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NorthGeorgiaWX

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Posts posted by NorthGeorgiaWX

  1. WW 0719 Status Updates
    WW 0719 Status Image
    
    STATUS REPORT ON WW 719
    
    SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SSE PFN
    TO 35 E PFN TO 30 WSW ABY TO 35 WNW ABY TO 30 NNW ABY TO 35 NE
    ABY.
    
    FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2323
    
    ..GLEASON..12/10/23
    
    ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...TAE...FFC...
    
    
    STATUS REPORT FOR WT 719 
    
    SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 
    
    FLC013-037-039-045-065-073-077-129-101440-
    
    FL 
    .    FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
    
    CALHOUN              FRANKLIN            GADSDEN             
    GULF                 JEFFERSON           LEON                
    LIBERTY              WAKULLA             
    
    
    GAC007-037-071-087-095-131-177-201-205-243-273-275-277-287-321-
    101440-
    
    GA 
    .    GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
    
    BAKER                CALHOUN             COLQUITT            
    DECATUR              DOUGHERTY           GRADY               
    LEE                  MILLER              MITCHELL            
    RANDOLPH             TERRELL             THOMAS              
    TIFT                 TURNER              WORTH               
    
    
    Read more

    View the full article

  2. WW 0719 Status Updates
    WW 0719 Status Image
    
    STATUS REPORT ON WW 719
    
    SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SSE PFN
    TO 35 E PFN TO 30 WSW ABY TO 35 WNW ABY TO 30 NNW ABY TO 35 NE
    ABY.
    
    FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2323
    
    ..GLEASON..12/10/23
    
    ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...TAE...FFC...
    
    
    STATUS REPORT FOR WT 719 
    
    SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 
    
    FLC013-037-039-045-065-073-077-129-101440-
    
    FL 
    .    FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
    
    CALHOUN              FRANKLIN            GADSDEN             
    GULF                 JEFFERSON           LEON                
    LIBERTY              WAKULLA             
    
    
    GAC007-037-071-087-095-131-177-201-205-243-273-275-277-287-321-
    101440-
    
    GA 
    .    GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
    
    BAKER                CALHOUN             COLQUITT            
    DECATUR              DOUGHERTY           GRADY               
    LEE                  MILLER              MITCHELL            
    RANDOLPH             TERRELL             THOMAS              
    TIFT                 TURNER              WORTH               
    
    
    Read more

    View the full article

  3. WW 0719 Status Updates
    WW 0719 Status Image
    
    STATUS REPORT ON WW 719
    
    SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SSE PFN
    TO 35 E PFN TO 30 WSW ABY TO 35 WNW ABY TO 30 NNW ABY TO 35 NE
    ABY.
    
    FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2323
    
    ..GLEASON..12/10/23
    
    ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...TAE...FFC...
    
    
    STATUS REPORT FOR WT 719 
    
    SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 
    
    FLC013-037-039-045-065-073-077-129-101440-
    
    FL 
    .    FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
    
    CALHOUN              FRANKLIN            GADSDEN             
    GULF                 JEFFERSON           LEON                
    LIBERTY              WAKULLA             
    
    
    GAC007-037-071-087-095-131-177-201-205-243-273-275-277-287-321-
    101440-
    
    GA 
    .    GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
    
    BAKER                CALHOUN             COLQUITT            
    DECATUR              DOUGHERTY           GRADY               
    LEE                  MILLER              MITCHELL            
    RANDOLPH             TERRELL             THOMAS              
    TIFT                 TURNER              WORTH               
    
    
    Read more

    View the full article

  4. WW 0719 Status Updates
    WW 0719 Status Image
    
    STATUS REPORT ON WW 719
    
    SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SSE PFN
    TO 35 E PFN TO 30 WSW ABY TO 35 WNW ABY TO 30 NNW ABY TO 35 NE
    ABY.
    
    FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2323
    
    ..GLEASON..12/10/23
    
    ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...TAE...FFC...
    
    
    STATUS REPORT FOR WT 719 
    
    SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 
    
    FLC013-037-039-045-065-073-077-129-101440-
    
    FL 
    .    FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
    
    CALHOUN              FRANKLIN            GADSDEN             
    GULF                 JEFFERSON           LEON                
    LIBERTY              WAKULLA             
    
    
    GAC007-037-071-087-095-131-177-201-205-243-273-275-277-287-321-
    101440-
    
    GA 
    .    GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
    
    BAKER                CALHOUN             COLQUITT            
    DECATUR              DOUGHERTY           GRADY               
    LEE                  MILLER              MITCHELL            
    RANDOLPH             TERRELL             THOMAS              
    TIFT                 TURNER              WORTH               
    
    
    Read more

    View the full article

  5. WW 0719 Status Updates
    WW 0719 Status Image
    
    STATUS REPORT ON WW 719
    
    SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SSE PFN
    TO 35 E PFN TO 30 WSW ABY TO 35 WNW ABY TO 30 NNW ABY TO 35 NE
    ABY.
    
    FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2323
    
    ..GLEASON..12/10/23
    
    ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...TAE...FFC...
    
    
    STATUS REPORT FOR WT 719 
    
    SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 
    
    FLC013-037-039-045-065-073-077-129-101440-
    
    FL 
    .    FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
    
    CALHOUN              FRANKLIN            GADSDEN             
    GULF                 JEFFERSON           LEON                
    LIBERTY              WAKULLA             
    
    
    GAC007-037-071-087-095-131-177-201-205-243-273-275-277-287-321-
    101440-
    
    GA 
    .    GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
    
    BAKER                CALHOUN             COLQUITT            
    DECATUR              DOUGHERTY           GRADY               
    LEE                  MILLER              MITCHELL            
    RANDOLPH             TERRELL             THOMAS              
    TIFT                 TURNER              WORTH               
    
    
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  6. SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook
    Day 1 Outlook Image
    Day 1 Convective Outlook  
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0654 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023
    
    Valid 101300Z - 111200Z
    
    ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PORTIONS OF
    THE EASTERN CAROLINAS AND SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA...AND NEAR THE
    NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST...
    
    ...SUMMARY...
    Damaging gusts and a few tornadoes are possible mainly over portions
    of the eastern Carolinas and southeastern Virginia, and the next few
    hours near the northeastern Gulf Coast.
    
    ...Synopsis...
    In mid/upper levels, high-amplitude synoptic troughing will shift
    eastward across the eastern CONUS through the period.  This will be
    influenced substantially by a strong, basal perturbation apparent in
    moisture-channel imagery from southern IL across AR to south-central
    TX.  This feature should assume a less-positive tilt through the day
    as it pivots eastward, reaching from eastern KY across AL and the
    western FL Panhandle by 00Z.  Thereafter, the shortwave trough will
    eject northeastward, become more negatively tilted, and after 06Z,
    weaken substantially -- reaching eastern VA by 12Z tomorrow.
    
    At the surface, 11Z analysis showed a cold front from western PA
    through WV, near TRI, then across eastern/southern AL to the central
    Gulf.  The front should proceed eastward across the central/southern
    Appalachians today.  By 00Z, an elongated area of low pressure (and
    perhaps one or more discrete, weak lows) should develop along the
    front, expected to extend from northern New England to southeastern
    PA, then approximately down the Piedmont into southern GA, to the
    eastern Gulf.  By 12Z tomorrow, a deepening low should consolidate
    on the front over or near RI, with the boundary extending across
    Atlantic waters to the FL Keys vicinity.
    
    ...Southeast CONUS...
    A broken band of thunderstorms may continue to pose a threat for a
    tornado or two and damaging gusts for a few hours, as it shifts
    eastward through the FL Panhandle and southwestern GA, toward a
    region of more-stable boundary-layer air over and north of Apalachee
    Bay.  The TLH sounding at 12Z sampled the eastern rim of the
    moist-unstable low/middle-level profiles well, atop a shallow/stable
    near-surface layer that may modify somewhat more favorably before
    the convection moves through the area.  Effective SRH in the 150-200
    J/kg range was noted, consistent with recent VWP there, and at Eglin
    AFB before flow veered.  For near-term concerns, refer to the
    remainder of tornado watch 719 and associated mesoscale discussions.
    
    A relative minimum in severe probabilities (though not zero) is
    expected over portions of GA into western SC, where only partly
    modified, overland trajectories from FL and GA will render inflow-
    layer instability weak and marginal, at best.  However, as the zone
    of strongest deep-layer ascent shifts eastward today, it will
    encounter a boundary layer destabilizing from both cloud-muted
    overland/diabatic heating and low-level theta-e advection off the
    Atlantic.  This will ramp up wind and tornado probabilities again,
    as thunderstorms reorganize and intensify -- potentially in two
    episodes:
    1.  A zone of strengthening low-level convergence preceding the
    original convective band over easternmost SC, eastern NC and parts
    of southeastern VA, with activity forming in the warm sector over
    water and land and moving north-northeastward;
    2.  The initial main band of lift/convection reaching the same area
    late afternoon into this evening.
    
    In the destabilizing plume, surface dewpoints (already in the low
    60s F) should increase to the mid/upper 60s by afternoon as the
    over-water airmass continues to modify favorably.  Low/middle-level
    lapse rates will be modest but sufficient to support MLCAPE in the
    500-1000 J/kg range, in an environment of strengthening deep shear
    and somewhat enlarged low-level hodographs.  A few supercells and
    small bows will be possible with the warm-sector convection, amidst
    weak forcing but also weak CINH.  The main band of convection may
    contain embedded supercells and/or LEWP/bowing circulations. 
    Surface-based buoyancy will decrease northward and narrow in lateral
    extent over the Chesapeake Bay/eastern VA/MD region, but with some
    severe still possible.
    
    Farther south across FL, a line of thunderstorms ahead of the front
    will offer isolated damaging-wind potential as it crosses from the
    Gulf into parts of western/northern FL, with some preconvective
    buoyancy maintained by veering winds off the Gulf.  However, that
    veering will reduce vertical shear and convergence with time this
    evening, as instability weakens nocturnally, reducing severe
    potential eastward and southward over the peninsula.
    
    ..Edwards/Gleason.. 12/10/2023
    
    
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  7. SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook
    Day 1 Outlook Image
    Day 1 Convective Outlook  
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0654 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023
    
    Valid 101300Z - 111200Z
    
    ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PORTIONS OF
    THE EASTERN CAROLINAS AND SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA...AND NEAR THE
    NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST...
    
    ...SUMMARY...
    Damaging gusts and a few tornadoes are possible mainly over portions
    of the eastern Carolinas and southeastern Virginia, and the next few
    hours near the northeastern Gulf Coast.
    
    ...Synopsis...
    In mid/upper levels, high-amplitude synoptic troughing will shift
    eastward across the eastern CONUS through the period.  This will be
    influenced substantially by a strong, basal perturbation apparent in
    moisture-channel imagery from southern IL across AR to south-central
    TX.  This feature should assume a less-positive tilt through the day
    as it pivots eastward, reaching from eastern KY across AL and the
    western FL Panhandle by 00Z.  Thereafter, the shortwave trough will
    eject northeastward, become more negatively tilted, and after 06Z,
    weaken substantially -- reaching eastern VA by 12Z tomorrow.
    
    At the surface, 11Z analysis showed a cold front from western PA
    through WV, near TRI, then across eastern/southern AL to the central
    Gulf.  The front should proceed eastward across the central/southern
    Appalachians today.  By 00Z, an elongated area of low pressure (and
    perhaps one or more discrete, weak lows) should develop along the
    front, expected to extend from northern New England to southeastern
    PA, then approximately down the Piedmont into southern GA, to the
    eastern Gulf.  By 12Z tomorrow, a deepening low should consolidate
    on the front over or near RI, with the boundary extending across
    Atlantic waters to the FL Keys vicinity.
    
    ...Southeast CONUS...
    A broken band of thunderstorms may continue to pose a threat for a
    tornado or two and damaging gusts for a few hours, as it shifts
    eastward through the FL Panhandle and southwestern GA, toward a
    region of more-stable boundary-layer air over and north of Apalachee
    Bay.  The TLH sounding at 12Z sampled the eastern rim of the
    moist-unstable low/middle-level profiles well, atop a shallow/stable
    near-surface layer that may modify somewhat more favorably before
    the convection moves through the area.  Effective SRH in the 150-200
    J/kg range was noted, consistent with recent VWP there, and at Eglin
    AFB before flow veered.  For near-term concerns, refer to the
    remainder of tornado watch 719 and associated mesoscale discussions.
    
    A relative minimum in severe probabilities (though not zero) is
    expected over portions of GA into western SC, where only partly
    modified, overland trajectories from FL and GA will render inflow-
    layer instability weak and marginal, at best.  However, as the zone
    of strongest deep-layer ascent shifts eastward today, it will
    encounter a boundary layer destabilizing from both cloud-muted
    overland/diabatic heating and low-level theta-e advection off the
    Atlantic.  This will ramp up wind and tornado probabilities again,
    as thunderstorms reorganize and intensify -- potentially in two
    episodes:
    1.  A zone of strengthening low-level convergence preceding the
    original convective band over easternmost SC, eastern NC and parts
    of southeastern VA, with activity forming in the warm sector over
    water and land and moving north-northeastward;
    2.  The initial main band of lift/convection reaching the same area
    late afternoon into this evening.
    
    In the destabilizing plume, surface dewpoints (already in the low
    60s F) should increase to the mid/upper 60s by afternoon as the
    over-water airmass continues to modify favorably.  Low/middle-level
    lapse rates will be modest but sufficient to support MLCAPE in the
    500-1000 J/kg range, in an environment of strengthening deep shear
    and somewhat enlarged low-level hodographs.  A few supercells and
    small bows will be possible with the warm-sector convection, amidst
    weak forcing but also weak CINH.  The main band of convection may
    contain embedded supercells and/or LEWP/bowing circulations. 
    Surface-based buoyancy will decrease northward and narrow in lateral
    extent over the Chesapeake Bay/eastern VA/MD region, but with some
    severe still possible.
    
    Farther south across FL, a line of thunderstorms ahead of the front
    will offer isolated damaging-wind potential as it crosses from the
    Gulf into parts of western/northern FL, with some preconvective
    buoyancy maintained by veering winds off the Gulf.  However, that
    veering will reduce vertical shear and convergence with time this
    evening, as instability weakens nocturnally, reducing severe
    potential eastward and southward over the peninsula.
    
    ..Edwards/Gleason.. 12/10/2023
    
    
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  8. SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook
    Day 1 Outlook Image
    Day 1 Convective Outlook  
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0654 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023
    
    Valid 101300Z - 111200Z
    
    ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PORTIONS OF
    THE EASTERN CAROLINAS AND SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA...AND NEAR THE
    NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST...
    
    ...SUMMARY...
    Damaging gusts and a few tornadoes are possible mainly over portions
    of the eastern Carolinas and southeastern Virginia, and the next few
    hours near the northeastern Gulf Coast.
    
    ...Synopsis...
    In mid/upper levels, high-amplitude synoptic troughing will shift
    eastward across the eastern CONUS through the period.  This will be
    influenced substantially by a strong, basal perturbation apparent in
    moisture-channel imagery from southern IL across AR to south-central
    TX.  This feature should assume a less-positive tilt through the day
    as it pivots eastward, reaching from eastern KY across AL and the
    western FL Panhandle by 00Z.  Thereafter, the shortwave trough will
    eject northeastward, become more negatively tilted, and after 06Z,
    weaken substantially -- reaching eastern VA by 12Z tomorrow.
    
    At the surface, 11Z analysis showed a cold front from western PA
    through WV, near TRI, then across eastern/southern AL to the central
    Gulf.  The front should proceed eastward across the central/southern
    Appalachians today.  By 00Z, an elongated area of low pressure (and
    perhaps one or more discrete, weak lows) should develop along the
    front, expected to extend from northern New England to southeastern
    PA, then approximately down the Piedmont into southern GA, to the
    eastern Gulf.  By 12Z tomorrow, a deepening low should consolidate
    on the front over or near RI, with the boundary extending across
    Atlantic waters to the FL Keys vicinity.
    
    ...Southeast CONUS...
    A broken band of thunderstorms may continue to pose a threat for a
    tornado or two and damaging gusts for a few hours, as it shifts
    eastward through the FL Panhandle and southwestern GA, toward a
    region of more-stable boundary-layer air over and north of Apalachee
    Bay.  The TLH sounding at 12Z sampled the eastern rim of the
    moist-unstable low/middle-level profiles well, atop a shallow/stable
    near-surface layer that may modify somewhat more favorably before
    the convection moves through the area.  Effective SRH in the 150-200
    J/kg range was noted, consistent with recent VWP there, and at Eglin
    AFB before flow veered.  For near-term concerns, refer to the
    remainder of tornado watch 719 and associated mesoscale discussions.
    
    A relative minimum in severe probabilities (though not zero) is
    expected over portions of GA into western SC, where only partly
    modified, overland trajectories from FL and GA will render inflow-
    layer instability weak and marginal, at best.  However, as the zone
    of strongest deep-layer ascent shifts eastward today, it will
    encounter a boundary layer destabilizing from both cloud-muted
    overland/diabatic heating and low-level theta-e advection off the
    Atlantic.  This will ramp up wind and tornado probabilities again,
    as thunderstorms reorganize and intensify -- potentially in two
    episodes:
    1.  A zone of strengthening low-level convergence preceding the
    original convective band over easternmost SC, eastern NC and parts
    of southeastern VA, with activity forming in the warm sector over
    water and land and moving north-northeastward;
    2.  The initial main band of lift/convection reaching the same area
    late afternoon into this evening.
    
    In the destabilizing plume, surface dewpoints (already in the low
    60s F) should increase to the mid/upper 60s by afternoon as the
    over-water airmass continues to modify favorably.  Low/middle-level
    lapse rates will be modest but sufficient to support MLCAPE in the
    500-1000 J/kg range, in an environment of strengthening deep shear
    and somewhat enlarged low-level hodographs.  A few supercells and
    small bows will be possible with the warm-sector convection, amidst
    weak forcing but also weak CINH.  The main band of convection may
    contain embedded supercells and/or LEWP/bowing circulations. 
    Surface-based buoyancy will decrease northward and narrow in lateral
    extent over the Chesapeake Bay/eastern VA/MD region, but with some
    severe still possible.
    
    Farther south across FL, a line of thunderstorms ahead of the front
    will offer isolated damaging-wind potential as it crosses from the
    Gulf into parts of western/northern FL, with some preconvective
    buoyancy maintained by veering winds off the Gulf.  However, that
    veering will reduce vertical shear and convergence with time this
    evening, as instability weakens nocturnally, reducing severe
    potential eastward and southward over the peninsula.
    
    ..Edwards/Gleason.. 12/10/2023
    
    
    Read more

    View the full article

  9. SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook
    Day 1 Outlook Image
    Day 1 Convective Outlook  
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0654 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023
    
    Valid 101300Z - 111200Z
    
    ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PORTIONS OF
    THE EASTERN CAROLINAS AND SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA...AND NEAR THE
    NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST...
    
    ...SUMMARY...
    Damaging gusts and a few tornadoes are possible mainly over portions
    of the eastern Carolinas and southeastern Virginia, and the next few
    hours near the northeastern Gulf Coast.
    
    ...Synopsis...
    In mid/upper levels, high-amplitude synoptic troughing will shift
    eastward across the eastern CONUS through the period.  This will be
    influenced substantially by a strong, basal perturbation apparent in
    moisture-channel imagery from southern IL across AR to south-central
    TX.  This feature should assume a less-positive tilt through the day
    as it pivots eastward, reaching from eastern KY across AL and the
    western FL Panhandle by 00Z.  Thereafter, the shortwave trough will
    eject northeastward, become more negatively tilted, and after 06Z,
    weaken substantially -- reaching eastern VA by 12Z tomorrow.
    
    At the surface, 11Z analysis showed a cold front from western PA
    through WV, near TRI, then across eastern/southern AL to the central
    Gulf.  The front should proceed eastward across the central/southern
    Appalachians today.  By 00Z, an elongated area of low pressure (and
    perhaps one or more discrete, weak lows) should develop along the
    front, expected to extend from northern New England to southeastern
    PA, then approximately down the Piedmont into southern GA, to the
    eastern Gulf.  By 12Z tomorrow, a deepening low should consolidate
    on the front over or near RI, with the boundary extending across
    Atlantic waters to the FL Keys vicinity.
    
    ...Southeast CONUS...
    A broken band of thunderstorms may continue to pose a threat for a
    tornado or two and damaging gusts for a few hours, as it shifts
    eastward through the FL Panhandle and southwestern GA, toward a
    region of more-stable boundary-layer air over and north of Apalachee
    Bay.  The TLH sounding at 12Z sampled the eastern rim of the
    moist-unstable low/middle-level profiles well, atop a shallow/stable
    near-surface layer that may modify somewhat more favorably before
    the convection moves through the area.  Effective SRH in the 150-200
    J/kg range was noted, consistent with recent VWP there, and at Eglin
    AFB before flow veered.  For near-term concerns, refer to the
    remainder of tornado watch 719 and associated mesoscale discussions.
    
    A relative minimum in severe probabilities (though not zero) is
    expected over portions of GA into western SC, where only partly
    modified, overland trajectories from FL and GA will render inflow-
    layer instability weak and marginal, at best.  However, as the zone
    of strongest deep-layer ascent shifts eastward today, it will
    encounter a boundary layer destabilizing from both cloud-muted
    overland/diabatic heating and low-level theta-e advection off the
    Atlantic.  This will ramp up wind and tornado probabilities again,
    as thunderstorms reorganize and intensify -- potentially in two
    episodes:
    1.  A zone of strengthening low-level convergence preceding the
    original convective band over easternmost SC, eastern NC and parts
    of southeastern VA, with activity forming in the warm sector over
    water and land and moving north-northeastward;
    2.  The initial main band of lift/convection reaching the same area
    late afternoon into this evening.
    
    In the destabilizing plume, surface dewpoints (already in the low
    60s F) should increase to the mid/upper 60s by afternoon as the
    over-water airmass continues to modify favorably.  Low/middle-level
    lapse rates will be modest but sufficient to support MLCAPE in the
    500-1000 J/kg range, in an environment of strengthening deep shear
    and somewhat enlarged low-level hodographs.  A few supercells and
    small bows will be possible with the warm-sector convection, amidst
    weak forcing but also weak CINH.  The main band of convection may
    contain embedded supercells and/or LEWP/bowing circulations. 
    Surface-based buoyancy will decrease northward and narrow in lateral
    extent over the Chesapeake Bay/eastern VA/MD region, but with some
    severe still possible.
    
    Farther south across FL, a line of thunderstorms ahead of the front
    will offer isolated damaging-wind potential as it crosses from the
    Gulf into parts of western/northern FL, with some preconvective
    buoyancy maintained by veering winds off the Gulf.  However, that
    veering will reduce vertical shear and convergence with time this
    evening, as instability weakens nocturnally, reducing severe
    potential eastward and southward over the peninsula.
    
    ..Edwards/Gleason.. 12/10/2023
    
    
    Read more

    View the full article

  10. WW 0719 Status Updates
    WW 0719 Status Image
    
    STATUS REPORT ON WW 719
    
    SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 S PFN TO
    25 NNE PFN TO 25 NNE DHN TO 35 SSE CSG TO 40 ENE CSG TO 40 NNE
    MCN.
    
    FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2322
    
    ..GLEASON..12/10/23
    
    ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...TAE...FFC...
    
    
    STATUS REPORT FOR WT 719 
    
    SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 
    
    ALC067-069-101340-
    
    AL 
    .    ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
    
    HENRY                HOUSTON             
    
    
    FLC005-013-045-063-101340-
    
    FL 
    .    FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
    
    BAY                  CALHOUN             GULF                
    JACKSON              
    
    
    GAC021-037-061-079-099-193-197-207-225-239-243-249-259-261-269-
    273-293-307-101340-
    
    GA 
    .    GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
    
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  11. WW 0719 Status Updates
    WW 0719 Status Image
    
    STATUS REPORT ON WW 719
    
    SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 S PFN TO
    25 NNE PFN TO 25 NNE DHN TO 35 SSE CSG TO 40 ENE CSG TO 40 NNE
    MCN.
    
    FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2322
    
    ..GLEASON..12/10/23
    
    ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...TAE...FFC...
    
    
    STATUS REPORT FOR WT 719 
    
    SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 
    
    ALC067-069-101340-
    
    AL 
    .    ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
    
    HENRY                HOUSTON             
    
    
    FLC005-013-045-063-101340-
    
    FL 
    .    FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
    
    BAY                  CALHOUN             GULF                
    JACKSON              
    
    
    GAC021-037-061-079-099-193-197-207-225-239-243-249-259-261-269-
    273-293-307-101340-
    
    GA 
    .    GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
    
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  12. MD 2322 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 719... FOR PORTIONS OF THE FL PANHANDLE...SOUTHEASTERN AL...AND WESTERN GA
    MD 2322 Image
    
    Mesoscale Discussion 2322
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0602 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023
    
    Areas affected...Portions of the FL Panhandle...southeastern
    AL...and western GA
    
    Concerning...Tornado Watch 719...
    
    Valid 101202Z - 101330Z
    
    The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 719 continues.
    
    SUMMARY...An isolated severe threat continues.
    
    DISCUSSION...As large-scale ascent associated with an upper trough
    overspreads the Southeast, additional bands/clusters of convection
    have developed over the past couple of hours across parts of the FL
    Panhandle into southeastern AL and western GA. Messy storm modes and
    interactions, along with marginally favorable instability, have
    generally tempered the overall severe threat to some extent. Still,
    a narrow corridor of surface-based thunderstorm potential exists
    along and just ahead of a southeastward-moving cold front. Strong
    deep-layer shear and sufficient low-level shear will continue to
    support updraft rotation in the short term with any embedded
    supercells within the broader swath of convection. The most
    favorable environment appears to be across parts of the FL Panhandle
    and vicinity, where a brief tornado and strong/gusty winds remain
    possible. More limited low-level moisture and weaker instability
    into central GA suggest that ongoing convection should gradually
    weaken as is moves eastward into a less favorable thermodynamic
    environment.
    
    ..Gleason.. 12/10/2023
    
    ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
    
    ATTN...WFO...FFC...TAE...BMX...
    
    LAT...LON   30508626 31668570 32878446 32648376 30978476 29818508
                29938559 30158597 30508626 
    
    
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  13. WW 0719 Status Updates
    WW 0719 Status Image
    
    STATUS REPORT ON WW 719
    
    SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SSE CEW
    TO 35 NE CEW TO 20 ESE TOI TO 5 SSW CSG TO 20 ESE LGC TO 25 SSE
    ATL.
    
    ..GLEASON..12/10/23
    
    ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...TAE...FFC...
    
    
    STATUS REPORT FOR WT 719 
    
    SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 
    
    ALC005-031-045-061-067-069-113-101240-
    
    AL 
    .    ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
    
    BARBOUR              COFFEE              DALE                
    GENEVA               HENRY               HOUSTON             
    RUSSELL              
    
    
    FLC005-013-045-059-063-091-131-133-101240-
    
    FL 
    .    FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
    
    BAY                  CALHOUN             GULF                
    HOLMES               JACKSON             OKALOOSA            
    WALTON               WASHINGTON          
    
    
    GAC021-037-053-061-079-099-145-171-193-197-199-207-215-225-231-
    239-243-249-259-261-263-269-273-293-307-101240-
    
    GA 
    
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