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This is an automated feed from the Storm Prediction Center that post the following products with images:
- Tornado/Severe Thunderstorm Watches - Watch number and the link to the watch page and watch status page if issued.
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- Convective Outlooks - Day 1, 2, 3, and 4-8
- Fire Weather Outlooks - 1,2, and 3-8
7,508 topics in this forum
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SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1112 AM CST Sun Dec 31 2023 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Potential for thunderstorms appears very low on Monday. ...Synopsis... A positively tilted upper-level trough within the East will continue its progress southeastward before moving offshore late Monday/early Tuesday. Another upper-level trough will move into northern Mexico and the Southwest through the period. At the surface, a cold front will push into the northern Gulf. Presently, the greatest potential for thunderstorms will likely remain offshore along the Gulf cold …
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
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SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1112 AM CST Sun Dec 31 2023 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Potential for thunderstorms appears very low on Monday. ...Synopsis... A positively tilted upper-level trough within the East will continue its progress southeastward before moving offshore late Monday/early Tuesday. Another upper-level trough will move into northern Mexico and the Southwest through the period. At the surface, a cold front will push into the northern Gulf. Presently, the greatest potential for thunderstorms will likely remain offshore along the Gulf cold …
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
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SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1112 AM CST Sun Dec 31 2023 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Potential for thunderstorms appears very low on Monday. ...Synopsis... A positively tilted upper-level trough within the East will continue its progress southeastward before moving offshore late Monday/early Tuesday. Another upper-level trough will move into northern Mexico and the Southwest through the period. At the surface, a cold front will push into the northern Gulf. Presently, the greatest potential for thunderstorms will likely remain offshore along the Gulf cold …
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
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SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1112 AM CST Sun Dec 31 2023 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Potential for thunderstorms appears very low on Monday. ...Synopsis... A positively tilted upper-level trough within the East will continue its progress southeastward before moving offshore late Monday/early Tuesday. Another upper-level trough will move into northern Mexico and the Southwest through the period. At the surface, a cold front will push into the northern Gulf. Presently, the greatest potential for thunderstorms will likely remain offshore along the Gulf cold …
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
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SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1051 AM CST Sun Dec 31 2023 Valid 311700Z - 011200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The current D1 Fire Weather Outlook remains on track. See previous discussion below. ..Thornton.. 12/31/2023 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0112 AM CST Sun Dec 31 2023/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns are expected to remain limited for today, but localized concerns are possible across southern NM into southwest TX. A dry air mass remains in place from central CO into southern NM and southwest TX with dewpoints in the single digits to low teens. This air mass will largely remain in …
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
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SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1051 AM CST Sun Dec 31 2023 Valid 311700Z - 011200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The current D1 Fire Weather Outlook remains on track. See previous discussion below. ..Thornton.. 12/31/2023 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0112 AM CST Sun Dec 31 2023/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns are expected to remain limited for today, but localized concerns are possible across southern NM into southwest TX. A dry air mass remains in place from central CO into southern NM and southwest TX with dewpoints in the single digits to low teens. This air mass will largely remain in …
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
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SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0958 AM CST Sun Dec 31 2023 Valid 311630Z - 011200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are unlikely through early New Year's Day. ...Synopsis... Within a split flow regime, a series of southern stream shortwave troughs will progress eastward from off the southern CA coast to TX. A modifying air mass will spread northward over the western Gulf of Mexico to the TX coast by late tonight, where weak buoyancy will develop. However, thermodynamic profiles are not expected to be particularly favorable for charge separation inland of a weak coastal …
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
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SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0958 AM CST Sun Dec 31 2023 Valid 311630Z - 011200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are unlikely through early New Year's Day. ...Synopsis... Within a split flow regime, a series of southern stream shortwave troughs will progress eastward from off the southern CA coast to TX. A modifying air mass will spread northward over the western Gulf of Mexico to the TX coast by late tonight, where weak buoyancy will develop. However, thermodynamic profiles are not expected to be particularly favorable for charge separation inland of a weak coastal …
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
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SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0958 AM CST Sun Dec 31 2023 Valid 311630Z - 011200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are unlikely through early New Year's Day. ...Synopsis... Within a split flow regime, a series of southern stream shortwave troughs will progress eastward from off the southern CA coast to TX. A modifying air mass will spread northward over the western Gulf of Mexico to the TX coast by late tonight, where weak buoyancy will develop. However, thermodynamic profiles are not expected to be particularly favorable for charge separation inland of a weak coastal …
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
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SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0958 AM CST Sun Dec 31 2023 Valid 311630Z - 011200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are unlikely through early New Year's Day. ...Synopsis... Within a split flow regime, a series of southern stream shortwave troughs will progress eastward from off the southern CA coast to TX. A modifying air mass will spread northward over the western Gulf of Mexico to the TX coast by late tonight, where weak buoyancy will develop. However, thermodynamic profiles are not expected to be particularly favorable for charge separation inland of a weak coastal …
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
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SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0636 AM CST Sun Dec 31 2023 Valid 311300Z - 011200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected today or tonight over the continental USA. ...Synopsis/Forecast... A moderately amplified but progressive split upper-flow regime will exist over much of the CONUS, particularly to the west of an elongated upper trough over the Midwest and East. The prevalence of high pressure east of the Rockies and relatively dry/stable conditions will considerably limit the potential for thunderstorms. Air mass modification will occur with early stage low…
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
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SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0636 AM CST Sun Dec 31 2023 Valid 311300Z - 011200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected today or tonight over the continental USA. ...Synopsis/Forecast... A moderately amplified but progressive split upper-flow regime will exist over much of the CONUS, particularly to the west of an elongated upper trough over the Midwest and East. The prevalence of high pressure east of the Rockies and relatively dry/stable conditions will considerably limit the potential for thunderstorms. Air mass modification will occur with early stage low…
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
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SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0636 AM CST Sun Dec 31 2023 Valid 311300Z - 011200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected today or tonight over the continental USA. ...Synopsis/Forecast... A moderately amplified but progressive split upper-flow regime will exist over much of the CONUS, particularly to the west of an elongated upper trough over the Midwest and East. The prevalence of high pressure east of the Rockies and relatively dry/stable conditions will considerably limit the potential for thunderstorms. Air mass modification will occur with early stage low…
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
- 0 replies
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SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0636 AM CST Sun Dec 31 2023 Valid 311300Z - 011200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected today or tonight over the continental USA. ...Synopsis/Forecast... A moderately amplified but progressive split upper-flow regime will exist over much of the CONUS, particularly to the west of an elongated upper trough over the Midwest and East. The prevalence of high pressure east of the Rockies and relatively dry/stable conditions will considerably limit the potential for thunderstorms. Air mass modification will occur with early stage low…
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
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SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0636 AM CST Sun Dec 31 2023 Valid 311300Z - 011200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected today or tonight over the continental USA. ...Synopsis/Forecast... A moderately amplified but progressive split upper-flow regime will exist over much of the CONUS, particularly to the west of an elongated upper trough over the Midwest and East. The prevalence of high pressure east of the Rockies and relatively dry/stable conditions will considerably limit the potential for thunderstorms. Air mass modification will occur with early stage low…
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
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Day 4-8 Outlook Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0336 AM CST Sun Dec 31 2023 Valid 031200Z - 081200Z ...DISCUSSION... A southern-stream shortwave trough over the southern Plains will move quickly eastward over the lower MS Valley and Southeast from Day 4/Wednesday into Day 5/Thursday, while eventually merging with another upper trough over the eastern states. A weak surface low should track across the northern Gulf of Mexico in this time frame. With greater low-level moisture forecast to remain confined along/south of a front draped off the Gulf Coast, severe potential over land appears low. Another upper trough/low should adva…
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
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Day 4-8 Outlook Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0336 AM CST Sun Dec 31 2023 Valid 031200Z - 081200Z ...DISCUSSION... A southern-stream shortwave trough over the southern Plains will move quickly eastward over the lower MS Valley and Southeast from Day 4/Wednesday into Day 5/Thursday, while eventually merging with another upper trough over the eastern states. A weak surface low should track across the northern Gulf of Mexico in this time frame. With greater low-level moisture forecast to remain confined along/south of a front draped off the Gulf Coast, severe potential over land appears low. Another upper trough/low should adva…
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
- 0 replies
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Day 4-8 Outlook Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0336 AM CST Sun Dec 31 2023 Valid 031200Z - 081200Z ...DISCUSSION... A southern-stream shortwave trough over the southern Plains will move quickly eastward over the lower MS Valley and Southeast from Day 4/Wednesday into Day 5/Thursday, while eventually merging with another upper trough over the eastern states. A weak surface low should track across the northern Gulf of Mexico in this time frame. With greater low-level moisture forecast to remain confined along/south of a front draped off the Gulf Coast, severe potential over land appears low. Another upper trough/low should adva…
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
- 0 replies
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SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0215 AM CST Sun Dec 31 2023 Valid 021200Z - 031200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated thunderstorms may occur Tuesday afternoon through Tuesday night across parts of Texas and southwest Louisiana. Severe thunderstorms are not expected. ...Synopsis and Discussion... A strong southern-stream upper trough/low with associated 50-60 kt mid-level jet will progress quickly eastward across northern Mexico and the southern Plains on Tuesday. Surface high pressure should remain entrenched over much of the TN Valley and Southeast through the period, w…
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
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SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0215 AM CST Sun Dec 31 2023 Valid 021200Z - 031200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated thunderstorms may occur Tuesday afternoon through Tuesday night across parts of Texas and southwest Louisiana. Severe thunderstorms are not expected. ...Synopsis and Discussion... A strong southern-stream upper trough/low with associated 50-60 kt mid-level jet will progress quickly eastward across northern Mexico and the southern Plains on Tuesday. Surface high pressure should remain entrenched over much of the TN Valley and Southeast through the period, w…
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
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SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0130 AM CST Sun Dec 31 2023 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Fire weather potential appears minimal for Monday across the country. Building surface high pressure behind a cold front (currently pushing south/southeast across the Plains and Midwest as of early Sunday morning) will settle into the southern High Plains and mid-MS River Valley. This will favor rather benign conditions with weak winds and cooler temperatures, including over parts of the southern High Plains where conditions have been warm/dry for several days. Consequent…
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
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SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0130 AM CST Sun Dec 31 2023 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Fire weather potential appears minimal for Monday across the country. Building surface high pressure behind a cold front (currently pushing south/southeast across the Plains and Midwest as of early Sunday morning) will settle into the southern High Plains and mid-MS River Valley. This will favor rather benign conditions with weak winds and cooler temperatures, including over parts of the southern High Plains where conditions have been warm/dry for several days. Consequent…
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
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SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0112 AM CST Sun Dec 31 2023 Valid 311200Z - 011200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns are expected to remain limited for today, but localized concerns are possible across southern NM into southwest TX. A dry air mass remains in place from central CO into southern NM and southwest TX with dewpoints in the single digits to low teens. This air mass will largely remain in place through the afternoon, resulting in another day of RH minimums in the low teens across much of the region. Weak lee troughing along the southern High Plains is ant…
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
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SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1200 AM CST Sun Dec 31 2023 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected on Monday. ...Synopsis and Discussion... A positively tilted upper trough over the eastern U.S. will continue to move eastward over the Southeast and western Atlantic on Monday. While isolated showers and thunderstorms may be ongoing Monday morning across parts of the northwestern Gulf of Mexico, this activity should remain offshore as a surface cold front moves southward over this area through the day. Farther west, a closed upper low off t…
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
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SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1120 PM CST Sat Dec 30 2023 Valid 311200Z - 011200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected today over the continental USA. ...Synopsis... Mean upper troughing from the Great Lakes into much of the East, in combination with ridging over the Rockies and a dry surface air mass, will maintain relatively stable conditions across the CONUS today, with little if any threat of thunderstorms. A meager attempt at moisture return will occur over the western Gulf of Mexico as low-level winds increase late and eventually veer in response to th…
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX,
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