Storm Prediction Center RSS Feed
This is an automated feed from the Storm Prediction Center that post the following products with images:
- Tornado/Severe Thunderstorm Watches - Watch number and the link to the watch page and watch status page if issued.
- Mesoscale Discussions - MD number, images, and link to page
- Convective Outlooks - Day 1, 2, 3, and 4-8
- Fire Weather Outlooks - 1,2, and 3-8
9,156 topics in this forum
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SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1044 AM CST Tue Dec 10 2024 Valid 101700Z - 111200Z ...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA COAST... ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR THE SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA COAST... Critical to Extremely Critical fire weather conditions continue across southern California this morning. Peak wind gusts of 50-70 mph (localized 80-90 mph) with a fire ongoing in Malibu. Guidance suggests that the peak winds have occurred this morning, with gradual weakening through the afternoon. However, Critical to locally Extremely Critical conditions w…
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SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1044 AM CST Tue Dec 10 2024 Valid 101700Z - 111200Z ...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA COAST... ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR THE SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA COAST... Critical to Extremely Critical fire weather conditions continue across southern California this morning. Peak wind gusts of 50-70 mph (localized 80-90 mph) with a fire ongoing in Malibu. Guidance suggests that the peak winds have occurred this morning, with gradual weakening through the afternoon. However, Critical to locally Extremely Critical conditions w…
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SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1019 AM CST Tue Dec 10 2024 Valid 101630Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THIS EVENING FROM CENTRAL ALABAMA INTO WEST-CENTRAL GEORGIA... ...SUMMARY... A few strong to severe thunderstorms may affect portions of central Alabama into west-central Georgia through this evening. ...AL/GA... The subtropical jet extends across the Gulf Coast region today, with several subtle shortwave troughs suggested in water vapor imagery that will affect parts of FL/AL/GA. Ample low-level moisture is present across central/southern AL/GA with dewpoints in …
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SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1019 AM CST Tue Dec 10 2024 Valid 101630Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THIS EVENING FROM CENTRAL ALABAMA INTO WEST-CENTRAL GEORGIA... ...SUMMARY... A few strong to severe thunderstorms may affect portions of central Alabama into west-central Georgia through this evening. ...AL/GA... The subtropical jet extends across the Gulf Coast region today, with several subtle shortwave troughs suggested in water vapor imagery that will affect parts of FL/AL/GA. Ample low-level moisture is present across central/southern AL/GA with dewpoints in …
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SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1019 AM CST Tue Dec 10 2024 Valid 101630Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THIS EVENING FROM CENTRAL ALABAMA INTO WEST-CENTRAL GEORGIA... ...SUMMARY... A few strong to severe thunderstorms may affect portions of central Alabama into west-central Georgia through this evening. ...AL/GA... The subtropical jet extends across the Gulf Coast region today, with several subtle shortwave troughs suggested in water vapor imagery that will affect parts of FL/AL/GA. Ample low-level moisture is present across central/southern AL/GA with dewpoints in …
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SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1019 AM CST Tue Dec 10 2024 Valid 101630Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THIS EVENING FROM CENTRAL ALABAMA INTO WEST-CENTRAL GEORGIA... ...SUMMARY... A few strong to severe thunderstorms may affect portions of central Alabama into west-central Georgia through this evening. ...AL/GA... The subtropical jet extends across the Gulf Coast region today, with several subtle shortwave troughs suggested in water vapor imagery that will affect parts of FL/AL/GA. Ample low-level moisture is present across central/southern AL/GA with dewpoints in …
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MD 2256 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL ALABAMA INTO FAR WESTERN GEORGIA Mesoscale Discussion 2256 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0954 AM CST Tue Dec 10 2024 Areas affected...portions of central Alabama into far western Georgia Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 101554Z - 101730Z Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent SUMMARY...The severe threat should continue to gradually increase through the morning, into the afternoon hours. A few tornadoes and/or severe gusts are the main threats. Convective trends are being monitored for the need of a Tornado Watch. An upgrade to a Slight Risk is also…
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SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0639 AM CST Tue Dec 10 2024 Valid 101300Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL GULF COAST REGION INTO CENTRAL/SOUTHERN GEORGIA AND THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE... ...SUMMARY... A few strong to severe thunderstorms are possible across portions of the central Gulf Coast region into central/southern Georgia and the Florida Panhandle through tonight. ...Synopsis... In mid/upper levels, mean troughing over the central CONUS will evolve from positively to near neutrally tilted through the period, in conjunction with two predominant …
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SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0639 AM CST Tue Dec 10 2024 Valid 101300Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL GULF COAST REGION INTO CENTRAL/SOUTHERN GEORGIA AND THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE... ...SUMMARY... A few strong to severe thunderstorms are possible across portions of the central Gulf Coast region into central/southern Georgia and the Florida Panhandle through tonight. ...Synopsis... In mid/upper levels, mean troughing over the central CONUS will evolve from positively to near neutrally tilted through the period, in conjunction with two predominant …
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MD 2255 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR PARTS OF EASTERN LOUISIANA INTO SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA Mesoscale Discussion 2255 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0534 AM CST Tue Dec 10 2024 Areas affected...parts of eastern Louisiana into southern Mississippi and southwest Alabama Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 101134Z - 101400Z Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent SUMMARY...A brief/weak tornado or locally damaging gust may occur during the next several hours. Coverage of severe is not expected to warrant a watch. DISCUSSION...A slow-moving cold front currently extends from southwest LA into c…
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Day 4-8 Outlook Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0357 AM CST Tue Dec 10 2024 Valid 131200Z - 181200Z ...DISCUSSION... Medium-range guidance is in good agreement that a shortwave trough will move from the central Rockies through the central Plains on D4/Friday. An associated surface low will take a similar track just ahead of the parent wave, with an attendant cold front pushing eastward across the southern/central Plains. Some modest moisture return will precede this front, and thunderstorms appear possible from east TX into the Lower MO Valley D4/Friday night into D5/Saturday morning. A few strong storms are possible, but overa…
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Day 4-8 Outlook Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0357 AM CST Tue Dec 10 2024 Valid 131200Z - 181200Z ...DISCUSSION... Medium-range guidance is in good agreement that a shortwave trough will move from the central Rockies through the central Plains on D4/Friday. An associated surface low will take a similar track just ahead of the parent wave, with an attendant cold front pushing eastward across the southern/central Plains. Some modest moisture return will precede this front, and thunderstorms appear possible from east TX into the Lower MO Valley D4/Friday night into D5/Saturday morning. A few strong storms are possible, but overa…
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SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0204 AM CST Tue Dec 10 2024 Valid 121200Z - 131200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected on Thursday. ...Synopsis... A mid/upper cyclone is forecast to be over the Ontario/Quebec vicinity early Thursday morning, with cyclonic flow throughout its base extending from the northern/central Plains through the Northeast. This cyclone is expected to gradually shift eastward through Quebec, with the associated cyclonic flow shifting northward and eastward as well. Farther west, a low-amplitude shortwave trough is expected to progress ac…
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SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0132 AM CST Tue Dec 10 2024 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...Synopsis... Elevated to locally critical fire weather conditions are anticipated Wednesday along the southern CA coast as an ongoing offshore wind event begins to wane. This event is expected to peak in intensity this morning (Tuesday) before gradually abating through the late afternoon and overnight hours. Critical (20+ mph) wind speeds will likely be ongoing within the coastal mountains by 12 UTC Wednesday, but winds are expected to weaken steadily through the day as the surface high over the Great Basin s…
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SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0132 AM CST Tue Dec 10 2024 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...Synopsis... Elevated to locally critical fire weather conditions are anticipated Wednesday along the southern CA coast as an ongoing offshore wind event begins to wane. This event is expected to peak in intensity this morning (Tuesday) before gradually abating through the late afternoon and overnight hours. Critical (20+ mph) wind speeds will likely be ongoing within the coastal mountains by 12 UTC Wednesday, but winds are expected to weaken steadily through the day as the surface high over the Great Basin s…
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SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0102 AM CST Tue Dec 10 2024 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA COAST... ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR THE SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA COAST... ...Synopsis... Critical to extremely critical fire weather conditions are expected today along the southern CA coast, posing a high-end fire weather threat. 06 UTC surface observations within the southern CA coastal mountains are showing widespread RH reductions into the low to mid teens with sustained winds between 25-35 mph and frequent gusts upwards of 4…
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SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1256 AM CST Tue Dec 10 2024 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM EASTERN NC INTO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND... ...SUMMARY... Strong to isolated severe thunderstorms are possible along and ahead of a cold front from eastern North Carolina into southern New England on Wednesday. ...Synopsis... A deep upper trough is expected to extend from central Canada southward along the length of the MS Valley into the western Gulf early Wednesday morning. A shortwave trough embedded within the base of this larger troughing is forecast to move quickl…
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No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Tue Dec 10 02:01:02 UTC 2024.View the full article
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SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0654 PM CST Mon Dec 09 2024 Valid 100100Z - 101200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Showers and scattered thunderstorms are expected overnight across the lower Mississippi and Tennessee Valleys and central Gulf Coast states. ...Discussion... As an upper trough continues digging southeastward across the Plains and southern Rockies, a weak surface frontal wave, now over the Arklatex region, is forecast to shift into the Tennessee Valley. As this occurs, a trailing cold front will progress southeastward across the south-central states. Ahead of the…
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SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0323 PM CST Mon Dec 09 2024 Valid 111200Z - 171200Z ...Days 3/Wednesday - Southern California... As a trough exits the southwest on D3/Wednesday, the surface high across the Great Basin will shift east over the Rockies with weakening surface gradients and as a result weakening of winds. Given the potential for a long period of 36-48 hours of Critical conditions prior and forecast for continued single digit humidity, a 40 percent delineation was maintained for continuance of this threat overnight Tuesday into the late morning Wednesday as winds gradually weak…
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SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0323 PM CST Mon Dec 09 2024 Valid 111200Z - 171200Z ...Days 3/Wednesday - Southern California... As a trough exits the southwest on D3/Wednesday, the surface high across the Great Basin will shift east over the Rockies with weakening surface gradients and as a result weakening of winds. Given the potential for a long period of 36-48 hours of Critical conditions prior and forecast for continued single digit humidity, a 40 percent delineation was maintained for continuance of this threat overnight Tuesday into the late morning Wednesday as winds gradually weak…
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MD 2254 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL INTO EASTERN LOUISIANA Mesoscale Discussion 2254 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0223 PM CST Mon Dec 09 2024 Areas affected...portions of central into eastern Louisiana Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 092023Z - 092300Z Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent SUMMARY...A isolated damaging gust or tornado cannot be ruled out this afternoon and early evening. The severe threat should remain sparse and a WW issuance is not expected. DISCUSSION...Thunderstorms have gradually been intensifying along a confluence band across portions of southern LA, where …
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MD 2253 CONCERNING WINTER MIXED PRECIPITATION FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN NEW YORK INTO VERMONT AND NEW HAMPSHIRE Mesoscale Discussion 2253 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0207 PM CST Mon Dec 09 2024 Areas affected...Portions of eastern New York into Vermont and New Hampshire Concerning...Winter mixed precipitation Valid 092007Z - 100200Z SUMMARY...Wintry mixed precipitation is possible through the afternoon and evening hours across portions of eastern NY into portions of New England. Freezing rain and perhaps a bit of sleet appears likely over lower-terrain areas, with snow (perhaps up to 1 inch/hr rates) over the higher terrain. DISCUSSION...A broad p…
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SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0144 PM CST Mon Dec 09 2024 Valid 092000Z - 101200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA INTO SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are possible from the Lower Mississippi Valley into much of the Southeast States today and tonight. Isolated strong to severe storms may affect parts of southern Louisiana and Mississippi. ...20Z Update... No changes to the ongoing forecast. Prior forecast reasoning remains valid as some destabilization has occurred in parts of southern Louisiana into southern Mississippi. The strongest storm…
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SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0144 PM CST Mon Dec 09 2024 Valid 092000Z - 101200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA INTO SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are possible from the Lower Mississippi Valley into much of the Southeast States today and tonight. Isolated strong to severe storms may affect parts of southern Louisiana and Mississippi. ...20Z Update... No changes to the ongoing forecast. Prior forecast reasoning remains valid as some destabilization has occurred in parts of southern Louisiana into southern Mississippi. The strongest storm…
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