NorthGeorgiaWX

Ok, final forecast... and it really only consist of temperatures, there will be no rain. Also, the air is drying out, dewpoints will be dropping in the 50's, so it's actually going to feel fairly nice. Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Hope everyone has a great time!!!

Good afternoon! Sorry, I've been pre-occupied with a hurricane, so now I can re-focus. 🙂 It's gonna be hot. There really isn't much to discuss, hot and dry are the two key words for the next 7 days. Oh... and no rain. These are the official forecast high temperatures. The DOW is in the top right corner of each image. Zero rainfall through 2 PM Thursday the 7th. Or so the Weather Prediction Center says. Dew points will remain in the 50's and 60's, so there won't be much in the way of humidity to add to the heat. All in all, not a bad forecast for the Nationals. I would take the heat over the rain any day, even though I hate the heat. I always found that the heat made me drive worse. Hope you all have a great time. I'll be back tomorrow to complete the forecast.

Good morning! I've been spending my energy watching the tropical system in the Gulf, so it is time to re-focus. We're getting close to September 1 (and the start of meteorological fall), and we are now in range of the official NWS forecast. First, there is no sign of rain through about the 6th of the month, so that's the good news. The bad news is of course, the heat. Fortunately, the worst of the heat will remain just to the south over Kansas, at least to start with. We'll start with the highs on August 30th, and go from there. Close to 100, and on that concrete, it will certainly feel like it. These are the high temp anomalies for the 1st and 2nd. I think the Euro and Canadian ensembles have the best handle on the temperatures, the GFS has been sniffing too much race fuel. Here how the rainfall totals look through September 3rd. Please don't ask where Nebraska is. 🙂

Good afternoon! Well, 7 days until the ProSolo starts, so we will now be able to give you a little better idea what to expect with the weather. I hope I didn't get too many hopes up about cooler weather, because I think we can forget about any hope of that happening. The core of the high pressure and the heat, is going to be centered almost directly over Nebraska. Let's just call it the bullseye like it is. Here are the three major global deterministic models, the GFS, Euro, and Canadian. All the images show a 5 day average temperature anomaly from August 30 to September 4. Notice that the GFS is the hottest of the three, and I suspect it's a little overdone. Looking at a meteogram from each of the three models, we see highs like this. The Euro falls in the middle, so I'd lean on that one for now. Looking at the Euro max temps, this is Thursday, August 31. The date is in the top right corner of the image. The time doesn't matter since the images show a daily max. If you're looking for rain to cool things off, you'll have to look really long and hard. In these multi run images, you can see the trends from the oldest model run at the top of the image, to the newest at the bottom. If anything, the chance for rain is going down. Looking past the 3rd, it's not looking any better. These are 10 day average temp anomalies. This particular image is from the GFS ensemble and runs from Sunday, August 27 through Wednesday, September 6. I'll get an update later, for some reason it's stuck at September 6. The Euro is from Tuesday the 29th to Friday the 8th. And the Canadian is from Wednesday, the 30th to Friday night on the 9th. Either way, all are above normal, and all show the greatest concentration of heat right over Nebraska. You're welcome. 🙂

Good afternoon! Instead of using a weather picture as the featured phot on the post, I'd thought I'd dig back through my pictures from past Nationals and highlight a few that I thought were cool. Try to guess the year, and you'll have to tell me who's car it is. 🙂 I'm still focused on the ProSolo for the next day or two, but also watching the 4th-8th for anything major. If you are driving in the ProSolo and dreading the heat in Lincoln, then things may be looking up, at least for part of the event. Here's a look at the high temperatures from the national Blend of Models, and it covers the period from Wednesday, August 30th to Sunday September 3rd. This is as far out as the model goes at the moment, so we'll see where it takes us as we move closer to the event. Here is the NWS description for this particular model. It's basically what the name implies, it's a blend of models, and that doesn't make it right, wrong, or a forecast. But it is similar to an ensemble since it blends many different scenarios into one. With all of that being said, these are the maps. Notice that there are no triple digit temperatures on the maps. The highs would be low 90's to start and dropping back down to the freezing mid to upper 80's by the 3rd. Ok, not really freezing. 🙂 Timing may also vary. The ensembles are still showing 5-7 degrees above normal for that time period, so we're not out of the fire just yet. Here's a look at the temp anomalies from the Euro, Canadian, and GFS ensembles. The GFS is the outlier and considerably warmer than these two. These are 5 day average anomalies centered on the dates of Aug 30 through the end of the day on September 3. Right now it looks like a slight chance of a shower each day through the 3rd, but the probability and confidence level is low on that. No matter how you slice it, Lincoln is either in, or close to the rain "hole". These are 7 day totals from the ensembles, ending the night of the 3rd. More tomorrow!

Good morning! We are inching closer to the realm of the medium range global models, so that will be a big help. Yesterday I left out the ProSolo folks, so I wanted to touch on that today. First we'll look at the ensembles, since we are just a little too far out to rely on the deterministic models right now. Tropical Storm Harold will be making landfall today over Texas, and that will be bringing some rainfall to Lincoln next Saturday and Sunday. The rain and moisture will wrap around an area of high pressure over OK/TX, and will bring some much needed rain to the central plains. The next two images are the ensemble temperatures for Lincoln through Tuesday, September 5th. It's hot but still not double digits. The di pin temperatures is due to TS Harold's rainfall. The GFS ensembles are hotter. Compare the Euro ensemble to this Euro deterministic run. Close. As for precipitation, these images depict the "spread" in all of the ensemble members. The Euro has 50 ensemble members plus one control member. Notice the small stair steps as we get to Sunday the 3rd. The GFS ensemble shows the same stair step pattern. So for now, it appears that there may be a slight daily chance for precipitation beginning around the 1st and continuing through at least the 7th.

Good afternoon everyone! It's been a while since I've posted, but it's that time again! We are still pretty far out in time for most of the computer models, but a few of the ensembles may give us a hint as to what everyone might expect for the start of the Nationals. The Euro ensemble goes out to 15 days, so this is what Tuesday, September 5 looks like to the Euro in terms of temperature anomalies. The GFS goes out slightly further but not much. It's thinking warmer temps than the Euro And there are the temperatures. We need a few more days to see where the models take this, Again, this only goes to August 31st. We do see rain from the tropical system (#9) that is currently in the Gulf, impacting Nebraska before the end of the month, but we just don't know much further than the 5th or so right now, so please check back. All of that being said, the GFS Extended and Euro Weeklies suggest that Lincoln will be among the hottest and driest places in the country for that week. GFS Extended Euro Weeklies More in a day or two!

Hey Ricky! We've headed over to Wheeler State Park in Alabama for a "Looper" Fall Rendezvous. It's a 3 day conference and there will be 25-30+ looper boats (some currently looping, others past loopers) there where you can tour and talk to the owners. I was waiting until then to "actively" start searching for a boat. I have a good idea what I'm looking for, but I'd really like to get on a few of these boats and talk with the owners about what they like, dislike, and what they would change about their boat. There is a group on Facebook where you can follow the activity and discussions. The Great Loop | Facebook WWW.FACEBOOK.COM Welcome to The Great Loop--The "official" group of America's Great Loop Cruisers' Association (AGLCA)TM. This is the longest standing, largest, and most active Great Loop group on Facebook and we... Registration for the event opens up at 12 noon on the 10th and it fills up fast, I so I need to be speedy. 🙂