NorthGeorgiaWX

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0354 PM CDT Mon Apr 01 2024 Valid 031200Z - 091200Z A large-scale upper-level trough will be positioned over the central CONUS on D3/Wed, with a high amplitude ridge positioned over the West. By D4/Thu another upper-level trough will enter the West Coast while the general upper-level pattern shifts east. Strong mid-level flow associated with this trough will begin overspreading the southern/central CONUS by D5/Fri and persist through D7/Sun. Thereafter, evolution of the upper-level pattern becomes more uncertain. D5/Fri - D7/Sun: Southern/Central High Plains: Medium-range guidance continues to depict agreement in the potential for multiple days of wide-spread fire-weather conditions across the Southern/Central High Plains and adjacent regions. The aforementioned strong southwesterly mid-level flow should persist atop boundary layer conditions that are well-mixed. This will promote sustained winds exceeding 20 mph and RH values falling below 15% each day. Fuels are presently at least marginally receptive to large-fire spread, with ERC values exceeding 90% in at least localized areas of the region. For this outlook, the 40% and 70% probabilities have been maintained on D5/Fri and D6/Sat, and 40% probabilities have been introduced for the region on D7/Sun. These delineations have been confined to the most probable areas for critical fire-weather potential based on depictions/spread in the medium-range guidance. ..Karstens.. 04/01/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more View the full article

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0354 PM CDT Mon Apr 01 2024 Valid 031200Z - 091200Z A large-scale upper-level trough will be positioned over the central CONUS on D3/Wed, with a high amplitude ridge positioned over the West. By D4/Thu another upper-level trough will enter the West Coast while the general upper-level pattern shifts east. Strong mid-level flow associated with this trough will begin overspreading the southern/central CONUS by D5/Fri and persist through D7/Sun. Thereafter, evolution of the upper-level pattern becomes more uncertain. D5/Fri - D7/Sun: Southern/Central High Plains: Medium-range guidance continues to depict agreement in the potential for multiple days of wide-spread fire-weather conditions across the Southern/Central High Plains and adjacent regions. The aforementioned strong southwesterly mid-level flow should persist atop boundary layer conditions that are well-mixed. This will promote sustained winds exceeding 20 mph and RH values falling below 15% each day. Fuels are presently at least marginally receptive to large-fire spread, with ERC values exceeding 90% in at least localized areas of the region. For this outlook, the 40% and 70% probabilities have been maintained on D5/Fri and D6/Sat, and 40% probabilities have been introduced for the region on D7/Sun. These delineations have been confined to the most probable areas for critical fire-weather potential based on depictions/spread in the medium-range guidance. ..Karstens.. 04/01/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more View the full article

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0354 PM CDT Mon Apr 01 2024 Valid 031200Z - 091200Z A large-scale upper-level trough will be positioned over the central CONUS on D3/Wed, with a high amplitude ridge positioned over the West. By D4/Thu another upper-level trough will enter the West Coast while the general upper-level pattern shifts east. Strong mid-level flow associated with this trough will begin overspreading the southern/central CONUS by D5/Fri and persist through D7/Sun. Thereafter, evolution of the upper-level pattern becomes more uncertain. D5/Fri - D7/Sun: Southern/Central High Plains: Medium-range guidance continues to depict agreement in the potential for multiple days of wide-spread fire-weather conditions across the Southern/Central High Plains and adjacent regions. The aforementioned strong southwesterly mid-level flow should persist atop boundary layer conditions that are well-mixed. This will promote sustained winds exceeding 20 mph and RH values falling below 15% each day. Fuels are presently at least marginally receptive to large-fire spread, with ERC values exceeding 90% in at least localized areas of the region. For this outlook, the 40% and 70% probabilities have been maintained on D5/Fri and D6/Sat, and 40% probabilities have been introduced for the region on D7/Sun. These delineations have been confined to the most probable areas for critical fire-weather potential based on depictions/spread in the medium-range guidance. ..Karstens.. 04/01/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more View the full article

WW 0067 Status Updates STATUS REPORT ON WW 31 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NNE CDS TO 15 W CSM TO 25 SW AVK TO 30 WSW P28. ..THORNTON..03/07/24 ATTN...WFO...OUN...SJT...LUB...FWD...MAF... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 31 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC011-015-017-027-031-033-039-043-047-049-051-055-057-065-067- 073-075-083-087-093-103-109-137-141-149-151-080040- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BLAINE CADDO CANADIAN CLEVELAND COMANCHE COTTON CUSTER DEWEY GARFIELD GARVIN GRADY GREER HARMON JACKSON JEFFERSON KINGFISHER KIOWA LOGAN MCCLAIN MAJOR NOBLE OKLAHOMA STEPHENS TILLMAN WASHITA WOODS TXC009-023-049-059-077-081-083-095-101-133-151-155-173-197-207- 235-253-269-275-307-335-353-383-399-415-417-429-431-433-441-447- 451-485-487-503-080040- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ARCHER BAYLOR BROWN Read more View the full article

WW 0067 Status Updates STATUS REPORT ON WW 31 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NNE CDS TO 15 W CSM TO 25 SW AVK TO 30 WSW P28. ..THORNTON..03/07/24 ATTN...WFO...OUN...SJT...LUB...FWD...MAF... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 31 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC011-015-017-027-031-033-039-043-047-049-051-055-057-065-067- 073-075-083-087-093-103-109-137-141-149-151-080040- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BLAINE CADDO CANADIAN CLEVELAND COMANCHE COTTON CUSTER DEWEY GARFIELD GARVIN GRADY GREER HARMON JACKSON JEFFERSON KINGFISHER KIOWA LOGAN MCCLAIN MAJOR NOBLE OKLAHOMA STEPHENS TILLMAN WASHITA WOODS TXC009-023-049-059-077-081-083-095-101-133-151-155-173-197-207- 235-253-269-275-307-335-353-383-399-415-417-429-431-433-441-447- 451-485-487-503-080040- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ARCHER BAYLOR BROWN Read more View the full article

WW 67 TORNADO KS MO 012025Z - 020400Z URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 67 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 325 PM CDT Mon Apr 1 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Extreme northeast Kansas Western Missouri * Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 325 PM until 1100 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5 inches in diameter likely Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts to 80 mph possible SUMMARY...Scattered severe storm development is expected this afternoon into this evening into western Missouri. The initial storms will likely be supercells capable of producing isolated very large hail (up to 2.5 inch diameter). The threat for a few tornadoes will increase gradually through the evening with both the supercells and any larger clusters that evolve, and a strong (EF2) tornado or two will be possible. The threat for damaging winds (60-80 mph) will also increase later this evening as storms grow upscale into clusters/line segments. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles east and west of a line from 15 miles west northwest of Chillicothe MO to 25 miles south of Monett MO. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 64...WW 65...WW 66... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 24040. ...Thompson Read more View the full article

WW 67 TORNADO KS MO 012025Z - 020400Z URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 67 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 325 PM CDT Mon Apr 1 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Extreme northeast Kansas Western Missouri * Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 325 PM until 1100 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5 inches in diameter likely Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts to 80 mph possible SUMMARY...Scattered severe storm development is expected this afternoon into this evening into western Missouri. The initial storms will likely be supercells capable of producing isolated very large hail (up to 2.5 inch diameter). The threat for a few tornadoes will increase gradually through the evening with both the supercells and any larger clusters that evolve, and a strong (EF2) tornado or two will be possible. The threat for damaging winds (60-80 mph) will also increase later this evening as storms grow upscale into clusters/line segments. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles east and west of a line from 15 miles west northwest of Chillicothe MO to 25 miles south of Monett MO. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 64...WW 65...WW 66... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 24040. ...Thompson Read more View the full article

SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0317 PM CDT Mon Apr 01 2024 Valid 012000Z - 021200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA...AND INTO FAR NORTH-CENTRAL TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms with very large hail (2-3 inch diameter or greater), damaging gusts (60-80 mph) and a few tornadoes (potentially up to EF2) are expected this afternoon into tonight from north Texas and Oklahoma into the lower Ohio River Valley. ...Discussion... Current forecast reasoning and outlook areas remains generally in line with prior outlooks, with widespread/all-hazards severe risk from the southern Plains into the Ohio Valley. The main change in the current outlook update is a westward adjustment of thunder/severe probability lines across the Big Country and Concho Valley of Texas, where storms have initiated along a developing dryline a bit earlier, and farther west, than previously anticipated. Otherwise, the outlook remains largely unchanged at this time, aside from minor line tweaks to account for current convective evolution/development. ..Goss.. 04/01/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1128 AM CDT Mon Apr 01 2024/ ...Synopsis... Embedded speed maxima (90-100+ kt 500 mb) from southern NM/far west TX to northwest Mexico will eject northeastward to OK this evening and MO overnight. An associated lee cyclone will deepen this afternoon across the TX South Plains and then progress into northwest OK this evening and the mid MS Valley by the end of the period. A broad/moist warm sector is in place from the southern Plains to the mid MS/lower OH Valleys, beneath a warm elevated mixed layer with 8-9 C/km midlevel lapse rates. The cap will weaken through the afternoon from the west, with thunderstorm initiation becoming likely by mid afternoon along a surface front from KS into MO/IL, and mid-late afternoon along the dryline from western/central OK into northwest TX. ...KS/MO/IL/IN through tonight... Scattered thunderstorm development is likely starting mid afternoon along the baroclinic zone from KS into MO, and storms will subsequently spread eastward along the warm front from MO into IL/IN. The environment will favor supercells capable of producing very large hail (2-3 inches in diameter) and a few tornadoes, with an isolated strong tornado possible. Storm mode will become messier into the overnight hours with upscale growth into clusters/line segments, with an increase in the threat for damaging winds (60-80 mph), and a continued threat for tornadoes (possibly up to EF2) with embedded/QLCS circulations. ...OK/TX this afternoon into early tonight... The elevated mixed layer and associated cap, along with widespread clouds, will tend to delay surface-based storm development until mid-late afternoon, when forcing for ascent increases from the southwest with the approach of the mid-upper jet streak. By about 21z, scattered thunderstorm development is expected along the dryline from northwest TX into western OK, and storms will spread quickly northeastward into central/eastern OK through this evening/early tonight. Steep midlevel lapse rates and boundary-layer dewpoints in the mid-upper 60s will contribute to MLCAPE of 2000-3000 J/kg, in an environment with very strong deep-layer shear/long hodographs favorable for multiple supercells with very large hail (3 inches in diameter or greater). The magnitude of the tornado threat is a bit less certain, given a weakness in the low-level shear until a more consolidated low-level jet response begins by late evening, when storm mergers and upscale growth become more probable into eastern OK/northwest AR/southwest MO early tonight. However, given the very strong flow and seasonably rich low-level moisture, there will be the potential for a couple of strong (roughly EF2) tornadoes late this afternoon into tonight. Read more View the full article

SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0317 PM CDT Mon Apr 01 2024 Valid 012000Z - 021200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA...AND INTO FAR NORTH-CENTRAL TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms with very large hail (2-3 inch diameter or greater), damaging gusts (60-80 mph) and a few tornadoes (potentially up to EF2) are expected this afternoon into tonight from north Texas and Oklahoma into the lower Ohio River Valley. ...Discussion... Current forecast reasoning and outlook areas remains generally in line with prior outlooks, with widespread/all-hazards severe risk from the southern Plains into the Ohio Valley. The main change in the current outlook update is a westward adjustment of thunder/severe probability lines across the Big Country and Concho Valley of Texas, where storms have initiated along a developing dryline a bit earlier, and farther west, than previously anticipated. Otherwise, the outlook remains largely unchanged at this time, aside from minor line tweaks to account for current convective evolution/development. ..Goss.. 04/01/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1128 AM CDT Mon Apr 01 2024/ ...Synopsis... Embedded speed maxima (90-100+ kt 500 mb) from southern NM/far west TX to northwest Mexico will eject northeastward to OK this evening and MO overnight. An associated lee cyclone will deepen this afternoon across the TX South Plains and then progress into northwest OK this evening and the mid MS Valley by the end of the period. A broad/moist warm sector is in place from the southern Plains to the mid MS/lower OH Valleys, beneath a warm elevated mixed layer with 8-9 C/km midlevel lapse rates. The cap will weaken through the afternoon from the west, with thunderstorm initiation becoming likely by mid afternoon along a surface front from KS into MO/IL, and mid-late afternoon along the dryline from western/central OK into northwest TX. ...KS/MO/IL/IN through tonight... Scattered thunderstorm development is likely starting mid afternoon along the baroclinic zone from KS into MO, and storms will subsequently spread eastward along the warm front from MO into IL/IN. The environment will favor supercells capable of producing very large hail (2-3 inches in diameter) and a few tornadoes, with an isolated strong tornado possible. Storm mode will become messier into the overnight hours with upscale growth into clusters/line segments, with an increase in the threat for damaging winds (60-80 mph), and a continued threat for tornadoes (possibly up to EF2) with embedded/QLCS circulations. ...OK/TX this afternoon into early tonight... The elevated mixed layer and associated cap, along with widespread clouds, will tend to delay surface-based storm development until mid-late afternoon, when forcing for ascent increases from the southwest with the approach of the mid-upper jet streak. By about 21z, scattered thunderstorm development is expected along the dryline from northwest TX into western OK, and storms will spread quickly northeastward into central/eastern OK through this evening/early tonight. Steep midlevel lapse rates and boundary-layer dewpoints in the mid-upper 60s will contribute to MLCAPE of 2000-3000 J/kg, in an environment with very strong deep-layer shear/long hodographs favorable for multiple supercells with very large hail (3 inches in diameter or greater). The magnitude of the tornado threat is a bit less certain, given a weakness in the low-level shear until a more consolidated low-level jet response begins by late evening, when storm mergers and upscale growth become more probable into eastern OK/northwest AR/southwest MO early tonight. However, given the very strong flow and seasonably rich low-level moisture, there will be the potential for a couple of strong (roughly EF2) tornadoes late this afternoon into tonight. Read more View the full article

SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0317 PM CDT Mon Apr 01 2024 Valid 012000Z - 021200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA...AND INTO FAR NORTH-CENTRAL TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms with very large hail (2-3 inch diameter or greater), damaging gusts (60-80 mph) and a few tornadoes (potentially up to EF2) are expected this afternoon into tonight from north Texas and Oklahoma into the lower Ohio River Valley. ...Discussion... Current forecast reasoning and outlook areas remains generally in line with prior outlooks, with widespread/all-hazards severe risk from the southern Plains into the Ohio Valley. The main change in the current outlook update is a westward adjustment of thunder/severe probability lines across the Big Country and Concho Valley of Texas, where storms have initiated along a developing dryline a bit earlier, and farther west, than previously anticipated. Otherwise, the outlook remains largely unchanged at this time, aside from minor line tweaks to account for current convective evolution/development. ..Goss.. 04/01/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1128 AM CDT Mon Apr 01 2024/ ...Synopsis... Embedded speed maxima (90-100+ kt 500 mb) from southern NM/far west TX to northwest Mexico will eject northeastward to OK this evening and MO overnight. An associated lee cyclone will deepen this afternoon across the TX South Plains and then progress into northwest OK this evening and the mid MS Valley by the end of the period. A broad/moist warm sector is in place from the southern Plains to the mid MS/lower OH Valleys, beneath a warm elevated mixed layer with 8-9 C/km midlevel lapse rates. The cap will weaken through the afternoon from the west, with thunderstorm initiation becoming likely by mid afternoon along a surface front from KS into MO/IL, and mid-late afternoon along the dryline from western/central OK into northwest TX. ...KS/MO/IL/IN through tonight... Scattered thunderstorm development is likely starting mid afternoon along the baroclinic zone from KS into MO, and storms will subsequently spread eastward along the warm front from MO into IL/IN. The environment will favor supercells capable of producing very large hail (2-3 inches in diameter) and a few tornadoes, with an isolated strong tornado possible. Storm mode will become messier into the overnight hours with upscale growth into clusters/line segments, with an increase in the threat for damaging winds (60-80 mph), and a continued threat for tornadoes (possibly up to EF2) with embedded/QLCS circulations. ...OK/TX this afternoon into early tonight... The elevated mixed layer and associated cap, along with widespread clouds, will tend to delay surface-based storm development until mid-late afternoon, when forcing for ascent increases from the southwest with the approach of the mid-upper jet streak. By about 21z, scattered thunderstorm development is expected along the dryline from northwest TX into western OK, and storms will spread quickly northeastward into central/eastern OK through this evening/early tonight. Steep midlevel lapse rates and boundary-layer dewpoints in the mid-upper 60s will contribute to MLCAPE of 2000-3000 J/kg, in an environment with very strong deep-layer shear/long hodographs favorable for multiple supercells with very large hail (3 inches in diameter or greater). The magnitude of the tornado threat is a bit less certain, given a weakness in the low-level shear until a more consolidated low-level jet response begins by late evening, when storm mergers and upscale growth become more probable into eastern OK/northwest AR/southwest MO early tonight. However, given the very strong flow and seasonably rich low-level moisture, there will be the potential for a couple of strong (roughly EF2) tornadoes late this afternoon into tonight. Read more View the full article

WW 0066 Status Updates STATUS FOR WATCH 0066 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more View the full article

WW 0066 Status Updates STATUS FOR WATCH 0066 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more View the full article

WW 0066 Status Updates STATUS FOR WATCH 0066 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more View the full article

WW 0066 Status Updates STATUS FOR WATCH 0066 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more View the full article

MD 0321 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY FOR PARTS OF WEST AND CENTRAL TEXAS Mesoscale Discussion 0321 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0213 PM CDT Mon Apr 01 2024 Areas affected...Parts of west and central Texas Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely Valid 011913Z - 012045Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...Monitoring the area for increasing severe-storm potential. Large hail and severe gusts are the main concerns. A watch is likely in the next 30 minutes or so. DISCUSSION...Isolated storms are developing along the dryline this afternoon, and this activity will generally spread east-northeastward through the afternoon -- in conjunction with an approaching lobe of midlevel ascent. While initial storms may be high-based with a localized severe risk, the risk will gradually increase over the next few hours as storms move into moderate/strong surface-based buoyancy and rapidly increasing deep-layer shear. Generally straight hodographs will favor large to very large hail and severe winds with supercells and organized clusters. A watch is likely in the next 30 minutes or so. ..Weinman/Thompson.. 04/01/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...FWD...SJT...LUB...MAF... LAT...LON 31450151 32240142 32750107 33190040 33399988 33339928 33279834 32929804 32379797 31769798 31209847 31039919 30879994 30780094 31030144 31450151 Read more View the full article

MD 0322 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...TORNADO WATCH LIKELY FOR MUCH OF OK AND NORTHWEST TX Mesoscale Discussion 0322 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0155 PM CDT Mon Apr 01 2024 Areas affected...Much of OK and Northwest TX Concerning...Severe potential...Tornado Watch likely Valid 011855Z - 012100Z Probability of Watch Issuance...95 percent SUMMARY...Supercell thunderstorms are expected this afternoon from northwest Texas across much of Oklahoma. Threat with these storms will include very large hail (3"+), strong gusts (60-80 mph), and tornadoes. DISCUSSION...Recent surface analysis places a triple point low about 20 miles west-northwest of END, with dryline extending southwestward from this low through southwest OK and into southwest TX. Thunderstorms have developed in the vicinity of this surface low, amid persistent low-level convergence and warm-air advection. There is still some low-level stability remaining within the air mass. As such, this initial development is likely elevated, but steep mid-level lapse rates and strong deep-layer vertical shear are more than sufficient for updraft organization. Large to very large (1" to 2.75") is possible with this activity. Continued low-level moisture advection and filtered heating will likely lead to gradual air mass destabilization, with additional storms developing later this afternoon along and ahead of the dryline as the shortwave (and associated ascent) continues to lift northeastward. This activity would likely be surface based and capable of all severe hazards, including very large hail (3"+), strong gusts (60-80 mph), and tornadoes. A Tornado Watch will be issued soon to cover these potential hazards. ..Mosier/Thompson.. 04/01/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...TSA...FWD...OUN...SJT...LUB... LAT...LON 33209930 33420019 33930032 34989958 36599812 36969723 36529563 34689682 33309774 33209930 Read more View the full article

WW 66 SEVERE TSTM TX 011930Z - 020200Z URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 66 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 230 PM CDT Mon Apr 1 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Parts of central and northwest Texas * Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 230 PM until 900 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3 inches in diameter possible Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible SUMMARY...Scattered severe storms are expected to form this afternoon along a dryline in west central Texas, and storms will spread east-northeastward through this evening. Supercells with very large hail (2-3 inch diameter) and isolated damaging gusts (60-70 mph) will be the main threats. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 70 statute miles east and west of a line from 50 miles north northwest of Mineral Wells TX to 35 miles east of San Angelo TX. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 64...WW 65... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector 24040. ...Thompson Read more View the full article

WW 66 SEVERE TSTM TX 011930Z - 020200Z URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 66 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 230 PM CDT Mon Apr 1 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Parts of central and northwest Texas * Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 230 PM until 900 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3 inches in diameter possible Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible SUMMARY...Scattered severe storms are expected to form this afternoon along a dryline in west central Texas, and storms will spread east-northeastward through this evening. Supercells with very large hail (2-3 inch diameter) and isolated damaging gusts (60-70 mph) will be the main threats. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 70 statute miles east and west of a line from 50 miles north northwest of Mineral Wells TX to 35 miles east of San Angelo TX. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 64...WW 65... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector 24040. ...Thompson Read more View the full article

WW 0065 Status Updates STATUS FOR WATCH 0065 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more View the full article

WW 0065 Status Updates STATUS FOR WATCH 0065 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more View the full article

WW 0065 Status Updates STATUS FOR WATCH 0065 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more View the full article

WW 0065 Status Updates STATUS FOR WATCH 0065 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more View the full article

WW 65 TORNADO OK TX 011915Z - 020200Z URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 65 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 215 PM CDT Mon Apr 1 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Southern, central and northeast Oklahoma Northwest Texas * Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 215 PM until 900 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible Widespread large hail and scattered very large hail events to 4 inches in diameter likely Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts to 80 mph possible SUMMARY...Scattered supercell development is expected this afternoon through this evening from central/southwest Oklahoma into northwest Texas. The storms will move east-northeastward and intensify by late afternoon, with the potential to produce very large hail (3-4 inches in diameter). With time into this evening, there will be an increase in the threat for tornadoes (up to EF2) with persistent supercells, as well as damaging winds (60-80 mph) once upscale growth into clusters occurs. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 80 statute miles east and west of a line from 25 miles northwest of Bartlesville OK to 40 miles south southeast of Wichita Falls TX. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 64... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 4 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector 24040. ...Thompson Read more View the full article

WW 65 TORNADO OK TX 011915Z - 020200Z URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 65 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 215 PM CDT Mon Apr 1 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Southern, central and northeast Oklahoma Northwest Texas * Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 215 PM until 900 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible Widespread large hail and scattered very large hail events to 4 inches in diameter likely Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts to 80 mph possible SUMMARY...Scattered supercell development is expected this afternoon through this evening from central/southwest Oklahoma into northwest Texas. The storms will move east-northeastward and intensify by late afternoon, with the potential to produce very large hail (3-4 inches in diameter). With time into this evening, there will be an increase in the threat for tornadoes (up to EF2) with persistent supercells, as well as damaging winds (60-80 mph) once upscale growth into clusters occurs. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 80 statute miles east and west of a line from 25 miles northwest of Bartlesville OK to 40 miles south southeast of Wichita Falls TX. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 64... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 4 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector 24040. ...Thompson Read more View the full article

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0156 PM CDT Mon Apr 01 2024 Valid 021200Z - 031200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... An elevated area was considered for portions of the Texas Hill Country into far South Texas. Despite somewhat marginal fuel receptivity evident at the present time, hot/breezy conditions today will likely lead to some drying of fine fuels to support more widespread fire-weather conditions noted in the previous outlook. However, uncertainty remains in the chance/coverage of wetting rains this evening across this region, precluding the introduction of any fire-weather highlights at this time. ..Karstens.. 04/01/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0605 AM CDT Mon Apr 01 2024/ ...Synopsis... A cold front will move south across Texas on Tuesday. In the wake of this cold front, dry and breezy conditions are expected. The best potential for Elevated fire weather conditions will be portions of the Texas Hill Country into far South Texas where sustained winds of 15 to 20 mph and relative humidity around 20 percent are expected. However, fuels have mostly greened up in this region and fuel availability may be limited. Therefore, an Elevated delineation was not added at this time. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more View the full article