Weather for North Georgia
This forum will be used to provide a more detailed look at the weather in and around the north Georgia area.
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Soooo, we've had a pretty good winter so far, so let's see what might be ahead for the next few weeks. We have been running well below normal for January. On average, the southeast has seen a -6º departure from normal for January. That matches up well with the data here at the house. This is a month to month comparison for the last 5 years. This is a seasonal comparison, for the winter season so far (Dec-Feb). Next we'll look at the long range models to see how they see the season evolving.
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
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The first half of January didn't turn out so bad, and the 2nd half of the month looks to be very cold, so what kind of weather will it bring for us? Looking ahead. Let the discussion begin.
Last reply by Preston, -
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Monday, May 5 ------------------------ Good morning! It's a beautiful start to the new work week, with crisp cool temperatures and mostly clear skies. I'm sure you've seen the weather maps that show an Omega Block over the US right now, and everyone always gets a laugh over that. If you haven't, go look up omega block and tell me what you see. 🙂 The block will begin to break down on Tuesday, and by Wednesday morning showers will be breaking out across north Georgia with rain probabilities in the 50% range. Those chances will bring on and off rainfall that will hang around through Sunday, bringing another 0.50-0.75" of rainfall across…
Last reply by Preston, -
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I will take any agreement trending cold we can get for Christmas time frame.
Last reply by firefighter556, -
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With cold air on the away, I figured it was time to take a look at what is coming and how it may impact our weather here. We can't get snow without cold air, so the first thing to look at is where the cold is coming from and where is it going to end up. The models are suggesting that we're going to be looking at a +PNA pattern, and at least for the next 5-7 days, a -NAO block, and that means we lock in some cold air for a while. Here's a look at the Euro ensemble. Notice how once the initial trough comes through, we end up with two blocks, the +PNA over the western part of the country, and a _NAO out over the Atlantic. Those two ridges lock in the cold and keep…
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
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You may see a lot of winter forecasts coming out now, and almost all of them are based on a solid La Nina this winter, and for us, a La Nina would normally mean a warmer and drier winter season. But based on what I'm seeing with the models, we may not be looking at a major La Nina during the winter months, and that would change the resulting outcome somewhat. There are many recurring weather patterns across the globe that impact the weather over the lower 48 states, and those patterns become important during the winter months. These patterns are called "teleconnections". "Teleconnection in atmospheric science refers to climate anomalies being related to …
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
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Monday, Sept 16 -------------------- Good afternoon! The wife is off doing her book club thing, and I managed to get the website functional again, so I thought I'd take a look at our weather. I shared a post where the NWS tried to explain why the forecast didn't work out as planned, and I apologized for what I got wrong as well, but that doesn't make up for the LACK of rain across the north Georgia area. A new drought monitor update will come out Thursday, but the previous map has all north Georgia in a D1-D4 Moderate level drought, and even a small corner of NW Georgia in a Severe Drought. I've included multiple soil moisture maps that show the extent of …
Last reply by Asperman1, -
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Good morning! Since July is almost over, I thought I'd take a look at how we faired with our precipitation and temperatures. Our rainy period start on the 18th of July, and many people saw some very high rain totals during that period. This is the rainfall analysis for the last 7 days. This would leave out the 18th and 19th rainfall totals, so if those days were included this would look a little different. This shows the precipitation anomalies for the same period. Notice that some areas are normal or even below normal, so they've had zero relief from the drought. It looks like feast or famine. Here's a look at the CoCoRaHS t…
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
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Good morning! Thought I'd make a quick update this morning, as today will be the warmest day of the week. The saving grace is that our dew points are so low, the heat index won't be too bad despite the high temperatures. We're seeing precipitable water values that you might see on a really cold day during the winter, so very dry air is in place. Dew point depressions will be running 35-40 degrees today, and that is a very large spread. Forecast High Temperatures for Today Temperature High Temperature Anomalies for Today Some folks may start to see a few showers late this afternoon/evening, as a shortwave approaches from …
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
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Good morning! Is everyone enjoying the hot weather? 🙂 If not, hold on, more will be coming! We just got back from Sandestin late yesterday, and it was a scorcher on the beach. The Heat Index there is about 107 today, so if you think the beach my be a little relief, think again. This map is from 6 pm yesterday, and it shows the really hot temps and all of the Heat Advisories around the southeast. Zooming out this morning (Tuesday), we see an area of "Excessive Heat Warnings" (yellow arrow), and that area may be shifting east. These were the temps nationwide at 5:45 pm. The lower 48 states averaged 87.3º. …
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
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Man, this summer just seems to be flying by and it has hardly even started! 🙂 We had a few popcorn showers around late yesterday, and I think that today we'll see a greater coverage. Even though the moisture levels are relatively low, we'll have the heat and some lift in the atmosphere today, especially over the mountain regions, and that will be the trigger that will kick off the showers and a few thunderstorms. Like yesterday, there isn't really much to sustain the storms, so they'll pop up, drift around, and collapse as quickly as they formed. This is a 6 hour precip expectation from the NWS ending at 8 pm this evening. Certainly better coverage than yesterday. …
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
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Wednesday, June 12 ----------------------- I hope everyone is enjoying this great weather that we're having, because it should hang around through at least Sunday. But... I also hope you enjoy the heat, because it's going to get hot. I've attached the forecast high temperatures through Sunday just to show how hot it may get across north Georgia, but the entire state will be be baking. Fortunately, the moisture levels will be low enough so that the heat index will be fairly close to the actual temperature. Regardless, 90 degrees is hot, so make sure the outdoor pets have plenty of water and a nice shady spot. The NDFD is the National Digital Forecast Database, a…
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
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Good Wednesday morning! We are going to have a very active day today and tomorrow weather-wise, so everyone will need to have a method of receiving severe weather alerts. Our severe weather threat will be conditional and complex, so we'll need to watch the evolution as the day progresses. The southeast is in the warm sector this morning, with dew points in the upper 60's across north Georgia, and in the 70's to our west. Those dew points are just fuel for the fire. Combine that with very steep lapse rates, and you end up with severe weather conditions later this evening and into tomorrow, with all modes of severe weather possible. Due to the very cold upper leve…
Last reply by Asperman1, -
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Time to start looking ahead at the tropical season, and what it may bring this year. We've been very lucky the last few years, but that may not be the case for this season. This is the Colorado State hurricane forecast. EXTENDED RANGE FORECAST OF ATLANTIC SEASONAL HURRICANE ACTIVITY AND LANDFALL STRIKE PROBABILITY FOR 2024 We anticipate that the 2024 Atlantic basin hurricane season will be extremely active. Current El Niño conditions are likely to transition to La Niña conditions this summer/fall, leading to hurricane-favorable wind shear conditions. Sea surface temperatures in the eastern and central Atlantic are currently at record warm levels and are anticip…
Last reply by Jeff9702, -
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Larry Cosgrove "Forecasting winter to spring transitions is hard enough. But when you add a fairly steep change from an El Nino to a La Nina, things can get really difficult. Note that the sea surface temperature anomalies in ENSO 1.2 and 3 are already rapidly dropping, which tells us that we should be in a negative neutral anomaly further west in the Pacific Basin by August 1. Since hydrothermal patterns are forecast to concurrently warm greatly in the Atlantic Basin, the incentive for heat ridge formation will soon be evident. The southern branch jet stream will then have to gain in latitude (see the AMJ 2m Temperature Anomaly from ECMWF), taking communities in…
Last reply by Asperman1, -
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Good morning! Jut a few words from the WPC on the weekend rainfall potential. While these kinds of events aren't all that uncommon, unfortunately the mesoscale nature of the boundary makes it notoriously difficult for the guidance to resolve. There's very good agreement that given this Day 3 forecast that there will be an area of very heavy rainfall that persists for an extended period of time, there is enough uncertainty as to whether the heaviest and most persistent rains impact an urban area, which would greatly enhance the flash flooding risk and resultant impacts. While even rural areas would be greatly impacted by as …
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
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Good Monday afternoon! There is a lot of weather to talk about, but very simply put, it's going to be wet. Today won't be a bad day. We still have some mid-level clouds around, which is suppressing our temperatures at the moment, but those areas that are getting some sunshine are rocketing up to the 70's. I'm not sure we'll get that high today because I believe that the clouds won't be going anywhere anytime soon. Tomorrow starts another rainy period, as a trough lifts out of the Gulf and increases the moisture levels to saturation, but the bulk of the rain should hold off until later in the day. We may hear some thunder tomorrow, but severe weather is not …
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
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Good morning! Our fair weather will be coming to an end, as an upper level low starts to impact our area beginning tomorrow. The chances for heavy rain have seemed to have stabilized, and now show the greatest chances long the coast and over southeast Georgia. North Georgia can still expect to see a decent amount of rain, with the heaviest totals across the eastern side of the state. This is the WPC rainfall forecast. Zoomed in view for Georgia. Winds will be the biggest impact, and the majority of those winds will happen as the low passes to our east. Gust in the 40 mph range can be expected due to the pressure gradie…
Last reply by TheJohnnyDee, -
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Good morning! We are going to have a fairly dynamic system come through this weekend, and even though we'll be warm enough for rain, we'll pretend like it's a practice run for this winter when it's colder. 🙂 An upper level trough will be advancing our direction over the next day or so, and that will be our next weather maker. A few days ago the system looked worse than it is going to be, but thankfully the bulk of the severe weather will be confined to our west. This is the Day 3 Convective Outlook from the Storm Prediction Center. The severe weather will be concentrated over Louisiana, Arkansas, and Mississippi on Saturday, so…
Last reply by Weatherdude, -
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Good morning! It's COLD this morning! The cold air has settled in the low lying areas this morning, so some of you are colder than the higher elevations this morning. My temperature anomaly for the month so far, today will show up tomorrow. We will have another shot of cold air arriving toward the middle of next week, and that should be a pretty decent blast of cold weather. The ensembles are shown first. These are all December 7th. The deterministic models are tracking the same as the ensembles. The models are still struggling with the timing, strength and location of the…
Last reply by Weatherdude, -
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Good morning! We'll have one nice day of weather before a wedge moves in on Saturday, bringing clouds and cooler weather for all of north Georgia. Saturday will be a mixed day across northern part of the state. Those folks in the wedge might only see highs in the upper 40's to low 50's, while those outside of the wedge, including those in the western and northwestern part of north Georgia, may see highs in the upper 50's to low 60's. There is a caveat to the forecast for next week. The ensembles are not in really good agreement with the actual forecast from the National Weather Service, nor are they in good agreement with themselves. The daily high/low im…
Last reply by Preston, -
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Good morning! I hope everyone has been enjoying the nice fall weather that we've had in place for a week or two, as that will be coming to an end on Tuesday. First, we will be under a Wind Advisory beginning at 7 pm this evening. Our chances for severe weather have increased, although it's still not going to be a major threat. Here's the thoughts from the Storm Prediction Center. As you can see, most of north Georgia lies outside of the areas with the greatest chance for severe weather, but that doesn't rule out severe for the northwest corner. Here are the thoughts from the Atlanta NWS office. …
Last reply by Weatherdude, -
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Good evening! We are going to see some changes in the weather starting tomorrow, but bigger changes come next week. We are probably not going to see much if any rain across north Georgia with this first system, as the surface low tracks too far south. This weekend should be fairly mild and dry, but shortly after the start of next week, we may possibly be looking at a chance for some severe weather. A deep trough is going to be swinging across the southeast, and that trough will be pulling in cold air behind it. This will be a fairly strong system, and with it comes a chance for strong to potentially severe thunderstorms. Keep in mind, we are currently in the 2n…
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
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I ended up with about 0.30" of rain so far, and the light rain and drizzle will continue through the late afternoon. It's going to remain cold with our highs running about 10 degrees below normal. We will slowly trend warmer as the week progresses, and we're starting to see some healthy signs of additional rainfall during the week. The trough that is currently situated over the western US, will slowly deepen and advance east, while at the same time a cut off surface low starts to develop over the western Gulf. That low will start to pump moisture into Georgia starting late Monday, and by Tuesday rain will start to break out over the southeast. We will rem…
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
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Good afternoon! Well, that quick shot of cold air has been great, but the cold will start to fade as the trough pulls northeast and out to sea. In its place, a quasi-zonal flow sets up with a fairly progressive pattern, and that will bring some milder temperatures to our area for a little while. My first freeze dates keep getting earlier and earlier. We actually stay below normal through Sunday, and then we see a return of some above normal temperatures through most of next week, before a weak cold front passes through, dropping the temperatures back below normal. It appears that we'll stay fairly mild through the middle of the month, b…
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX,
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Significant Georgia Weather Information
(Not always current, please check the date)
Today's Weather from the Atlanta NWS office
