Administrators NorthGeorgiaWX Posted March 8 Administrators Share Posted March 8 SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1259 AM CST Fri Mar 08 2024 Valid 091200Z - 101200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST STATES AND CAROLINAS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms capable of damaging winds and a few tornadoes are expected Saturday across parts of the Southeast States into the Carolinas. ...Southeast States/Carolinas... A southern-stream upper-level trough over the Southwest Deserts will reach the southern Plains/Ozarks by early Saturday, continuing east-northeastward toward the southern Appalachians while gradually phasing with a northern-stream trough over the Great Lakes and Midwest. Primary surface cyclogenesis will occur over the Midwest, but a secondary surface wave may evolve toward the southern Appalachians as a cold front progresses eastward across the region. At least mid 60s F surface dewpoints are forecast to advance quickly northward across parts of Georgia and the Carolinas ahead of a cold front. This will be in tandem with a northward-shifting warm front, with its northward disposition likely impacted and subject to uncertainty due to scattered early day convection. A few strong to severe storms could be ongoing Saturday morning across parts of southern Alabama and the Florida Panhandle into southwest/south-central Georgia. Strong (40-50 kt) south-southwesterly low-level flow should promote fast thunderstorm motions, along with potential for severe/damaging downdraft winds as well as a tornado risk with any clusters/bowing line segments that can form/persist. It currently appears that the main diurnal severe risk will focus across southern/eastern Georgia into downstate/Piedmont portions of South Carolina in vicinity of the warm front and evolving weak secondary surface wave. As the boundary layer warms, this includes potential for supercells, given the forecast strength of the low/mid-level flow and related low/deep-layer shear. The damaging wind/tornado risk may persist through the early evening hours in coastal areas. ..Guyer.. 03/08/2024 Read more View the full article Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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