NorthGeorgiaWX

Frost Advisory issued April 22 at 2:00PM EDT until April 23 at 9:00AM EDT by NWS Peachtree City GAView the full article

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0740 PM CDT Sun Apr 21 2024 Valid 220100Z - 221200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorm potential will remain low through tonight. ...Southeast GA/North FL... Severe probabilities have been removed from southeast GA/northern FL with the 01z update. Weakening large-scale ascent, poor low-level convergence, and a cooling/stabilizing boundary layer post-sunset will suppress severe thunderstorm potential the remainder of the evening. However, sufficient elevated instability may support isolated non-severe thunderstorm near the southward sagging surface front for a few more hours. ..Leitman.. 04/22/2024 Read more View the full article

No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Sun Apr 21 21:46:01 UTC 2024.View the full article

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0414 PM CDT Sun Apr 21 2024 Valid 231200Z - 291200Z Upper-level ridging over the Plains will promote relatively quiescent fire weather conditions during the middle of the week. By Thursday into the weekend though, a series of mid-level troughs will eject into the southern Plains, supporting the development of multiple surface cyclones and accompanying eastward surges of a dryline over the southern High Plains each day. In the post-dryline environment, Critical overlapping surface westerly winds and RH are expected, with guidance consensus showing the best chance at such conditions occurring along the CO/KS/TX/NM border areas by Thursday-Saturday afternoon peak heating. Here, 70 percent critical probabilities have been introduced for Days 5-7 (Thursday-Saturday), though Critical fire weather concerns may persist into early next week. Higher Critical probabilities may be needed for Sunday and perhaps beyond over the southern High Plains if guidance consensus shows the continued critically dry and windy conditions with any consistency. ..Squitieri.. 04/21/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more View the full article

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0251 PM CDT Sun Apr 21 2024 Valid 221200Z - 231200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The previous forecast remains on track. Guidance consensus continues to show solidly Elevated equivalent winds and RH to overspread portions of the northern High Plains tomorrow afternoon. Still, fuels appear too poorly receptive to support significant wildfire spread, with fire weather highlights withheld this outlook. A dry thunderstorm or two may also occur along portions of the central High Plains tomorrow afternoon, where fuels are at least modestly receptive to wildfire spread. However, confidence in storm coverage to prompt more than a localized wildfire-spread threat via lightning-induced ignitions is too low to introduce isolated dry thunderstorm highlights at this time. ..Squitieri.. 04/21/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0154 AM CDT Sun Apr 21 2024/ ...Synopsis... Along the southern periphery of a midlevel low tracking eastward across southern Canada, a swath of strong deep-layer westerly flow will overspread the northern/central Plains into the Upper MS Valley. At the same time, a cold front will move eastward across the region. Behind the front, 20-30 mph sustained west-northwesterly surface winds (with higher gusts) will overlap the northern edge of low boundary-layer RH across eastern MT into the Dakotas. While this may lead to localized fire-weather concerns, preceding rainfall atop already marginal fuels for some areas, and uncertainty regarding RH reductions, limit confidence in the fire-weather threat -- precluding Elevated highlights at this time. Ahead of the front from the southern Plains into the Midwest, a tight pressure gradient beneath a strong low-level jet will yield 20-25 mph sustained southwesterly surface winds (with gusts upwards of 35 mph). However, RH reductions generally appear marginal across this corridor. Nevertheless, the strong/gusty winds may still promote locally elevated fire-weather conditions where fuels are receptive to fire spread. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more View the full article

Frost Advisory issued April 21 at 2:34PM EDT until April 22 at 9:00AM EDT by NWS Peachtree City GAView the full article

Flood Warning issued April 21 at 10:26AM EDT until April 24 at 8:00AM EDT by NWS Jacksonville FLView the full article

Flood Warning issued April 21 at 8:40AM EDT by NWS Jacksonville FLView the full article

No watches are valid as of Sun Apr 21 02:02:01 UTC 2024.View the full article

No watches are valid as of Sun Apr 21 02:02:01 UTC 2024.View the full article

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1022 AM CDT Fri Apr 19 2024 Valid 191700Z - 201200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The previous forecast (see below) remains on track, with no changes or additions made. ..Squitieri.. 04/19/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0123 AM CDT Fri Apr 19 2024/ ...Synopsis... A weak/low-amplitude southern-stream trough will track eastward across the Southwest, encouraging breezy/gusty southwesterly winds amid a dry/deeply mixed boundary layer across the region. While elevated meteorological conditions are likely across portions of eastern AZ and western NM during the afternoon, marginal fuels should keep the fire-weather threat fairly localized -- precluding highlights at this time. Elsewhere across the CONUS, a limited overlap of warm/dry/breezy conditions will limit fire-weather concerns. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more View the full article

Flood Warning issued April 19 at 9:48AM EDT until April 19 at 10:43PM EDT by NWS Tallahassee FLView the full article

Flood Warning issued April 19 at 9:29AM EDT by NWS Jacksonville FLView the full article

Flood Warning issued April 19 at 9:29AM EDT by NWS Jacksonville FLView the full article

No watches are valid as of Fri Apr 19 07:02:02 UTC 2024.View the full article

No watches are valid as of Fri Apr 19 07:02:02 UTC 2024.View the full article

No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Fri Apr 19 06:15:07 UTC 2024.View the full article

No watches are valid as of Thu Apr 18 11:02:01 UTC 2024.View the full article

No watches are valid as of Thu Apr 18 11:02:01 UTC 2024.View the full article

No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Thu Apr 18 10:01:02 UTC 2024.View the full article

Day 4-8 Outlook Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0306 AM CDT Thu Apr 18 2024 Valid 211200Z - 261200Z ...DISCUSSION... For much of the extended period, a deep upper low and expansive trough will exist over eastern Canada, with moderate northwest flow across the central and eastern CONUS with various embedded waves. A cold front will be located roughly along the Gulf Coast on Sunday/D4, with areas of rain and thunderstorms from eastern TX toward the northern Gulf Coast and across northern FL. High pressure will keep the quality low-level moisture primarily offshore, but return flow into the southern Plains is forecast from around Wednesday/D7 and beyond as a potential upper trough develops over the western CONUS. As such, low severe potential is forecast for most of the D4-8 period, with perhaps increasing potential by D8 or beyond as the large northeastern trough dwindles. Read more View the full article

Dense Fog Advisory issued April 18 at 1:37AM EDT until April 18 at 10:00AM EDT by NWS Peachtree City GAView the full article

Flood Warning issued April 17 at 9:59PM EDT until April 19 at 12:00PM EDT by NWS Charleston SCView the full article

Flood Warning issued April 17 at 9:19PM EDT until April 19 at 5:00PM EDT by NWS Tallahassee FLView the full article

Flood Warning issued April 17 at 9:03PM EDT by NWS Jacksonville FLView the full article