We are now getting within distance of the main deterministic models and it is looking like a relatively cool Nationals!
Both the major models (and their ensembles) are showing a trough in the central part of the country during that time frame, and for Lincoln, that generally means cooler temperatures.
Here's a look at the GEFS high/low temps
Notice a downward trend in the temps and moisture.
It appears the GFS is trying to bring a cold
Today in Weather History for August 19 August 19, 1788 A small but powerful hurricane inflicted great havoc upon forests along a narrow track from New Jersey to Maine. A similar storm track today would cause extreme disaster in the now populated area. (David Ludlum) August 19, 1969 'Never say die' Camille let loose a cloudburst in Virginia resulting in flash floods and landslides which killed 151 persons and cause 140 million dollars damage. Massies Hill VA received 27 inches of rain. (Dav
Today in Weather History for August 17 August 17, 1915 A hurricane hit Galveston, TX, with wind gusts to 120 mph and a twelve foot storm surge. The storm claimed 275 lives, including forty-two on Galveston Island, with most deaths due to drowning. Of 250 homes built outside the seawall (which was constructed after the catastrophic hurricane of 1900), just ten percent were left standing. (The Weather Channel) August 17, 1969 Camille, the second worst hurricane in U.S. history, smashed into
Today in Weather History for August 14 August 14, 1936 Temperatures across much of eastern Kansas soared above 110 degrees. Kansas City MO hit an all-time record high of 113 degrees. It was one of sixteen consecutive days of 100 degree heat for Kansas City. During that summer there were a record 53 days of 100 degree heat, and during the three summer months Kansas City received just 1.12 inches of rain. (The Kansas City Weather Almanac) August 14, 1980 Severe thunderstorms produced a 71 MPH
Today in Weather History for August 13 August 13, 1831 A blue sun was widely observed in the southern states. The phenomena was believed to have pre-staged Nat Turner's slave uprising. (David Ludlum) August 13, 1919 High winds and heavy rain struck the Middle Atlantic Coast Region. In New Jersey, winds gusted to 60 mph at Atlantic City, and nine inches of rain fell at Tuckerton. The wind and rain leveled crops and stripped trees of fruit causing several million dollars damage. (David Ludlu
Today in Weather History for August 10 August 10, 1856 The Isle Derniere (Last Island) disaster occurred off the coast of Louisiana. A storm tide drowned 140 vacationers as a five foot wave swept over Low Island during a hurricane. (The Weather Channel) August 10, 1882 Sandusky OH noted a four minute snow squall during the morning, frost was reported in the suburbs of Chicago, and a killing frost was reported at Cresco IA. (The Weather Channel) August 10, 1898 The temperature at Pendlet
Today in Weather History for August 10 August 10, 1856 The Isle Derniere (Last Island) disaster occurred off the coast of Louisiana. A storm tide drowned 140 vacationers as a five foot wave swept over Low Island during a hurricane. (The Weather Channel) August 10, 1882 Sandusky OH noted a four minute snow squall during the morning, frost was reported in the suburbs of Chicago, and a killing frost was reported at Cresco IA. (The Weather Channel) August 10, 1898 The temperature at Pendlet
Today in Weather History for August 8 August 8, 1878 The temperature at Denver, CO, soars to an all-time record high of 105 degrees. (The Weather Channel) August 8, 1881 A cloudburst and flash flood occurred at Central Springs, CO, and Idaho Springs, CO. (David Ludlum) August 8, 1882 An August snowstorm was reported by a ship on Lake Michigan. A thick cloud reportedly burst on the decks covering them with snow and slush six inches deep. Snow showers were observed at shore points that da
Today in Weather History for August 7 August 7, 1904 A flash flood near Pueblo, CO, washed a train from the tracks killing 89 passengers. A bridge, weakened by the floodwaters sweeping through the valley below, gave way under the weight of the train dashing all but the sleeping cars into the torrent drowning the occupants. Rail service was frequently interrupted in the Rocky Mountain Region and southwestern U.S. that summer due to numerous heavy downpours which washed out the railroad beds de
Today in Weather History for August 4 August 4, 1882 A vivid aurora was visible from Oregon to Maine, down the east coast as far as Mayport FL, and inland as far as Wellington KS. Observers at Louisville KY noted merry dancers across the sky, and observers at Saint Vincent, MN, noted it was probably the most brilliant ever seen at that location. (The Weather Channel) August 4, 1930 The temperature at Moorefield, WV, soared to 112 degrees to establish a state record, having reached 110 degr
Today in Weather History for August 3 August 3, 1885 A tornado hit Philadelphia and Camden along its eight mile path. (David Ludlum) August 3, 1970 Hurricane Celia struck the coast of Texas producing wind gusts to 161 mph at Corpus Christi, and estimated wind gusts of 180 mph at Arkansas Pass. The hurricane was the most destructive of record along the Texas coast causing 454 million dollars damage, and also claimed eleven lives. (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel) August 3, 1987 A seve
Today in Weather History for August 1 August 1, 1954 Mount Rainier in Washington State was still covered with sixteen inches of snow at the 5500 foot level following a big snow season. (David Ludlum) August 1, 1985 A nearly stationary thunderstorm deluged Cheyenne, WY, with rain and hail. Six inches of rain fell in six hours producing the most damaging flash flood of record for the state. Two to five feet of hail covered the ground following the storm, which claimed twelve lives, and cause
Today in Weather History for July 31 July 31, 1976 A stationary thunderstorm produced more than ten inches of rain which funneled into the narrow Thompson River Canyon of northeastern Colorado. A wall of water six to eight feet high wreaked a twenty-five mile path of destruction from Estes Park to Loveland killing 156 persons. The flash flood caught campers, and caused extensive structural and highway damage. Ten miles of U.S. Highway 34 were totally destroyed as the river was twenty feet hig
Moonlight over the Gulf
Today in Weather History for July 30 July 30, 1949 The state record for Connecticut was established when the town of Greenville registered an afternoon high of 102 degrees. (The Weather Channel) July 30, 1965 The temperature at Portland, OR, reached 107 degrees to equal their all-time record high. (The Weather Channel) July 30, 1979 A forty-minute hailstorm bombed Fort Collins, CO, with baseball to softball size hail. Two thousand homes and 2500 automobiles
Today in Weather History for July 28 July 28, 1819 A small but intense hurricane passed over Bay Saint Louis, MS. The hurricane was considered the worst in fifty years. Few houses were left standing either at Bay Saint Louis or at Pass Christian, and much of the Mississippi coast was desolate following the storm. A U.S. cutter was lost along with its thirty-nine crew members. The storm struck the same area that was hit 150 years later by Hurricane Camille. (David Ludlum) July 28, 1930 The t
Today in Weather History for July 24 July 24, 1886 Rain fell at Lawrence, KS, for the first time in four weeks. Rain fell over much of the state of Kansas that day relieving a severe drought which began in May. The very dry weather ruined crops in Kansas. (David Ludlum) July 24, 1942 The temperature at Las Vegas, NV, hit 117 degrees to set an all-time record for that location. The record was tied on July 19, 2005. July 24, 1947 One of the most powerful strokes of lightning ever measured
Today in Weather History for July 7 July 7, 1905 The mercury soared to 127 degrees at Parker, AZ, to tie the state record established at Fort Mohave on the 15th of June in 1896. (The Weather Channel) July 7, 1915 A severe wind and thunderstorm caused heavy damage and 38 deaths in and near Cincinnati, OH. Many older buildings were demolished. The steamship Dick Fulton was overturned. (The Weather Channel) July 7, 1981 Montana was in the midst of a snowstorm that dumped ten inches at Glac
Today in Weather History for July 6 July 6, 1893 A violent tornado killed 71 persons on its forty-mile track across northwestern Iowa. Forty-nine persons were killed around Pomeroy, where eighty percent of the buildings were destroyed, with most leveled to the ground. Photos showed most of the town without a wall or tree left standing. (The Weather Channel) July 6, 1928 A hailstorm at Potter, NE, produced a stone which was 5.5 inches in diameter, and seventeen inches in circumference, weig
Today in Weather History for July 5 July 5, 1891 Sixteen horses were killed by hail, and many more have to be put to death due to injuries from a hailstorm at Rapid City, SD. (The Weather Channel) July 5, 1900 A spectacular three day fire began when a bolt of lightning struck a refinery in Bayonne NJ. (David Ludlum) July 5, 1916 A hurricane produced 82 mph winds, an 11.6 foot tide, and a barometric pressure of 28.92 inches at Mobile, AL. (David Ludlum) July 5, 1937 The temperature at
Today in Weather History for July 4 July 4, 1776 Thomas Jefferson paid for his first thermometer, and signed the Declaration of Independence. According to his weather memorandum book, at 2 PM it was cloudy and 76 degrees. (David Ludlum) July 4, 1911 The northeastern U.S. experienced sweltering 100 degree heat. The temperature soared to 105 degrees at Vernon, VT, and North Bridgton ME, and to 106 degrees at Nashua NH, to establish all-time records for those three states. Afternoon highs of
Sunset over Sarasota Bay
Today in Weather History for July 3 July 3, 1966 The northeastern U.S. was in the midst of a sweltering heat wave. The temperature at Philadelphia reached 104 degrees. Afternoon highs of 102 degrees at Hartford CT, 105 degrees at Allentown PA, and 107 degrees at LaGuardia Airport in New York City established all-time records for those two locations. (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel) July 3, 1987 Lightning struck and killed three men playing golf on a course
Great Smoky Mountains National Park
Today in Weather History for July 1 July 1, 1792 A tremendous storm (a tornado or hurricane) hit Philadelphia and New York City. Many young people were drowned while out boating on that Sunday. (David Ludlum) July 1, 1911 The high of just 79 degrees at Phoenix AZ was their coolest daily maximum of record for the month of July. The normal daily high for July 1st is 105 degrees. (The Weather Channel) July 1, 1979 It snowed almost half a foot (5.8 i
Today in Weather History for June 30 June 30, 1886 The second destructive hurricane in nine days hit the Apalachicola-Tallahassee area. (David Ludlum) June 30, 1942 The temperature at Portland, OR, hit 102 degrees, an all-time record for that location. (The Weather Channel) June 30, 1972 The entire state of Pennsylvania was declared a disaster area as a result of the catastrophic flooding caused by Hurricane Agnes, which claimed 48 lives, and caused 2.1 billion dollars damage. (The Weat
