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This is an automated feed from the Storm Prediction Center that post the following products with images:
- Tornado/Severe Thunderstorm Watches - Watch number and the link to the watch page and watch status page if issued.
- Mesoscale Discussions - MD number, images, and link to page
- Convective Outlooks - Day 1, 2, 3, and 4-8
- Fire Weather Outlooks - 1,2, and 3-8
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SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0136 PM CST Mon Dec 18 2023 Valid 182000Z - 191200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorm potential is expected to remain low the remainder of this afternoon into tonight. ...Synopsis... Showers will continue across New England into this evening ahead of the elongated surface low currently from near Long Island toward the St. Lawrence Valley. Gusty surface winds also will persist given the strong pressure gradient and intense low-level winds just above the surface. However, any deeper convective elements will remain offshore, and th…
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SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0136 PM CST Mon Dec 18 2023 Valid 182000Z - 191200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorm potential is expected to remain low the remainder of this afternoon into tonight. ...Synopsis... Showers will continue across New England into this evening ahead of the elongated surface low currently from near Long Island toward the St. Lawrence Valley. Gusty surface winds also will persist given the strong pressure gradient and intense low-level winds just above the surface. However, any deeper convective elements will remain offshore, and th…
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SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1254 PM CST Mon Dec 18 2023 Valid 191200Z - 201200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... Fire-weather concerns are minimal. See the previous discussion. ..Lyons.. 12/18/2023 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0147 AM CST Mon Dec 18 2023/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will meander along the West Coast as upper ridging persists from the Interior West toward the Appalachians tomorrow/Tuesday. While surface lee troughing is expected across the High Plains, surface high pressure and associated cooler air should dominate over the rest of the CONUS. Similar to Day 1, quiescent fir…
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SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1254 PM CST Mon Dec 18 2023 Valid 191200Z - 201200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... Fire-weather concerns are minimal. See the previous discussion. ..Lyons.. 12/18/2023 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0147 AM CST Mon Dec 18 2023/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will meander along the West Coast as upper ridging persists from the Interior West toward the Appalachians tomorrow/Tuesday. While surface lee troughing is expected across the High Plains, surface high pressure and associated cooler air should dominate over the rest of the CONUS. Similar to Day 1, quiescent fir…
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SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1106 AM CST Mon Dec 18 2023 Valid 191200Z - 201200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Tuesday. ...Synopsis... An upper trough over the eastern U.S. will move offshore the Atlantic coast on Tuesday. In its wake, upper ridging will envelop much of the CONUS. Meanwhile, another upper trough/closed low over the eastern Pacific will approach the CA coast by Wednesday morning. Strong surface high pressure building over much of the eastern half of the CONUS will result in stable conditions. Southwesterly flow aloft…
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SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1106 AM CST Mon Dec 18 2023 Valid 191200Z - 201200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Tuesday. ...Synopsis... An upper trough over the eastern U.S. will move offshore the Atlantic coast on Tuesday. In its wake, upper ridging will envelop much of the CONUS. Meanwhile, another upper trough/closed low over the eastern Pacific will approach the CA coast by Wednesday morning. Strong surface high pressure building over much of the eastern half of the CONUS will result in stable conditions. Southwesterly flow aloft…
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SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1106 AM CST Mon Dec 18 2023 Valid 191200Z - 201200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Tuesday. ...Synopsis... An upper trough over the eastern U.S. will move offshore the Atlantic coast on Tuesday. In its wake, upper ridging will envelop much of the CONUS. Meanwhile, another upper trough/closed low over the eastern Pacific will approach the CA coast by Wednesday morning. Strong surface high pressure building over much of the eastern half of the CONUS will result in stable conditions. Southwesterly flow aloft…
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SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1106 AM CST Mon Dec 18 2023 Valid 191200Z - 201200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Tuesday. ...Synopsis... An upper trough over the eastern U.S. will move offshore the Atlantic coast on Tuesday. In its wake, upper ridging will envelop much of the CONUS. Meanwhile, another upper trough/closed low over the eastern Pacific will approach the CA coast by Wednesday morning. Strong surface high pressure building over much of the eastern half of the CONUS will result in stable conditions. Southwesterly flow aloft…
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SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1017 AM CST Mon Dec 18 2023 Valid 181700Z - 191200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes. Cool temperatures and abundant precipitation will keep fire-weather conditions minimal over much of the CONUS. ..Lyons.. 12/18/2023 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0146 AM CST Mon Dec 18 2023/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will amplify along the East Coast as a second mid-level trough impinges on California, with abundant rainfall expected in both regions today. Meanwhile, surface high pressure and associated cooler air will overspread the central CONUS. The net result wi…
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SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1017 AM CST Mon Dec 18 2023 Valid 181700Z - 191200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes. Cool temperatures and abundant precipitation will keep fire-weather conditions minimal over much of the CONUS. ..Lyons.. 12/18/2023 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0146 AM CST Mon Dec 18 2023/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will amplify along the East Coast as a second mid-level trough impinges on California, with abundant rainfall expected in both regions today. Meanwhile, surface high pressure and associated cooler air will overspread the central CONUS. The net result wi…
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SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1013 AM CST Mon Dec 18 2023 Valid 181630Z - 191200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND... ...SUMMARY... Convectively enhanced wind gusts will affect southeastern New England this afternoon. ...Southeastern New England.. A narrow/forced band of convection is moving quickly eastward across southeastern Massachusetts and Rhode Island at this time, immediately ahead of a strong, northeastward-moving mid-level vort max depicted by water vapor imagery just south of Long Island. While cool surface temperatures have prohibited surf…
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SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1013 AM CST Mon Dec 18 2023 Valid 181630Z - 191200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND... ...SUMMARY... Convectively enhanced wind gusts will affect southeastern New England this afternoon. ...Southeastern New England.. A narrow/forced band of convection is moving quickly eastward across southeastern Massachusetts and Rhode Island at this time, immediately ahead of a strong, northeastward-moving mid-level vort max depicted by water vapor imagery just south of Long Island. While cool surface temperatures have prohibited surf…
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
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SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1013 AM CST Mon Dec 18 2023 Valid 181630Z - 191200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND... ...SUMMARY... Convectively enhanced wind gusts will affect southeastern New England this afternoon. ...Southeastern New England.. A narrow/forced band of convection is moving quickly eastward across southeastern Massachusetts and Rhode Island at this time, immediately ahead of a strong, northeastward-moving mid-level vort max depicted by water vapor imagery just south of Long Island. While cool surface temperatures have prohibited surf…
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MD 2337 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR PARTS OF EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS Mesoscale Discussion 2337 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0957 AM CST Mon Dec 18 2023 Areas affected...parts of eastern Massachusetts Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 181557Z - 181830Z Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent SUMMARY...Wind gusts may be further enhanced by a line of low-topped convection and heavy rain as it moves across eastern Massachusetts. DISCUSSION...A line of low-topped convection with little to no lightning is currently swinging east across southern New England, where a non-convective high wind event is ongoing with …
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SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0655 AM CST Mon Dec 18 2023 Valid 181300Z - 191200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ALONG PARTS OF COASTAL NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms associated with marginally severe wind gusts will be possible today from near the coast of New Jersey into southern New England. ...Coastal New Jersey/Southern New England... A strong upper-level system over the Great Lakes will move toward the central Appalachians today. Ahead of the system, a lead shortwave trough and an associated deepening surface low will move northward across …
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SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0655 AM CST Mon Dec 18 2023 Valid 181300Z - 191200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ALONG PARTS OF COASTAL NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms associated with marginally severe wind gusts will be possible today from near the coast of New Jersey into southern New England. ...Coastal New Jersey/Southern New England... A strong upper-level system over the Great Lakes will move toward the central Appalachians today. Ahead of the system, a lead shortwave trough and an associated deepening surface low will move northward across …
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
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SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0655 AM CST Mon Dec 18 2023 Valid 181300Z - 191200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ALONG PARTS OF COASTAL NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms associated with marginally severe wind gusts will be possible today from near the coast of New Jersey into southern New England. ...Coastal New Jersey/Southern New England... A strong upper-level system over the Great Lakes will move toward the central Appalachians today. Ahead of the system, a lead shortwave trough and an associated deepening surface low will move northward across …
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
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Day 4-8 Outlook Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0343 AM CST Mon Dec 18 2023 Valid 211200Z - 261200Z ...DISCUSSION... Medium-range guidance continues to suggest that a southern-stream shortwave trough will progress through the southern Plains on D4/Thursday and the Lower MS Valley on D5/Friday. Modest low-level moisture advection will precede this shortwave, supporting showers and isolated thunderstorms. However, overall buoyancy will be limited by warm mid-level temperatures, which should keep the severe potential low. Upper low expected to be off the southern California coast early D4/Thursday is forecast progress eastward ac…
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Day 4-8 Outlook Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0343 AM CST Mon Dec 18 2023 Valid 211200Z - 261200Z ...DISCUSSION... Medium-range guidance continues to suggest that a southern-stream shortwave trough will progress through the southern Plains on D4/Thursday and the Lower MS Valley on D5/Friday. Modest low-level moisture advection will precede this shortwave, supporting showers and isolated thunderstorms. However, overall buoyancy will be limited by warm mid-level temperatures, which should keep the severe potential low. Upper low expected to be off the southern California coast early D4/Thursday is forecast progress eastward ac…
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Day 4-8 Outlook Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0343 AM CST Mon Dec 18 2023 Valid 211200Z - 261200Z ...DISCUSSION... Medium-range guidance continues to suggest that a southern-stream shortwave trough will progress through the southern Plains on D4/Thursday and the Lower MS Valley on D5/Friday. Modest low-level moisture advection will precede this shortwave, supporting showers and isolated thunderstorms. However, overall buoyancy will be limited by warm mid-level temperatures, which should keep the severe potential low. Upper low expected to be off the southern California coast early D4/Thursday is forecast progress eastward ac…
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SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0200 AM CST Mon Dec 18 2023 Valid 201200Z - 211200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated lightning flashes are possible along the central and southern California coast on Wednesday. ...Synopsis... High pressure associated with a dry continental air mass will dominant the sensible weather across much of the central and eastern CONUS during the period. Some limited air mass modification is anticipated across the southern Plains as a low-amplitude shortwave trough approaches from the west. Some precipitation is possible in vicinity of this shortw…
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SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0200 AM CST Mon Dec 18 2023 Valid 201200Z - 211200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated lightning flashes are possible along the central and southern California coast on Wednesday. ...Synopsis... High pressure associated with a dry continental air mass will dominant the sensible weather across much of the central and eastern CONUS during the period. Some limited air mass modification is anticipated across the southern Plains as a low-amplitude shortwave trough approaches from the west. Some precipitation is possible in vicinity of this shortw…
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SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0200 AM CST Mon Dec 18 2023 Valid 201200Z - 211200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated lightning flashes are possible along the central and southern California coast on Wednesday. ...Synopsis... High pressure associated with a dry continental air mass will dominant the sensible weather across much of the central and eastern CONUS during the period. Some limited air mass modification is anticipated across the southern Plains as a low-amplitude shortwave trough approaches from the west. Some precipitation is possible in vicinity of this shortw…
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SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0147 AM CST Mon Dec 18 2023 Valid 191200Z - 201200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will meander along the West Coast as upper ridging persists from the Interior West toward the Appalachians tomorrow/Tuesday. While surface lee troughing is expected across the High Plains, surface high pressure and associated cooler air should dominate over the rest of the CONUS. Similar to Day 1, quiescent fire weather conditions are expected over the U.S. ..Squitieri.. 12/18/2023 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more…
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SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0146 AM CST Mon Dec 18 2023 Valid 181200Z - 191200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will amplify along the East Coast as a second mid-level trough impinges on California, with abundant rainfall expected in both regions today. Meanwhile, surface high pressure and associated cooler air will overspread the central CONUS. The net result will be quiescent fire weather conditions across the U.S., especially considering that fuels will be poorly receptive to wildfire spread for many locales. ..Squitieri.. 12/18/2023 ...Please see www.spc.no…
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