/Midwest. With filtered diurnal heating supporting around 500-1000 J/kg of MLCAPE, this line should maintain its intensity as it moves eastward across the northern and central FL Peninsula over the next couple of hours. Scattered damaging winds up to 60-70 mph should remain the primary severe threat. But, with the KTBW VWP still showing around 370 m2/s2 of 0-1 km SRH, the threat for embedded QLCS tornadoes continues. ..Gleason.. 01/09/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...MLB...TBW...JAX... LAT...LON 28478285 29818203 30638172 30578140 30008129 29118120 27008250 27708315 28478285 Read more View the full article

Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued January 09 at 3:35PM EST until January 09 at 4:00PM EST by NWSView the full article

Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued January 09 at 3:33PM EST until January 09 at 4:30PM EST by NWSView the full article

Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued January 09 at 3:30PM EST until January 09 at 3:45PM EST by NWSView the full article

Severe Weather Statement issued January 09 at 3:30PM EST until January 09 at 3:45PM EST by NWSView the full article

Severe Weather Statement issued January 09 at 3:30PM EST until January 09 at 4:30PM EST by NWSView the full article

WW 0006 Status Updates STATUS REPORT ON WW 6 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 WNW PIE TO 50 SW OCF TO 5 NNW GNV. ..THORNTON..01/09/24 ATTN...WFO...MLB...TBW... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 6 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS FLC009-015-017-027-049-053-055-057-069-071-081-095-097-101-103- 105-115-117-119-127-092140- FL . FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BREVARD CHARLOTTE CITRUS DESOTO HARDEE HERNANDO HIGHLANDS HILLSBOROUGH LAKE LEE MANATEE ORANGE OSCEOLA PASCO PINELLAS POLK SARASOTA SEMINOLE SUMTER VOLUSIA AMZ550-552-GMZ830-836-853-856-092140- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE 0-20 NM VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 0-20 NM Read more View the full article

WW 0006 Status Updates STATUS REPORT ON WW 6 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 WNW PIE TO 50 SW OCF TO 5 NNW GNV. ..THORNTON..01/09/24 ATTN...WFO...MLB...TBW... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 6 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS FLC009-015-017-027-049-053-055-057-069-071-081-095-097-101-103- 105-115-117-119-127-092140- FL . FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BREVARD CHARLOTTE CITRUS DESOTO HARDEE HERNANDO HIGHLANDS HILLSBOROUGH LAKE LEE MANATEE ORANGE OSCEOLA PASCO PINELLAS POLK SARASOTA SEMINOLE SUMTER VOLUSIA AMZ550-552-GMZ830-836-853-856-092140- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE 0-20 NM VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 0-20 NM Read more View the full article

WW 0006 Status Updates STATUS REPORT ON WW 6 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 WNW PIE TO 50 SW OCF TO 5 NNW GNV. ..THORNTON..01/09/24 ATTN...WFO...MLB...TBW... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 6 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS FLC009-015-017-027-049-053-055-057-069-071-081-095-097-101-103- 105-115-117-119-127-092140- FL . FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BREVARD CHARLOTTE CITRUS DESOTO HARDEE HERNANDO HIGHLANDS HILLSBOROUGH LAKE LEE MANATEE ORANGE OSCEOLA PASCO PINELLAS POLK SARASOTA SEMINOLE SUMTER VOLUSIA AMZ550-552-GMZ830-836-853-856-092140- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE 0-20 NM VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 0-20 NM Read more View the full article

WW 0006 Status Updates STATUS REPORT ON WW 6 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 WNW PIE TO 50 SW OCF TO 5 NNW GNV. ..THORNTON..01/09/24 ATTN...WFO...MLB...TBW... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 6 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS FLC009-015-017-027-049-053-055-057-069-071-081-095-097-101-103- 105-115-117-119-127-092140- FL . FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BREVARD CHARLOTTE CITRUS DESOTO HARDEE HERNANDO HIGHLANDS HILLSBOROUGH LAKE LEE MANATEE ORANGE OSCEOLA PASCO PINELLAS POLK SARASOTA SEMINOLE SUMTER VOLUSIA AMZ550-552-GMZ830-836-853-856-092140- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE 0-20 NM VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 0-20 NM Read more View the full article

Flood Warning issued January 09 at 3:29PM EST until further notice by NWSView the full article

MD 0036 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 5...6...7... FOR FAR EASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA Mesoscale Discussion 0036 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0226 PM CST Tue Jan 09 2024 Areas affected...far eastern South Carolina and southeast North Carolina Concerning...Tornado Watch 5...6...7... Valid 092026Z - 092200Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 5, 6, 7 continues. SUMMARY...The supercell tornado threat is increasing this afternoon. DISCUSSION...A band of supercells has started to mature as they move north over the warm Atlantic waters. Very strong shear, (68 knots per CHS 18Z RAOB) and a vorticity rich low-level airmass with 474 m2/2 0-500m SRH will support a waterspout/tornado threat with these supercells. However, at this time, instability is still quite limited along the coast with only 61F dewpoint at North Myrtle Beach, SC and Southport, NC. This may keep the tornado threat confined to the coast initially. However, the higher theta-e airmass over the ocean is expected to advect inland late this afternoon and evening which may also increase the strong tornado threat. ..Bentley.. 01/09/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...MHX...RAH...ILM... LAT...LON 33717882 34257877 34817841 34887776 34237735 32487794 32217872 32267918 32947915 33717882 Read more View the full article

WW 0005 Status Updates STATUS REPORT ON WW 5 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NW OCF TO 30 ENE GNV TO 15 WNW SSI TO 15 N SAV TO 35 SSW OGB TO 20 N OGB TO 40 SSE CLT TO 35 ENE CLT. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0000 ..THORNTON..01/09/24 ATTN...WFO...JAX...CHS...CAE...RAH...GSP...ILM... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 5 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS FLC035-083-107-109-092140- FL . FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE FLAGLER MARION PUTNAM ST. JOHNS GAC051-127-191-092140- GA . GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CHATHAM GLYNN MCINTOSH NCC007-057-067-151-167-179-092140- NC . NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE Read more View the full article

WW 0005 Status Updates STATUS REPORT ON WW 5 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NW OCF TO 30 ENE GNV TO 15 WNW SSI TO 15 N SAV TO 35 SSW OGB TO 20 N OGB TO 40 SSE CLT TO 35 ENE CLT. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0000 ..THORNTON..01/09/24 ATTN...WFO...JAX...CHS...CAE...RAH...GSP...ILM... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 5 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS FLC035-083-107-109-092140- FL . FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE FLAGLER MARION PUTNAM ST. JOHNS GAC051-127-191-092140- GA . GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CHATHAM GLYNN MCINTOSH NCC007-057-067-151-167-179-092140- NC . NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE Read more View the full article