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MD 0352 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 75...77... FOR PORTIONS OF MIDDLE/EASTERN TENNESSEE INTO EASTERN KENTUCKY Mesoscale Discussion 0352 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0249 PM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024 Areas affected...Portions of Middle/Eastern Tennessee into eastern Kentucky Concerning...Tornado Watch 75...77... Valid 021949Z - 022145Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 75, 77 continues. SUMMARY...Tornado potential will continue into the evening as additional storms do appear probable. Wind profiles will remain favorable, but thermodynamic profiles are less supportive. A new tornado watch will be needed. DISCUSSION...Storms have struggled to mature and organize across much of Tennessee into eastern Kentucky. The 18Z observed sounding from Nashville showed very favorable wind profile for rotating storms, though the thermodynamic profile indicated weak lapse rates due to the influence of earlier convection/precipitation. Lack of cloud cover near the surface boundary within the Mississippi Valley has allowed some destabilization to occur and cumulus continue to deepen in this area. Mid-level height falls will continue to increase into the evening and the wind profile should still favor tornado potential with any organized storms. That being said, additional storms appear probable later this afternoon into the evening either with the boundary or moving northeast out of Mississippi. The main question will be how intense this activity will be given the thermodynamic constraints. With WW 75 set to expire at 3 PM CDT, a new watch will be needed to account for some continued tornado potential into the evening. ..Wendt.. 04/02/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...MRX...JKL...LMK...OHX...BMX...HUN...MEG... LAT...LON 35068608 34378780 34008884 33848921 33948966 34508972 35598884 35988846 36318806 36448725 37218542 37368439 37958315 38008309 37618250 37288254 36598295 36248369 35768468 35068608 Read more View the full article

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0236 PM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The previous forecast reasoning (see below) remains the same, and no additions were made with this update. The best overlap of dry/breezy conditions is expected from south-central NE southward across central KS during the afternoon. While elevated to locally/briefly critical meteorological conditions are possible here, fuels do not appear supportive of large fires at this time -- precluding fire-weather highlights. ..Weinman.. 04/02/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0143 AM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024/ ...Synopsis... A very strong upper low will develop across the Great Lakes on Wednesday which will bring a dry and cool airmass to much of the eastern CONUS. Dry and breezy conditions will also be present for much of the Plains, but temperatures will be cool and fuels will be moist which should limit the large fire threat. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more View the full article

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0236 PM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The previous forecast reasoning (see below) remains the same, and no additions were made with this update. The best overlap of dry/breezy conditions is expected from south-central NE southward across central KS during the afternoon. While elevated to locally/briefly critical meteorological conditions are possible here, fuels do not appear supportive of large fires at this time -- precluding fire-weather highlights. ..Weinman.. 04/02/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0143 AM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024/ ...Synopsis... A very strong upper low will develop across the Great Lakes on Wednesday which will bring a dry and cool airmass to much of the eastern CONUS. Dry and breezy conditions will also be present for much of the Plains, but temperatures will be cool and fuels will be moist which should limit the large fire threat. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more View the full article

MD 0350 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL/NORTHERN LOUISIANA INTO PARTS OF SOUTHERN/CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI Mesoscale Discussion 0350 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1258 PM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024 Areas affected...Portions of central/northern Louisiana into parts of southern/central Mississippi Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 021758Z - 022000Z Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent SUMMARY...Though uncertainty exists, a watch is possible for portions of central/southern Mississippi depending on overall trends in storm coverage and organization. Large hail and damaging winds are the primary hazards. DISCUSSION...Storms in central Louisiana have steadily deepened over the past hour or two. These storms will continue northeastward into a moist airmass where temperatures are in the low 80s F. Additional storms are possible along the pre-frontal wind shift and later the cold front. The observed 17Z JAN sounding showed a very modest decrease in a warm layer at around 700 mb. Effective shear is sufficient for a few organized updrafts. Additional cooling aloft as the main synoptic trough approaches may also lead to some intensification by late afternoon. While the need for a watch is uncertain at this time, a watch for parts of central/southern Mississippi is possible should trends in convective coverage and organization warrant. ..Wendt/Thompson.. 04/02/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...JAN...LIX...LCH...SHV... LAT...LON 31708930 31468978 31269050 31079193 31319260 31689257 32079246 32409222 32789195 33339115 33669031 33518950 33028885 32118890 31708930 Read more View the full article

MD 0351 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 75...76... FOR PORTIONS OF FAR SOUTHERN IL INTO WESTERN/NORTHERN KY...SOUTHERN IN...AND SOUTHWESTERN OH Mesoscale Discussion 0351 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0228 PM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024 Areas affected...Portions of far southern IL into western/northern KY...southern IN...and southwestern OH Concerning...Tornado Watch 75...76... Valid 021928Z - 022100Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 75, 76 continues. SUMMARY...Thunderstorms moving across western Kentucky and southern Indiana should continue to pose some severe risk this afternoon. Downstream watch issuance will eventually be needed. Tornadoes, large hail, and damaging winds all appear possible. A strong tornado may also occur with any supercell that can be sustained. DISCUSSION...Convection has generally struggled to intensify this afternoon in far southern IL/western KY along a pre-frontal trough/wind shift line. Still, the airmass downstream is attempting to destabilize in the wake of earlier convection across parts of northern KY and southern IN. Visible satellite imagery shows some clearing across this area, with surface temperatures gradually warming into the 70s in the vicinity of the Ohio River. The low-level airmass is also slowly moistening as the outflow boundary from morning thunderstorms becomes less well defined, with surface dewpoints rising into the mid to upper 60s. Enhanced deep-layer shear of 50-60 kt will support supercells with associated hail threat, if any can develop ahead of the ongoing cluster. Otherwise, favorable low-level shear, with effective SRH around 250-300 m2/s2, will also foster a tornado risk assuming robust thunderstorms can be sustained. A strong tornado appears possible given the strength of the low-level flow/shear shown in recent VWPs from KLVX. Damaging winds remain a possibility with any small clusters. Given current observational trends and gradual destabilization occurring downstream of the ongoing activity, a downstream Tornado Watch into parts of central KY, southern IN, and southwestern OH will likely be needed before the scheduled 20Z expiration of WW 75. ..Gleason.. 04/02/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...ILN...LMK...IND...PAH... LAT...LON 38058774 38998711 39328656 39608544 39638422 39128378 38558394 37968431 37498472 36918625 36858829 37358861 38058774 Read more View the full article

WW 0075 Status Updates STATUS REPORT ON WW 75 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..LYONS..04/02/24 ATTN...WFO...LMK...PAH...OHX...MEG... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 75 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KYC001-003-009-035-045-047-053-057-087-099-137-141-169-171-207- 213-217-219-221-227-022040- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAIR ALLEN BARREN CALLOWAY CASEY CHRISTIAN CLINTON CUMBERLAND GREEN HART LINCOLN LOGAN METCALFE MONROE RUSSELL SIMPSON TAYLOR TODD TRIGG WARREN TNC003-005-015-017-021-023-027-031-035-037-039-041-043-049-055- 061-071-077-079-081-083-085-087-099-101-109-111-117-119-125-133- 135-137-141-147-149-159-161-165-169-175-177-181-183-185-187-189- 022040- TN . TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BEDFORD BENTON CANNON CARROLL CHEATHAM CHESTER CLAY COFFEE CUMBERLAND Read more View the full article

WW 0075 Status Updates STATUS REPORT ON WW 75 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..LYONS..04/02/24 ATTN...WFO...LMK...PAH...OHX...MEG... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 75 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KYC001-003-009-035-045-047-053-057-087-099-137-141-169-171-207- 213-217-219-221-227-022040- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAIR ALLEN BARREN CALLOWAY CASEY CHRISTIAN CLINTON CUMBERLAND GREEN HART LINCOLN LOGAN METCALFE MONROE RUSSELL SIMPSON TAYLOR TODD TRIGG WARREN TNC003-005-015-017-021-023-027-031-035-037-039-041-043-049-055- 061-071-077-079-081-083-085-087-099-101-109-111-117-119-125-133- 135-137-141-147-149-159-161-165-169-175-177-181-183-185-187-189- 022040- TN . TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BEDFORD BENTON CANNON CARROLL CHEATHAM CHESTER CLAY COFFEE CUMBERLAND Read more View the full article

WW 0075 Status Updates STATUS REPORT ON WW 75 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..LYONS..04/02/24 ATTN...WFO...LMK...PAH...OHX...MEG... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 75 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KYC001-003-009-035-045-047-053-057-087-099-137-141-169-171-207- 213-217-219-221-227-022040- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAIR ALLEN BARREN CALLOWAY CASEY CHRISTIAN CLINTON CUMBERLAND GREEN HART LINCOLN LOGAN METCALFE MONROE RUSSELL SIMPSON TAYLOR TODD TRIGG WARREN TNC003-005-015-017-021-023-027-031-035-037-039-041-043-049-055- 061-071-077-079-081-083-085-087-099-101-109-111-117-119-125-133- 135-137-141-147-149-159-161-165-169-175-177-181-183-185-187-189- 022040- TN . TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BEDFORD BENTON CANNON CARROLL CHEATHAM CHESTER CLAY COFFEE CUMBERLAND Read more View the full article

WW 0075 Status Updates STATUS REPORT ON WW 75 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..LYONS..04/02/24 ATTN...WFO...LMK...PAH...OHX...MEG... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 75 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KYC001-003-009-035-045-047-053-057-087-099-137-141-169-171-207- 213-217-219-221-227-022040- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAIR ALLEN BARREN CALLOWAY CASEY CHRISTIAN CLINTON CUMBERLAND GREEN HART LINCOLN LOGAN METCALFE MONROE RUSSELL SIMPSON TAYLOR TODD TRIGG WARREN TNC003-005-015-017-021-023-027-031-035-037-039-041-043-049-055- 061-071-077-079-081-083-085-087-099-101-109-111-117-119-125-133- 135-137-141-147-149-159-161-165-169-175-177-181-183-185-187-189- 022040- TN . TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BEDFORD BENTON CANNON CARROLL CHEATHAM CHESTER CLAY COFFEE CUMBERLAND Read more View the full article

WW 0075 Status Updates STATUS REPORT ON WW 75 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..LYONS..04/02/24 ATTN...WFO...LMK...PAH...OHX...MEG... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 75 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KYC001-003-009-035-045-047-053-057-087-099-137-141-169-171-207- 213-217-219-221-227-022040- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAIR ALLEN BARREN CALLOWAY CASEY CHRISTIAN CLINTON CUMBERLAND GREEN HART LINCOLN LOGAN METCALFE MONROE RUSSELL SIMPSON TAYLOR TODD TRIGG WARREN TNC003-005-015-017-021-023-027-031-035-037-039-041-043-049-055- 061-071-077-079-081-083-085-087-099-101-109-111-117-119-125-133- 135-137-141-147-149-159-161-165-169-175-177-181-183-185-187-189- 022040- TN . TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BEDFORD BENTON CANNON CARROLL CHEATHAM CHESTER CLAY COFFEE CUMBERLAND Read more View the full article

WW 0075 Status Updates STATUS REPORT ON WW 75 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..LYONS..04/02/24 ATTN...WFO...LMK...PAH...OHX...MEG... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 75 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KYC001-003-009-035-045-047-053-057-087-099-137-141-169-171-207- 213-217-219-221-227-022040- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAIR ALLEN BARREN CALLOWAY CASEY CHRISTIAN CLINTON CUMBERLAND GREEN HART LINCOLN LOGAN METCALFE MONROE RUSSELL SIMPSON TAYLOR TODD TRIGG WARREN TNC003-005-015-017-021-023-027-031-035-037-039-041-043-049-055- 061-071-077-079-081-083-085-087-099-101-109-111-117-119-125-133- 135-137-141-147-149-159-161-165-169-175-177-181-183-185-187-189- 022040- TN . TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BEDFORD BENTON CANNON CARROLL CHEATHAM CHESTER CLAY COFFEE CUMBERLAND Read more View the full article

WW 0077 Status Updates STATUS REPORT ON WW 77 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..LYONS..04/02/24 ATTN...WFO...JKL... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 77 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KYC011-013-025-051-063-065-069-071-095-109-115-119-121-125-129- 131-133-147-153-159-165-173-175-189-193-195-197-199-203-205-231- 235-237-022040- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BATH BELL BREATHITT CLAY ELLIOTT ESTILL FLEMING FLOYD HARLAN JACKSON JOHNSON KNOTT KNOX LAUREL LEE LESLIE LETCHER MCCREARY MAGOFFIN MARTIN MENIFEE MONTGOMERY MORGAN OWSLEY PERRY PIKE POWELL PULASKI ROCKCASTLE ROWAN WAYNE WHITLEY WOLFE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more View the full article

WW 0077 Status Updates STATUS REPORT ON WW 77 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..LYONS..04/02/24 ATTN...WFO...JKL... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 77 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KYC011-013-025-051-063-065-069-071-095-109-115-119-121-125-129- 131-133-147-153-159-165-173-175-189-193-195-197-199-203-205-231- 235-237-022040- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BATH BELL BREATHITT CLAY ELLIOTT ESTILL FLEMING FLOYD HARLAN JACKSON JOHNSON KNOTT KNOX LAUREL LEE LESLIE LETCHER MCCREARY MAGOFFIN MARTIN MENIFEE MONTGOMERY MORGAN OWSLEY PERRY PIKE POWELL PULASKI ROCKCASTLE ROWAN WAYNE WHITLEY WOLFE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more View the full article

WW 0076 Status Updates STATUS REPORT ON WW 76 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SSW PAH TO 25 W EVV TO 50 S HUF. ..LYONS..04/02/24 ATTN...WFO...PAH... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 76 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS INC051-125-129-147-163-173-022140- IN . INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE GIBSON PIKE POSEY SPENCER VANDERBURGH WARRICK KYC033-035-039-047-055-059-083-101-105-107-139-143-149-157-177- 219-221-225-233-022140- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CALDWELL CALLOWAY CARLISLE CHRISTIAN CRITTENDEN DAVIESS GRAVES HENDERSON HICKMAN HOPKINS LIVINGSTON LYON MCLEAN MARSHALL MUHLENBERG TODD TRIGG UNION WEBSTER THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE Read more View the full article

WW 0076 Status Updates STATUS REPORT ON WW 76 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 ESE POF TO 25 S MDH TO 20 ESE MVN TO 40 E SLO. ..LYONS..04/02/24 ATTN...WFO...PAH... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 76 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ILC047-059-065-069-127-151-165-185-193-022040- IL . ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE EDWARDS GALLATIN HAMILTON HARDIN MASSAC POPE SALINE WABASH WHITE INC051-125-129-147-163-173-022040- IN . INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE GIBSON PIKE POSEY SPENCER VANDERBURGH WARRICK KYC007-033-035-039-047-055-059-075-083-101-105-107-139-143-145- 149-157-177-219-221-225-233-022040- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE Read more View the full article

WW 0076 Status Updates STATUS REPORT ON WW 76 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 ESE POF TO 25 S MDH TO 20 ESE MVN TO 40 E SLO. ..LYONS..04/02/24 ATTN...WFO...PAH... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 76 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ILC047-059-065-069-127-151-165-185-193-022040- IL . ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE EDWARDS GALLATIN HAMILTON HARDIN MASSAC POPE SALINE WABASH WHITE INC051-125-129-147-163-173-022040- IN . INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE GIBSON PIKE POSEY SPENCER VANDERBURGH WARRICK KYC007-033-035-039-047-055-059-075-083-101-105-107-139-143-145- 149-157-177-219-221-225-233-022040- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE Read more View the full article

WW 0075 Status Updates STATUS REPORT ON WW 75 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..LYONS..04/02/24 ATTN...WFO...LMK...PAH...OHX...MEG... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 75 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KYC001-003-009-035-045-047-053-057-087-099-137-141-169-171-207- 213-217-219-221-227-022040- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAIR ALLEN BARREN CALLOWAY CASEY CHRISTIAN CLINTON CUMBERLAND GREEN HART LINCOLN LOGAN METCALFE MONROE RUSSELL SIMPSON TAYLOR TODD TRIGG WARREN TNC003-005-015-017-021-023-027-031-035-037-039-041-043-049-055- 061-071-077-079-081-083-085-087-099-101-109-111-117-119-125-133- 135-137-141-147-149-159-161-165-169-175-177-181-183-185-187-189- 022040- TN . TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BEDFORD BENTON CANNON CARROLL CHEATHAM CHESTER CLAY COFFEE CUMBERLAND Read more View the full article

WW 0075 Status Updates STATUS REPORT ON WW 75 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..LYONS..04/02/24 ATTN...WFO...LMK...PAH...OHX...MEG... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 75 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KYC001-003-009-035-045-047-053-057-087-099-137-141-169-171-207- 213-217-219-221-227-022040- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAIR ALLEN BARREN CALLOWAY CASEY CHRISTIAN CLINTON CUMBERLAND GREEN HART LINCOLN LOGAN METCALFE MONROE RUSSELL SIMPSON TAYLOR TODD TRIGG WARREN TNC003-005-015-017-021-023-027-031-035-037-039-041-043-049-055- 061-071-077-079-081-083-085-087-099-101-109-111-117-119-125-133- 135-137-141-147-149-159-161-165-169-175-177-181-183-185-187-189- 022040- TN . TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BEDFORD BENTON CANNON CARROLL CHEATHAM CHESTER CLAY COFFEE CUMBERLAND Read more View the full article

Lake Wind Advisory issued April 2 at 2:02PM EDT until April 4 at 8:00PM EDT by NWS Columbia SCView the full article

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook CORR 1 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1254 PM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE CHESAPEAKE BAY REGION TO FLORIDA... CORRECTED SLIGHT RISK LINE ...SUMMARY... Strong/severe storms -- capable of producing hail and damaging winds, and possibly a tornado or two -- will be possible on Wednesday from the Chesapeake Bay region to Florida. ...Chesapeake Bay area southeastward to FLorida... Widespread thunderstorms are forecast to be ongoing at the start of the period, ahead of an advancing cold front, from the Mid-Atlantic region southward to Florida. The convection will make steady eastward progress through the day, in tandem with the frontal advance, with storms moving off South Carolina and Georgia coasts through midday, but lingering across southeastern Virginia and eastern North Carolina into the afternoon. While instability will remain modest, a very favorable kinematic environment will remain in place, with respect to organized/severe storms. As such, potential for locally damaging winds and marginal hail is expected with stronger storms. Additional, a couple of tornadoes may also occur, with greatest potential expected from southeastern Virginia to northeastern South Carolina. Farther to the south over Florida, storms will move slowly eastward across northern and central portions of the Peninsula through the day. Sufficient instability expected ahead of the front should maintain widespread storms, with shear sufficient for organized convection. As a result, damaging wind gusts locally, along with potential for marginal hail, will likely linger through the day, shifting gradually southward before convection weakens toward evening. ..Goss.. 04/02/2024 Read more View the full article

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook CORR 1 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1254 PM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE CHESAPEAKE BAY REGION TO FLORIDA... CORRECTED SLIGHT RISK LINE ...SUMMARY... Strong/severe storms -- capable of producing hail and damaging winds, and possibly a tornado or two -- will be possible on Wednesday from the Chesapeake Bay region to Florida. ...Chesapeake Bay area southeastward to FLorida... Widespread thunderstorms are forecast to be ongoing at the start of the period, ahead of an advancing cold front, from the Mid-Atlantic region southward to Florida. The convection will make steady eastward progress through the day, in tandem with the frontal advance, with storms moving off South Carolina and Georgia coasts through midday, but lingering across southeastern Virginia and eastern North Carolina into the afternoon. While instability will remain modest, a very favorable kinematic environment will remain in place, with respect to organized/severe storms. As such, potential for locally damaging winds and marginal hail is expected with stronger storms. Additional, a couple of tornadoes may also occur, with greatest potential expected from southeastern Virginia to northeastern South Carolina. Farther to the south over Florida, storms will move slowly eastward across northern and central portions of the Peninsula through the day. Sufficient instability expected ahead of the front should maintain widespread storms, with shear sufficient for organized convection. As a result, damaging wind gusts locally, along with potential for marginal hail, will likely linger through the day, shifting gradually southward before convection weakens toward evening. ..Goss.. 04/02/2024 Read more View the full article

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook CORR 1 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1254 PM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE CHESAPEAKE BAY REGION TO FLORIDA... CORRECTED SLIGHT RISK LINE ...SUMMARY... Strong/severe storms -- capable of producing hail and damaging winds, and possibly a tornado or two -- will be possible on Wednesday from the Chesapeake Bay region to Florida. ...Chesapeake Bay area southeastward to FLorida... Widespread thunderstorms are forecast to be ongoing at the start of the period, ahead of an advancing cold front, from the Mid-Atlantic region southward to Florida. The convection will make steady eastward progress through the day, in tandem with the frontal advance, with storms moving off South Carolina and Georgia coasts through midday, but lingering across southeastern Virginia and eastern North Carolina into the afternoon. While instability will remain modest, a very favorable kinematic environment will remain in place, with respect to organized/severe storms. As such, potential for locally damaging winds and marginal hail is expected with stronger storms. Additional, a couple of tornadoes may also occur, with greatest potential expected from southeastern Virginia to northeastern South Carolina. Farther to the south over Florida, storms will move slowly eastward across northern and central portions of the Peninsula through the day. Sufficient instability expected ahead of the front should maintain widespread storms, with shear sufficient for organized convection. As a result, damaging wind gusts locally, along with potential for marginal hail, will likely linger through the day, shifting gradually southward before convection weakens toward evening. ..Goss.. 04/02/2024 Read more View the full article

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook CORR 1 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1254 PM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE CHESAPEAKE BAY REGION TO FLORIDA... CORRECTED SLIGHT RISK LINE ...SUMMARY... Strong/severe storms -- capable of producing hail and damaging winds, and possibly a tornado or two -- will be possible on Wednesday from the Chesapeake Bay region to Florida. ...Chesapeake Bay area southeastward to FLorida... Widespread thunderstorms are forecast to be ongoing at the start of the period, ahead of an advancing cold front, from the Mid-Atlantic region southward to Florida. The convection will make steady eastward progress through the day, in tandem with the frontal advance, with storms moving off South Carolina and Georgia coasts through midday, but lingering across southeastern Virginia and eastern North Carolina into the afternoon. While instability will remain modest, a very favorable kinematic environment will remain in place, with respect to organized/severe storms. As such, potential for locally damaging winds and marginal hail is expected with stronger storms. Additional, a couple of tornadoes may also occur, with greatest potential expected from southeastern Virginia to northeastern South Carolina. Farther to the south over Florida, storms will move slowly eastward across northern and central portions of the Peninsula through the day. Sufficient instability expected ahead of the front should maintain widespread storms, with shear sufficient for organized convection. As a result, damaging wind gusts locally, along with potential for marginal hail, will likely linger through the day, shifting gradually southward before convection weakens toward evening. ..Goss.. 04/02/2024 Read more View the full article

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1245 PM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE CHESAPEAKE BAY REGION TO FLORIDA... ...SUMMARY... Strong/severe storms -- capable of producing hail and damaging winds, and possibly a tornado or two -- will be possible on Wednesday from the Chesapeake Bay region to Florida. ...Chesapeake Bay area southeastward to FLorida... Widespread thunderstorms are forecast to be ongoing at the start of the period, ahead of an advancing cold front, from the Mid-Atlantic region southward to Florida. The convection will make steady eastward progress through the day, in tandem with the frontal advance, with storms moving off South Carolina and Georgia coasts through midday, but lingering across southeastern Virginia and eastern North Carolina into the afternoon. While instability will remain modest, a very favorable kinematic environment will remain in place, with respect to organized/severe storms. As such, potential for locally damaging winds and marginal hail is expected with stronger storms. Additional, a couple of tornadoes may also occur, with greatest potential expected from southeastern Virginia to northeastern South Carolina. Farther to the south over Florida, storms will move slowly eastward across northern and central portions of the Peninsula through the day. Sufficient instability expected ahead of the front should maintain widespread storms, with shear sufficient for organized convection. As a result, damaging wind gusts locally, along with potential for marginal hail, will likely linger through the day, shifting gradually southward before convection weakens toward evening. ..Goss.. 04/02/2024 Read more View the full article

WW 0076 Status Updates STATUS REPORT ON WW 76 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..LYONS..04/02/24 ATTN...WFO...PAH... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 76 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ILC003-047-055-059-065-069-087-127-151-153-165-181-185-191-193- 199-021840- IL . ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALEXANDER EDWARDS FRANKLIN GALLATIN HAMILTON HARDIN JOHNSON MASSAC POPE PULASKI SALINE UNION WABASH WAYNE WHITE WILLIAMSON INC051-125-129-147-163-173-021840- IN . INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE GIBSON PIKE POSEY SPENCER VANDERBURGH WARRICK KYC007-033-035-039-047-055-059-075-083-101-105-107-139-143-145- 149-157-177-219-221-225-233-021840- Read more View the full article