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- Tornado/Severe Thunderstorm Watches - Watch number and the link to the watch page and watch status page if issued.
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- Convective Outlooks - Day 1, 2, 3, and 4-8
- Fire Weather Outlooks - 1,2, and 3-8
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Day 4-8 Outlook Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0355 AM CST Wed Jan 03 2024 Valid 061200Z - 111200Z ...DISCUSSION... An isolated/marginal severe threat may continue across parts of FL/GA on Day 4/Saturday as a weak surface low and embedded shortwave trough advance northeastward over the Southeast and western Atlantic. But, both low-level moisture and related instability currently appear too limited to justify a 15% severe delineation for Saturday. Low severe potential is evident across the CONUS on Day 5/Sunday in the wake of a cold front that will clear the East Coast and much of the FL Peninsula. Low-level moisture is foreca…
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Day 4-8 Outlook Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0355 AM CST Wed Jan 03 2024 Valid 061200Z - 111200Z ...DISCUSSION... An isolated/marginal severe threat may continue across parts of FL/GA on Day 4/Saturday as a weak surface low and embedded shortwave trough advance northeastward over the Southeast and western Atlantic. But, both low-level moisture and related instability currently appear too limited to justify a 15% severe delineation for Saturday. Low severe potential is evident across the CONUS on Day 5/Sunday in the wake of a cold front that will clear the East Coast and much of the FL Peninsula. Low-level moisture is foreca…
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Day 4-8 Outlook Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0355 AM CST Wed Jan 03 2024 Valid 061200Z - 111200Z ...DISCUSSION... An isolated/marginal severe threat may continue across parts of FL/GA on Day 4/Saturday as a weak surface low and embedded shortwave trough advance northeastward over the Southeast and western Atlantic. But, both low-level moisture and related instability currently appear too limited to justify a 15% severe delineation for Saturday. Low severe potential is evident across the CONUS on Day 5/Sunday in the wake of a cold front that will clear the East Coast and much of the FL Peninsula. Low-level moisture is foreca…
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
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Day 4-8 Outlook Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0355 AM CST Wed Jan 03 2024 Valid 061200Z - 111200Z ...DISCUSSION... An isolated/marginal severe threat may continue across parts of FL/GA on Day 4/Saturday as a weak surface low and embedded shortwave trough advance northeastward over the Southeast and western Atlantic. But, both low-level moisture and related instability currently appear too limited to justify a 15% severe delineation for Saturday. Low severe potential is evident across the CONUS on Day 5/Sunday in the wake of a cold front that will clear the East Coast and much of the FL Peninsula. Low-level moisture is foreca…
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SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0230 AM CST Wed Jan 03 2024 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe thunderstorms may occur Friday night through early Saturday morning across parts of the central Gulf Coast states. ...Central Gulf Coast... An upper trough initially over the central CONUS should generally move eastward across the lower MS, TN, and OH Valleys on Friday. An embedded mid-level shortwave trough is forecast to advance northeastward from coastal/southeast TX towards the central Gul…
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SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0230 AM CST Wed Jan 03 2024 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe thunderstorms may occur Friday night through early Saturday morning across parts of the central Gulf Coast states. ...Central Gulf Coast... An upper trough initially over the central CONUS should generally move eastward across the lower MS, TN, and OH Valleys on Friday. An embedded mid-level shortwave trough is forecast to advance northeastward from coastal/southeast TX towards the central Gul…
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SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0230 AM CST Wed Jan 03 2024 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe thunderstorms may occur Friday night through early Saturday morning across parts of the central Gulf Coast states. ...Central Gulf Coast... An upper trough initially over the central CONUS should generally move eastward across the lower MS, TN, and OH Valleys on Friday. An embedded mid-level shortwave trough is forecast to advance northeastward from coastal/southeast TX towards the central Gul…
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SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0230 AM CST Wed Jan 03 2024 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe thunderstorms may occur Friday night through early Saturday morning across parts of the central Gulf Coast states. ...Central Gulf Coast... An upper trough initially over the central CONUS should generally move eastward across the lower MS, TN, and OH Valleys on Friday. An embedded mid-level shortwave trough is forecast to advance northeastward from coastal/southeast TX towards the central Gul…
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No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Wed Jan 3 08:01:02 UTC 2024.View the full article
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SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0121 AM CST Wed Jan 03 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Fire weather potential appears limited for Thursday for much of the country, though regional concerns may materialize across southern New Mexico into Southwest Texas. The upper low currently off the CA coast is forecast to reach the Four Corners region by Thursday morning with an attendant surface low over central NM. A trailing Pacific cold front should sweep through southern NM and southwest TX through the afternoon. Ensemble guidance shows reasonably good agreement in …
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SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0121 AM CST Wed Jan 03 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Fire weather potential appears limited for Thursday for much of the country, though regional concerns may materialize across southern New Mexico into Southwest Texas. The upper low currently off the CA coast is forecast to reach the Four Corners region by Thursday morning with an attendant surface low over central NM. A trailing Pacific cold front should sweep through southern NM and southwest TX through the afternoon. Ensemble guidance shows reasonably good agreement in …
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SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1251 AM CST Wed Jan 03 2024 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Minimal fire weather concerns are expected today. Latest fuel guidance reveals some recent drying from the southern High Plains into the central and northern High Plains. However, early-morning surface observations show a cold front pushing southward through the Northern Plains that should usher in cooler temperatures by this afternoon. Similarly, surface high pressure over the southern Plains after a recent frontal passage will favor cool and fairly calm conditions this …
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SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1200 AM CST Wed Jan 03 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated thunderstorms may occur Thursday across parts of the southern Plains and coastal Texas. Severe thunderstorms are not expected. ...Synopsis and Discussion... A cold front will move southward over the central/southern FL Peninsula on Thursday. But, with limited low-level convergence along this boundary, thunderstorm potential appears generally low. In its wake, a large area of surface high pressure will dominate much of the central/eastern states through the…
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SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1200 AM CST Wed Jan 03 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated thunderstorms may occur Thursday across parts of the southern Plains and coastal Texas. Severe thunderstorms are not expected. ...Synopsis and Discussion... A cold front will move southward over the central/southern FL Peninsula on Thursday. But, with limited low-level convergence along this boundary, thunderstorm potential appears generally low. In its wake, a large area of surface high pressure will dominate much of the central/eastern states through the…
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SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1200 AM CST Wed Jan 03 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated thunderstorms may occur Thursday across parts of the southern Plains and coastal Texas. Severe thunderstorms are not expected. ...Synopsis and Discussion... A cold front will move southward over the central/southern FL Peninsula on Thursday. But, with limited low-level convergence along this boundary, thunderstorm potential appears generally low. In its wake, a large area of surface high pressure will dominate much of the central/eastern states through the…
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SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1139 PM CST Tue Jan 02 2024 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected today through tonight. ...Synopsis... Thunderstorm potential for today and tonight will primarily be driven by two upper lows as they traverse the northern Gulf Coast and the lower Colorado River Valley regions. Meager buoyancy is expected to modulate the potential for organized convection for most locations, with perhaps the exception of the FL west coast. ...Gulf Coast/FL West Coast.. The first of these waves is noted in wa…
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SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1139 PM CST Tue Jan 02 2024 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected today through tonight. ...Synopsis... Thunderstorm potential for today and tonight will primarily be driven by two upper lows as they traverse the northern Gulf Coast and the lower Colorado River Valley regions. Meager buoyancy is expected to modulate the potential for organized convection for most locations, with perhaps the exception of the FL west coast. ...Gulf Coast/FL West Coast.. The first of these waves is noted in wa…
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SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1139 PM CST Tue Jan 02 2024 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected today through tonight. ...Synopsis... Thunderstorm potential for today and tonight will primarily be driven by two upper lows as they traverse the northern Gulf Coast and the lower Colorado River Valley regions. Meager buoyancy is expected to modulate the potential for organized convection for most locations, with perhaps the exception of the FL west coast. ...Gulf Coast/FL West Coast.. The first of these waves is noted in wa…
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MD 0001 CONCERNING HEAVY SNOW FOR THE SIERRA NEVADA...FROM WEST OF TAHOE INTO AREAS SOUTHEAST OF YOSEMITE Mesoscale Discussion 0001 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0926 PM CST Tue Jan 02 2024 Areas affected...the Sierra Nevada...from west of Tahoe into areas southeast of Yosemite Concerning...Heavy snow Valid 030326Z - 030800Z SUMMARY...Heavy snow rates in excess of 2 inches per hour may begin impacting the I-80 corridor west of Tahoe by 9-10 PM PST, if not earlier, before developing southward along the western slopes of the Sierra Nevada, across and southeast of Yosemite by midnight-1 AM PST. DISCUSSION...Cloud tops have been cooling the past few h…
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SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0652 PM CST Tue Jan 02 2024 Valid 030100Z - 031200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Scattered thunderstorms are expected this evening from parts of central Texas to the Texas Coastal Plain. Thunderstorms are expected to move across southeast Texas into southern Louisiana tonight. Isolated thunderstorms will be possible this evening through tonight along the northern California coast. ...DISCUSSION... An upper-level trough will move eastward across Texas and northern Mexico tonight. Ahead of the trough, thunderstorms will be possible from parts of …
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SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0327 PM CST Tue Jan 02 2024 Valid 041200Z - 101200Z Fire weather concerns are expected to remain low through the extended period. A trough will eject into the Plains D3 Thursday - D4 Friday, bringing an increase in surface winds but also potential for widespread precipitation across the central and southern Plains. A small corridor of Elevated fire weather conditions may be possible across South-Central Texas where less rainfall is forecast. Latest fuel guidance suggests that fuels are not expected to become sufficiently dry. An active pattern will conti…
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SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0327 PM CST Tue Jan 02 2024 Valid 041200Z - 101200Z Fire weather concerns are expected to remain low through the extended period. A trough will eject into the Plains D3 Thursday - D4 Friday, bringing an increase in surface winds but also potential for widespread precipitation across the central and southern Plains. A small corridor of Elevated fire weather conditions may be possible across South-Central Texas where less rainfall is forecast. Latest fuel guidance suggests that fuels are not expected to become sufficiently dry. An active pattern will conti…
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SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0130 PM CST Tue Jan 02 2024 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No updates are needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion below. ..Thornton.. 01/02/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1257 AM CST Tue Jan 02 2024/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather potential will remain limited for Wednesday. Modest cyclogenesis is anticipated across the northern Gulf of Mexico over the next 24-48 hours as a mid-level wave (currently traversing the U.S./Mexico border as of early Tuesday morning) shifts east towards the Gulf. To the north, surface high pr…
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SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0130 PM CST Tue Jan 02 2024 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No updates are needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion below. ..Thornton.. 01/02/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1257 AM CST Tue Jan 02 2024/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather potential will remain limited for Wednesday. Modest cyclogenesis is anticipated across the northern Gulf of Mexico over the next 24-48 hours as a mid-level wave (currently traversing the U.S./Mexico border as of early Tuesday morning) shifts east towards the Gulf. To the north, surface high pr…
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SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0123 PM CST Tue Jan 02 2024 Valid 022000Z - 031200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Scattered thunderstorms are expected in central Texas through this evening, and into southeast Texas and southern Louisiana tonight. Isolated thunderstorms will be possible this evening through tonight along the northern/central California coast. ...Discussion... Previous forecast reasoning remains valid. Western portion of TX thunder line has been tweaked based on latest observations. ..Grams.. 01/02/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1015 AM CST Tue Jan 02 2024/ …
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