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NorthGeorgiaWX

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  1. SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
    Day 1 Outlook Image
    Day 1 Convective Outlook  
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0654 PM CST Sun Dec 10 2023
    
    Valid 110100Z - 111200Z
    
    ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS FAR
    EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA...
    
    ...SUMMARY...
    A marginal tornado threat is expected to continue this evening near
    Cape Hatteras. Elsewhere across the continental United States, a
    severe threat is not expected.
    
    ...Far Eastern North Carolina...
    At the surface, a cold front is currently located in western North
    Carolina, in the vicinity of Greensboro and Charlotte. Thunderstorms
    are ongoing well to the east of the front across eastern North
    Carolina, where surface dewpoints are in the mid 60s F. In addition,
    the Morehead City WSR-88D VWP has 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
    near 400 m2/s2. This suggests that a marginal tornado threat should
    continue this evening, as storms move northeastward across the Outer
    Banks. The tornado potential will be minimal, and is expected to
    gradually diminish as the cold front approaches the coast later
    tonight.
    
    ..Broyles.. 12/11/2023
    
    
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  2. WW 0721 Status Updates
    WW 0721 Status Image
    
    STATUS REPORT ON WW 721
    
    SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 S EWN TO
    35 SSW ECG TO 30 ENE RZZ TO 30 ESE RIC.
    
    ..SPC..12/10/23
    
    ATTN...WFO...MHX...AKQ...RAH...
    
    
    STATUS REPORT FOR WT 721 
    
    SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 
    
    NCC029-031-041-053-055-073-095-139-143-110040-
    
    NC 
    .    NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
    
    CAMDEN               CARTERET            CHOWAN              
    CURRITUCK            DARE                GATES               
    HYDE                 PASQUOTANK          PERQUIMANS          
    
    
    VAC073-093-095-175-181-199-550-620-650-700-710-735-740-800-810-
    830-110040-
    
    VA 
    .    VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
    
    GLOUCESTER           ISLE OF WIGHT       JAMES CITY          
    SOUTHAMPTON          SURRY               YORK                
    
    
    
    
    VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
    
    CHESAPEAKE           FRANKLIN            HAMPTON             
    
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  3. WW 0721 Status Updates
    WW 0721 Status Image
    
    STATUS REPORT ON WW 721
    
    SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 S EWN TO
    35 SSW ECG TO 30 ENE RZZ TO 30 ESE RIC.
    
    ..SPC..12/10/23
    
    ATTN...WFO...MHX...AKQ...RAH...
    
    
    STATUS REPORT FOR WT 721 
    
    SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 
    
    NCC029-031-041-053-055-073-095-139-143-110040-
    
    NC 
    .    NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
    
    CAMDEN               CARTERET            CHOWAN              
    CURRITUCK            DARE                GATES               
    HYDE                 PASQUOTANK          PERQUIMANS          
    
    
    VAC073-093-095-175-181-199-550-620-650-700-710-735-740-800-810-
    830-110040-
    
    VA 
    .    VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
    
    GLOUCESTER           ISLE OF WIGHT       JAMES CITY          
    SOUTHAMPTON          SURRY               YORK                
    
    
    
    
    VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
    
    CHESAPEAKE           FRANKLIN            HAMPTON             
    
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  4. WW 721 TORNADO NC VA CW 101830Z - 110100Z
    WW 0721 Image
    
    URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
    Tornado Watch Number 721
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    130 PM EST Sun Dec 10 2023
    
    The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
    
    * Tornado Watch for portions of 
      Central and Eastern North Carolina
      Southeast Virginia
      Coastal Waters
    
    * Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 130 PM until
      800 PM EST.
    
    * Primary threats include...
      A couple tornadoes possible
      Isolated damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible
    
    SUMMARY...A moist environment and stronger deep-layer/low-level
    winds will support a long duration (into this evening) of at least
    isolated severe storm potential, including a risk for tornadoes and
    damaging winds.
    
    The tornado watch area is approximately along and 80 statute miles
    east and west of a line from 45 miles northwest of Norfolk VA to 20
    miles west of Jacksonville NC. For a complete depiction of the watch
    see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
    
    PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
    
    REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
    tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
    area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
    threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
    and possible warnings.
    
    &&
    
    OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 720...
    
    AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
    surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
    gusts to 55 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
    storm motion vector 22040.
    
    ...Guyer
    
    
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  5. WW 721 TORNADO NC VA CW 101830Z - 110100Z
    WW 0721 Image
    
    URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
    Tornado Watch Number 721
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    130 PM EST Sun Dec 10 2023
    
    The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
    
    * Tornado Watch for portions of 
      Central and Eastern North Carolina
      Southeast Virginia
      Coastal Waters
    
    * Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 130 PM until
      800 PM EST.
    
    * Primary threats include...
      A couple tornadoes possible
      Isolated damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible
    
    SUMMARY...A moist environment and stronger deep-layer/low-level
    winds will support a long duration (into this evening) of at least
    isolated severe storm potential, including a risk for tornadoes and
    damaging winds.
    
    The tornado watch area is approximately along and 80 statute miles
    east and west of a line from 45 miles northwest of Norfolk VA to 20
    miles west of Jacksonville NC. For a complete depiction of the watch
    see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
    
    PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
    
    REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
    tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
    area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
    threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
    and possible warnings.
    
    &&
    
    OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 720...
    
    AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
    surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
    gusts to 55 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
    storm motion vector 22040.
    
    ...Guyer
    
    
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  6. MD 2328 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 720... FOR PARTS OF NORTH INTO WEST-CENTRAL FL
    MD 2328 Image
    
    Mesoscale Discussion 2328
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0351 PM CST Sun Dec 10 2023
    
    Areas affected...Parts of north into west-central FL
    
    Concerning...Tornado Watch 720...
    
    Valid 102151Z - 102315Z
    
    The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 720 continues.
    
    SUMMARY...Some threat for locally damaging wind and/or a brief
    tornado may persist through the remainder of the afternoon, but
    additional watch issuance is considered unlikely.
    
    DISCUSSION...An extensive band of convection has moved through north
    into west-central Florida this afternoon. Storms have largely
    remained subsevere thus far, with maximum wind gusts generally in
    the 40-45 mph range. Deep-layer shear remains strong across the
    region, and short-term guidance and the recent VWPs from KTBW
    suggest there has been some increase in southwesterly low-level
    flow. However, satellite and lightning trends indicate a general
    decrease in storm intensity over the last hour. With stronger
    large-scale ascent expected generally remain west and north of the
    region, and limited potential for any additional destabilization,
    substantial reintensification appears unlikely. 
    
    The strongest storms may pose a threat of isolated damaging wind and
    perhaps a brief tornado through the remainder of the afternoon, but
    with the threat expected to remain generally marginal and isolated,
    additional watch issuance is unlikely after the 22 UTC expiration of
    WW 720.
    
    ..Dean/Guyer.. 12/10/2023
    
    ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
    
    ATTN...WFO...MLB...TBW...JAX...
    
    LAT...LON   29228271 29618212 29408174 28488161 27688165 27308167
                26898180 26708232 27158240 27648249 28058256 28848270
                29228271 
    
    
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  7. MD 2329 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 721... FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA AND EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA
    MD 2329 Image
    
    Mesoscale Discussion 2329
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0353 PM CST Sun Dec 10 2023
    
    Areas affected...Portions of southeastern Virginia and eastern North
    Carolina
    
    Concerning...Tornado Watch 721...
    
    Valid 102153Z - 102330Z
    
    The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 721 continues.
    
    SUMMARY...A localized severe threat continues across portions of
    Tornado Watch 721.
    
    DISCUSSION...Latest observational data suggests two main corridors
    that remain at least locally favorable for severe thunderstorms
    across Tornado Watch 721. Off the Carolinas coast, a band of showers
    and thunderstorms driven by low/midlevel warm advection are
    streaming northward toward coastal NC, and some of these storms have
    exhibited transient organization given ample low/deep-layer shear.
    While instability over land is marginal, there is still some
    potential that this activity could affect immediate coast areas and
    pose a brief tornado risk and/or damaging-wind threat. 
    
    Farther north from north-central NC into southeast VA, the AKQ VWP
    is sampling 50 kt near 1 km AGL, which is yielding strong low-level
    shear with ample low-level hodograph curvature. Similarly, weak
    instability has generally limited updraft strength, though subtle
    backing of the low-level flow and substantial pressure falls may
    provide some focus for thunderstorms into the evening. If any storms
    can root at the surface, a tornado cannot be ruled out.
    
    ..Weinman.. 12/10/2023
    
    ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
    
    ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...
    
    LAT...LON   34417734 34547787 34797820 35577832 37237781 37697742
                37737707 37617653 37047598 36137576 35397598 34897616
                34597655 34417734 
    
    
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  8. WW 0720 Status Updates
    WW 0720 Status Image
    
    STATUS REPORT ON WW 720
    
    SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 WSW OCF
    TO 30 SSE CTY TO 10 W GNV TO 25 E GNV.
    
    WW 720 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 102200Z.
    
    ..SQUITIERI..12/10/23
    
    ATTN...WFO...JAX...TBW...TAE...
    
    
    STATUS REPORT FOR WT 720 
    
    SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 
    
    FLC001-017-053-083-101-119-102200-
    
    FL 
    .    FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
    
    ALACHUA              CITRUS              HERNANDO            
    MARION               PASCO               SUMTER              
    
    
    GMZ850-102200-
    
    CW 
    
    .    ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
    
    COASTAL WATERS FROM TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER FL OUT 20 NM 
    
    THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
    REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
    INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
    CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
    
    
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  9. WW 0720 Status Updates
    WW 0720 Status Image
    
    STATUS REPORT ON WW 720
    
    SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 WSW OCF
    TO 30 SSE CTY TO 10 W GNV TO 25 E GNV.
    
    WW 720 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 102200Z.
    
    ..SQUITIERI..12/10/23
    
    ATTN...WFO...JAX...TBW...TAE...
    
    
    STATUS REPORT FOR WT 720 
    
    SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 
    
    FLC001-017-053-083-101-119-102200-
    
    FL 
    .    FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
    
    ALACHUA              CITRUS              HERNANDO            
    MARION               PASCO               SUMTER              
    
    
    GMZ850-102200-
    
    CW 
    
    .    ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
    
    COASTAL WATERS FROM TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER FL OUT 20 NM 
    
    THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
    REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
    INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
    CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
    
    
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  10. WW 0720 Status Updates
    WW 0720 Status Image
    
    STATUS REPORT ON WW 720
    
    SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 WSW OCF
    TO 30 SSE CTY TO 10 W GNV TO 25 E GNV.
    
    WW 720 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 102200Z.
    
    ..SQUITIERI..12/10/23
    
    ATTN...WFO...JAX...TBW...TAE...
    
    
    STATUS REPORT FOR WT 720 
    
    SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 
    
    FLC001-017-053-083-101-119-102200-
    
    FL 
    .    FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
    
    ALACHUA              CITRUS              HERNANDO            
    MARION               PASCO               SUMTER              
    
    
    GMZ850-102200-
    
    CW 
    
    .    ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
    
    COASTAL WATERS FROM TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER FL OUT 20 NM 
    
    THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
    REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
    INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
    CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
    
    
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  11. WW 0720 Status Updates
    WW 0720 Status Image
    
    STATUS REPORT ON WW 720
    
    SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 WSW OCF
    TO 30 SSE CTY TO 10 W GNV TO 25 E GNV.
    
    WW 720 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 102200Z.
    
    ..SQUITIERI..12/10/23
    
    ATTN...WFO...JAX...TBW...TAE...
    
    
    STATUS REPORT FOR WT 720 
    
    SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 
    
    FLC001-017-053-083-101-119-102200-
    
    FL 
    .    FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
    
    ALACHUA              CITRUS              HERNANDO            
    MARION               PASCO               SUMTER              
    
    
    GMZ850-102200-
    
    CW 
    
    .    ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
    
    COASTAL WATERS FROM TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER FL OUT 20 NM 
    
    THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
    REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
    INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
    CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
    
    
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  12. WW 0720 Status Updates
    WW 0720 Status Image
    
    STATUS REPORT ON WW 720
    
    SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 WSW OCF
    TO 30 SSE CTY TO 10 W GNV TO 25 E GNV.
    
    WW 720 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 102200Z.
    
    ..SQUITIERI..12/10/23
    
    ATTN...WFO...JAX...TBW...TAE...
    
    
    STATUS REPORT FOR WT 720 
    
    SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 
    
    FLC001-017-053-083-101-119-102200-
    
    FL 
    .    FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
    
    ALACHUA              CITRUS              HERNANDO            
    MARION               PASCO               SUMTER              
    
    
    GMZ850-102200-
    
    CW 
    
    .    ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
    
    COASTAL WATERS FROM TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER FL OUT 20 NM 
    
    THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
    REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
    INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
    CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
    
    
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  13. SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
    Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook Image
    Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0244 PM CST Sun Dec 10 2023
    
    Valid 121200Z - 181200Z
    
    Fire weather potential appears low through the extended period.
    Long-range ensemble guidance continues to show a strong signal for
    the development and maintenance of an unseasonably strong surface
    high across the eastern two-thirds of the country for much of the
    upcoming work week and into next weekend. This will favor cool
    conditions and weak gradient winds with low probability for
    widespread sustained winds over 20 mph. An upper disturbance
    approaching the Southwest/southern High Plains may support areas of
    breezy conditions around mid-week, but increasing rain chances
    should limit fire weather concerns. 
    
    An offshore flow regime is likely late D3/Tuesday into D5/Thursday
    along the southern CA coast as the aforementioned upper wave shifts
    into the Southwest. However, long-range ensembles continue to show
    only a modest signal for strong low to mid-level winds, which limits
    confidence in the magnitude of the offshore flow regime. While
    localized fire weather concerns are possible, confidence remains too
    low to introduce highlights.
    
    ..Moore.. 12/10/2023
    
    ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
    
    
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  14. SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
    Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook Image
    Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0244 PM CST Sun Dec 10 2023
    
    Valid 121200Z - 181200Z
    
    Fire weather potential appears low through the extended period.
    Long-range ensemble guidance continues to show a strong signal for
    the development and maintenance of an unseasonably strong surface
    high across the eastern two-thirds of the country for much of the
    upcoming work week and into next weekend. This will favor cool
    conditions and weak gradient winds with low probability for
    widespread sustained winds over 20 mph. An upper disturbance
    approaching the Southwest/southern High Plains may support areas of
    breezy conditions around mid-week, but increasing rain chances
    should limit fire weather concerns. 
    
    An offshore flow regime is likely late D3/Tuesday into D5/Thursday
    along the southern CA coast as the aforementioned upper wave shifts
    into the Southwest. However, long-range ensembles continue to show
    only a modest signal for strong low to mid-level winds, which limits
    confidence in the magnitude of the offshore flow regime. While
    localized fire weather concerns are possible, confidence remains too
    low to introduce highlights.
    
    ..Moore.. 12/10/2023
    
    ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
    
    
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  15. WW 0720 Status Updates
    WW 0720 Status Image
    
    STATUS REPORT ON WW 720
    
    SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 SSW CTY
    TO 15 SSE CTY TO 15 WSW JAX.
    
    ..SQUITIERI..12/10/23
    
    ATTN...WFO...JAX...TBW...TAE...
    
    
    STATUS REPORT FOR WT 720 
    
    SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 
    
    FLC001-007-017-053-075-083-101-119-125-102140-
    
    FL 
    .    FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
    
    ALACHUA              BRADFORD            CITRUS              
    HERNANDO             LEVY                MARION              
    PASCO                SUMTER              UNION               
    
    
    GMZ850-102140-
    
    CW 
    
    .    ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
    
    COASTAL WATERS FROM TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER FL OUT 20 NM 
    
    THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
    REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
    INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
    CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
    
    
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